I don't care if you make the playoffs

Great post. Problem is, your expectations are too high to be a revs fan.

 

I care what happens across the remainder of the season
When I look a the standings in the East is see a fur-ball with no team standing out and anything could happen over the next month. Having enjoyed our highly improbable run to the MLS final in 2006 I come to expect real surprises not only for the Revs but across MLS

GO REVS

 

Well said, Doc. Admire the positive thinking. I think you meant either 2002 or 2014, not 2006 - but I hear ya. The question isn't whether we'd enjoy a Cinderella run to MLS Cup final - the question is, would it cloud the bigger picture that this team is consistently a day late and a dollar short. You were even ready to warm up the tar for Burnsie; as Tom said this may result in the status quo and no changes being made. Therefore, it's better for the bigger picture of the club for the team to fail miserably in its quest to make the playoffs, if the East doesn't conspire to suck just enough again.

 

It was 2002 when we had the improbable run. We lost in the 113th minute by a golden goal by Carlos Ruiz.

 

Yes, that was the year I was referring too. We would have won it if Winston Griffiths had eaten one more strip of bacon for breakfast

 

While I agree that falling short of the playoffs would be a good thing in some aspects and with most teams it may call for some changes but this is the Revs. Even falling short of the playoffs and losing the USOC Heaps probably isn't going anywhere. This team has a history of not making moves to upset chemistry even if is not the right formula. A team like LA, Seattle etc.. would have looked at their rosters after a Cup loss and said where can I get better so we can win it all next year. The Revs look at the roster and probably say if we got this far spending only x amount of money we could probably do it again with the same team. Most teams would have made moves in august if they fielded the worst defense in the league but not the Revs. They probably "almost" signed a few players but could not pull the trigger. Unfortunately when it comes to signing players when needed Burns usually shoots blanks. Less than a handful of games and probably a long off season for the Revs. Priorities going into the off season are pretty obvious: Defensive help on every position of the back line. JoGo has been a NoGo this season. Tierney is older and slower and has been ball watching more this year than ever before. Watson and Woodbury are too inconsistent and Farrell has failed to become that guy that would force Klinsman to call him up. Barnes is done. Femi was a surprise this year before getting hurt but do we want him as the third Forward going into next year? Keeper is another position that should be looked to for improvement. Will Cody be given a chance to compete for the Number 1?

 

So in other words, the Revs will just say, "Yeah, we could make the effort to make changes that would improve the team, but nah, it's too hard. Not worth the bother. Ohhh, look! The Patriots are on TV!"

 

Interesting assessment from Soccer America on the race in the East. They see us finishing 5th

This is how they predict it shaking out:

Team ---Current---Games left---Projected Pts---Final Pos---Final Pts
MON----------38----------5--------------------4-----------------7----------42
NER----------36----------4--------------------8-----------------5----------44
DCU----------34----------5--------------------9-----------------6----------43
ORL----------34----------5--------------------7-----------------8----------41

So if we get 8 points from 4 games, that means 2 wins and 2 draws, undefeated the rest of the way. Pretty ambitious if'n you ask me, but I'll take it.

 

The stats say 42.6% chance of the Revs making the playoffs

 

Interesting we went from something like a 3% chance 3 weeks ago, then won 3 in a row and bam! 42.6%

 

Yeah, after the Red Bulls won 1-0 on August 28th, there was only a 2.26% chance. Also, that win against Montreal was HUGE, 12.9% before to 42.5% after the win

 

With 3 games to go, the Revs must win 2 or 3 to have a higher than 50/50 chance of making the playoffs

 

Funny how one game can shift the momentum so drastically. Last week Soccer America predicted we'd get 2 wins and 2 draws from our remaining 4 games, so that's been blown out of the water.

Kansas City at home isn't going to be an easy one, and while Chicago could be winnable, we managed to lose 2 of 3 from that crap outfit in Central Ohio. Montreal on the last day could be a very big game or totally meaningless, too early to tell right now.

 

Throw playoffs out the window, the revs don't deserve it. Hire a new coach, give him a chance to evaluate players in game action and start making decisions for next year now.

 

Tough results for the Revs tonight with both the Impact and DC winning. We are now 5 and 4 points behind with 3 to play. Not impossible, but no room for error.

 

We're toast.

 

Aaaaand that's how it goes when you depend on other teams to bail you out with the "right" results. Sometimes, like the last week of the 2008 season, every ball bounces our way, but more often than not, it won't.

Funny how that 3 game win streak had everything primed and pumped up, but the balloon quickly deflated with one stinkin' loss to Cow-lum-bust.

We've got KC at home, Chicago away and Montreal at home. Not an easy road by any stretch of the imagination.

 

The SPI has the chance at 41% and the other site has them at 29%

Updated SPI projections for last 3 East playoff spots:

96% PHI
82% MTL (was 70%)
80% DC (63%)
30% NE (41%)
10% ORL (16%)
2% CLB (13%)

— Paul Carr (@PaulCarr) September 29, 2016

 

I haven't run the numbers, but I'd say that if they win out, their chances are probably very good. If they don't, their chances are probably close to nil (maybe 7 points gets them in, but certainly not anything less).

 

Montreal is a lock in that 2nd game!