This exit poll will have to be wrong by a LOT for anything other than a Tory majority and me spending every day for a month getting to shit on everyone here who doesn't trust polling because of one outlier. You all had better hope this exit poll is wrong by a lot, or the moderators ban me, because I'm going to be unforgiving.
Oh well......It seems worse than expected for Labour.....It is a disaster. And here are the full exit poll results. Conservatives: 368 Labour: 191 SNP: 55 Liberal Democrats: 13 Plaid Cymru: 3 Greens: 1 Brexit party: 0 Others: 22
If the exit polls are correct, I don't see how he can survive with this drubbing. This is worse than pre-election predictions from what I saw. I'm a little boggled that he wasn't removed prior to the election, tbh. he completely bungled this entire process...
I don't care much about Jeremy, he is partly responsible for this debacle. I am truly gutted though for all Labour and Remain voters. They are about to get f*** big time by Brexit and the Tories.
Because Boris Johnson will move to leave the EU, Scottish MSPs will vote for an independence referendum, Westminster will reject it, but Boris will lack the capital to send in the tanks.
Dang! If this is true, the UK left needs to do a lot of soul searching. Probably the same exit polling on sky news. EXIT POLL: Conservatives projected to win election as Labour suffer major losses #GE2019CON: 368LAB: 191LIB DEM: 13BREX: 0SNP: 55GREEN: 1OTHER: 22 pic.twitter.com/FkqseCrrnR— Sky News Breaking (@SkyNewsBreak) December 12, 2019
Clear mandate for 2nd independence referendum. Polls show narrow No vote if still in EU, clear Yes vote if not.
And zero political will to stop them from leaving. I wonder how Northern Ireland reacts; entirely possible that Republicans get hammered by Unionists who see Brexit deal as a betrayal.
Does it depend on why Conservatives got so many seats? If it ends up being another situation where Conservatives won largely based on FPP rather than winning a clear majority does that change the equation any? There's a risk of the left not doing anything if there's a situation where the Conservatives only got 30% of the vote, while the left got a majority, but split among parties..
I imagine the next Labour leader will be very happy to have Boris in charge with a plurality government when the next recession hits...other than that you're spot on. I wonder what a referendum on RCV would look like.
Not just recession, but the disaster that Brexit will bring. I doubt Labour totally ditch the Corbyn path, as there's a lot of membership support, so likely someone who worked with him. Starmer is the obvious choice.
Do you think there will be a point where the not Conservative parties merge? It seems like the Conservatives have a steady grip on the right side of the UK spectrum, but the Center and Left are split among a multitude of parties.
Labour worst result since 1935.....SMH!!! if the exit poll is correct, Jeremy Corbyn’s election performance will be the worst by a Labour leader for more than 40 years. He will have done worse than: Tony Blair in 1997 - 418 Tony Blair in 2001 - 412 Tony Blair in 2005 - 355 Neil Kinnock in 1992 - 271 James Callaghan in 1979 - 269 Jeremy Corbyn in 2017 - 262 Gordon Brown in 2010 - 258 Ed Miliband in 2015 - 232 Neil Kinnock in 1987 - 229 Michael Foot in 1983 - 209 In fact, it would be the worst result for Labour since 1935, when the party got just 154 under Clement Attlee, who has only just taken over as party leader.
For the next election, a lot will depend on how big the Tory majorities are in the seats they've taken from Labour. The MRP polling had lots of narrow leads, and if Brexit is the disaster most people expect those seats will be very insecure.
Should note the exit poll features 65 seats classified as 'too close to call'. https://t.co/5PaGWYyTL1— Britain Elects (@BritainElects) December 12, 2019 So depending on how they've fallen, we could be looking at 400+ Tory MPs or a much smaller majority.