We dropped 11 points this season from losing a lead with Pauno's shit turtle ball tactics. Those 11 points would have us in a battle for the 1 seed. #PAUNOOUT
We still play both of those shitty Ohio teams, but this time away. If we only get 1 point out of those games, then that WILL definitely end our season.
How is that possible? Even with those 11 points, the Fire would still well behind Atlanta and Philadelphia. The Fire are 15 and 12 points behind those two teams, each of which has a game in hand over the Fire. Our PPG even with those magical 11 points would be just 1.57 ppg, barely good enough for fourth place in the East (currently the Red Bulls at 1.52) and nowhere close to the 1.78 and 1.76 ppg for Atlanta and NYCFC (who have 11 more points than than the Fire and a whopping 3 games in hand). The only way your assertion would have any sense of reality is if we dropped those points against the teams with whom we would "battle for the 1 seed," as that would lower the other team's point total (and ppg) accordingly. However, this is simply not the case. We have played Atlanta twice: a 2-0 loss and a 5-1 win (didn't drop points from losing a lead). We have played Philadelphia twice: a 2-0 loss and a 2-0 win (didn't drop points from losing a lead). We have played NYCFC twice, a 1-0 loss and 1-1 draw We did drop 2 points by losing a lead on May 25, 2019, so that would marginally affect both teams. That would, however, only decrease NYCFC's ppg from 1.76 to 1.72 ppg and increase ours to 1.25 (35 pts from 28 games, up from 33 in 28 games), not nearly enough to make a statistical difference. Once again, your assertions simply do not make sense. If I am wrong, please enlighten me.
At the time of the post, Atlanta had not beaten Orlando so the Fire would have been 1 point behind the 1 seed. We would have had 2 and 1 more game played than the teams above us, but the remainder of our schedule is favorable.
So, we would still be behind but they would have 2 games in hand. Oh, that makes so, so much more sense. Considering that PRIOR to the game, Atlanta was on 1.73 ppg and our "best" possible would be 1.57 we would still be significantly behind them. Atlanta's win only moved them up by .005. Again, "in a battle for the 1 seed" rings more than a bit hollow.
Current chances listed at 11%, which is much more in line with reality. Same thing holds true after that loss: 4 more wins and we're probably in. Fire play @Columbus Dallas @cincy Toronto @Orlando That's actually the easiest remaining schedule in the league with no games against teams on the top half. The three road games are why we miss the playoffs. I think the Fire go 3-1-1, and miss by 1-2 points.
I agree that is an easy schedule. Of course, every team playing the Chicago Fire probably thinks "that's an easy game." It is fortunate that the two most difficult games (on paper) are at home, but we would have to pick up at least two road wins and, well, we have one all season!
http://www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS.html 9% We don't play this week, but depending how the results go with the other game we could have a. 10.9% or 6.7%
We need to win out to have a greater than 50% chance. We have been under 50% to make the playoffs since mid-June. On the other hand, if we gain one more point (against Cincinnati) we are "officially" out of the running for the wooden spoon, although if Cincinnati win out and tie the Fire and Fire lose every game and tie Cincinnati, the teams would be co-"winners" of the Wooden Spoon. If the Wooden Spoon "tie-breaker" comes down to head to head, we lose that one! (Since we embarrassingly lost at home to them in July)
Point: preserved 🧤#cf97 x @allstate pic.twitter.com/YFm26fyVI2— Chicago Fire FC (@ChicagoFire) September 2, 2019
https://www.mlssoccer.com/post/2019...schedule-help-orlando-city-chicago-fire-sneak We are below 3 of the 4 teams remaining on our schedule, so you could say that they should beat us.
The Fire will miss the playoffs by a couple of points. They dropped too many points where they shouldn't have. That last minute loss to NE really hurt. Had Calvo not ********ed up on that play the fire would be tied on points for 7th with NE. (8th due to tie-braker.)
This is on Pauno. This asshole should have been FIRE along ago, hell not brought back for the 2019 season.
Yeah, earlier they dropped points agains Vancouver and Orlando at home. (also CLB after CIN) Fire's playoff chances rest heavily on what NE does this weekend at home vs Salt Lake. NE's remaining 3 games are @POR, NYC, @ATL The Fire's chances at the playoffs (given that they win at least 2 games) are not as dismal as I thought. If NE wins against RSL, the fire could still make it, but NE would need to get at most 3pts from last 3 games and the Fire would need to win out. Tough. If NE ties RSL, they would need to get 5pts from last 3 (though) if the Fire win out. If the Fire only win 2 games, then NE would could get upto 2pts from final 3 and the Fire would probably still get through on GD. Possible. If NE loses to RSL, they would need >6pts if the Fire win out. Or A >3 points if the fire win only 2 games. Not bad. That being said, I think the fire could win each remaining game individually, but I'm not seeing a 4 game winning streak to end the season. They'll drop points at home vs TOR or at ORL if not both.