I was going to be quick to say no, but then I saw the International numbers. It is doing really well. It may actually get there.
Seems like it is doing better internationally than Wonder Woman did. It already made 75% of Diana Prince's movie's international take after one weekend. Since that movie made 821 million worldwide, I'm guessing that Wonder Woman will at least flirt with a 1 billion dollars in box office revenue.
It also kind of proves that it is really about quality and not gender, apart from a very small yet very loud and angry group of online misogynists. I still believe that the Ghostbusters reboot didn't do as well as some expected not because of the all-female cast but because the screenplay was less than great. That doesn't seem to be the problem with Captain Marvel.
Also that Marvel brand. It can sell anything. I'd love to see a hot mess from them (probably won't happen for a while). Just a sloppily made film. With the right PR; i'm sure it'd manage 600 million worldwide. Though Ant-Man (very little known) and has Rudd (lovable guy to many) and it only grossed $625 million for the sequel despite more action infused into it. Maybe it's just because Ant-Man doesn't focus on "save the entire world" type of a theme. And it's a film the whole family can enjoy. What's interesting for me is how everyone loved Thor Ragnarok and yet it only grossed $850 million or so. Now, that's nothing to laugh at. But considering BP blew way past it and CM is due to do the same. It still kinda evokes if TR could have been a bigger Hit or not.
Guardians of the Galaxy 3, if it ever gets made, has the best chance of this happening IMHO after the whole director fiasco.
Hmm, guess not. I guess they couldn't find someone else to do it without a cast mutiny. I'm curious to find out Marvel's next slate of films after Endgame. We have a new Spiderman coming out later this year, but after that? Unless Marvel has been filming something without it getting out (which for a whole production would be very hard to do) there's going to be a gap after Spiderman. These movies take about two years to make, correct? Next film might not come out until November 2020, if not later.
The James Gunn thing is weird. I've read some people who claim that Disney and James Gunn always agreed to this and he has secretly been on board for a while now. I don't believe it. Mostly because I don't believe Disney/Marvel would have committed to him and allowed him to do Suicide Squad II for WB/DC in that scenario.
Captain Marvel has already outearned Wonder Woman's international box office take by nearly 100 million dollars. Captain Marvel will overtake the DC female superhero movie in total box office earnings this weekend. I would be very interested in seeing what Marvel had projected for this movie. As it stands, this movie will certainly outearn "Thor: Ragnarok" and might push past the 1 billion dollars treshold.
Then you read the CG peoples stuff, lol Captain Marvel Looks Like it Will Fall Far Short of Disney’s Rumored Projected Box Office Take https://t.co/JRp5Phfil5 pic.twitter.com/5OQrpyAPnP— Bounding Into Comics (@BoundingComics) March 20, 2019 they're the same people that give you this... (read the comments to see the people they attract) DC Universe Casts Transgender Activist and YouTuber Chella Man as Jericho in Season 2 of Titans https://t.co/XApA322EFv pic.twitter.com/Nrptn8G2oP— Bounding Into Comics (@BoundingComics) March 20, 2019
That's the downside of the MCU's expectations. Captain Marvel should reach a billion. If that's less due to the domestic; it shouldn't be a biggie. Some folks complained that BP grossed more domestically than overseas like a majority of the MCU films. For a character who was probably C-list, it's a huge success.
Yeah, if they are going to argue that a billion dollar movie is a box office bust, they are so far into cuckoo land that it's honestly a bit sad and pathetic.
Looking at it in more detail, Wonder woman made 275 million in its first eighteen days (domestically). Captain marvel made 270 million over the same period. But - and there is a big but in there - this period included three weekends for the DC superheroine movie and just two weekends for the Marvel one. So those numbers are definitely a bit distorted in the favor of Wonder Woman and I think if we include a third weekend, Captain Marvel will become the clear winner domestically as well as internationally. I will say that Wonder Woman was the kind of slow burner that has been relatively rare nowadays. So I wouldn't be surprised if Captain Marvel had more of a drop-off after its third weekend than Wonder Woman did.
That would def be probable. I recall WW having longer legs whereas Captain Marvel opened quite big and may not have that "OOMPH" factor to keep people coming in week after week. Also, Jordan Peele's US opens this weekend and will kill some of its buzz. But it's a hit in every which way.
So Captain Marvel is now past Wonder Woman in terms of its worldwide take. Interestingly enough, it is still lagging behind considerably in terms of its domestic take. As per the most recent numbers available on Box Office Mojo, the Brie Larson flick has taken 295 million on the American market whereas the Gal Gadot one took 412 million. Considering how much Captain Marvel has cooled down already (with "Us" stealing its thunder this weekend) I'm not sure if they can hope to match that Wonder Woman domestic figure.