CONCACAF Rankings Thread

One thing I noticed is that in terms of the fifa ranking Aruba lucked out big time. FIFA views them as 2-0 in CONCACAF Gold Cup qualifying and their loss to French Guiana does not count since FG is not a FIFA member.

Looking ahead, the winner of the Barbados - Surname games will get a nice bounce even if they lose their other 2 games as they will be 1-0 in Gold Cup qualifying as Martinique and Bonaire are also non FIFA members. Surname in particular could find themselves in the top 10 if they win as they are already 14.

Guatemala will need a good showing in Copa Centroamericano to get back in the top 12 of CONCACAF

 

New rankings out, and CRC are the highest they've ever been at #15 in the world, now the top team in CONCACAF with Mexico and the U.S. just behind them. After that there's a huge gap down to Honduras, then Panama who have the largest decline of any team in the rankings for this month, dropping 30 (!) spots. It should be noted that Canada continues to plummet, down to 122nd in the world, another new low for them after last month's record low of 118th:



For reference, here is Canada's ranking history since 2009, a precipitous decline:

 

Oh Canada How did it ever get so terrible?

 

The 8-1 loss in Honduras sent their program into a spiral. They haven't won a game since then, and they've only scored 3 goals in 15 matches.

 

The game that I'm sure they've erased from memory. They literally have no goal scorers. Friend and Occean are just...

 

For the first time ever, USA is not first or second in CONCACAF.

 

There were no FIFA rankings back in the 70s and 80s?

 

The ratings started in August 1993.

 

And it's all Michael Bradley's fault. If we had closed out the game against Portugal, we'd have 1084 points in the FIFA rankings, putting us in 14th, above both Costa Rica and Mexico.

 

Finally some competition For the best.

 

Aruba...ARUBA?

Misleading or are they that good these days?

 

In May and June, Aruba beat Turks and Caicos Islands and British Virgin Islands and lost to non-FIFA member French Guiana in Caribbean Cup qualifying. The fact that the most recent year is weighted more helps Aruba. If you weighted the most recent four years for Aruba equally while leaving everybody else the same, Aruba would be 17th in CONCACAF instead of tied for 10th. Although Aruba has a low population, it has more people than WCQ Semifinalist Antigua and Barbuda.

 

Aruba won by losing

 

New rankings out, with some significant jumps in the Caribbean:

- Canada moved up 2 spots in the world ranking, but fell 6 spots in the zonal ranking to 15th!
- CRC, Mexico and the U.S. are clear top dogs
- Guatemala jump 77 spots after a nice Copa Centroamericana. Crazy to see they are essentially tied with Honduras.

 

Time to re-compute a table that I had once previously generated. I took the December rankings for each year (of course, the September rankings for 2014), using the Concacaf ranking (1-35) for each, then averaged them over the last four (sorted on this column), eight, and twelve years. This shows the increase of the Caribbean teams, and the decline of Canada.

Country	'14	'13	'12	'11	'10	'09	'08	'07	'06	'05	'04	'03	avg04	avg08	avg12
Mexico	2	2	1	1	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1.50	1.625	1.4167
USA	3	1	2	2	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	2	2.00	1.625	1.7500
Panama	4	4	4	3	6	6	8	5	7	9	11	13	3.75	5.000	6.6667
Costa Rica	1	3	8	6	7	4	4	7	6	3	3	3	4.50	5.000	4.5833
Honduras	5	5	6	4	4	3	3	3	4	4	5	5	5.00	4.125	4.2500
Jamaica	10	8	5	5	3	8	5	10	5	5	4	4	7.00	6.750	6.0000
Trinidad and Tobago	9	6	9	9	9	9	6	9	10	6	6	6	8.25	8.250	7.8333
Haiti	14	7	3	10	10	10	10	6	13	11	10	11	8.50	8.750	9.5833
El Salvador	7	9	13	7	15	7	12	15	21	13	12	10	9.00	10.625	11.7500
Guatemala	6	12	10	12	16	12	11	12	14	7	7	8	10.00	11.375	10.5833
Canada	15	11	7	8	8	5	9	4	8	10	9	9	10.25	8.375	8.5833
Antigua and Barbuda	8	16	15	11	12	15	16	17	17	20	19	19	12.50	13.750	15.4167
Cuba	16	10	12	16	5	11	7	8	3	8	8	7	13.50	10.625	9.2500
Dominican Republic	12	13	11	19	25	29	30	21	18	26	25	20	13.75	20.000	20.7500
St. Kitts and Nevis	13	18	16	17	17	21	22	19	19	15	14	15	16.00	17.875	17.1667
Suriname	20	14	14	18	14	19	17	18	16	19	18	17	16.50	16.750	17.0000
Guyana	22	19	17	13	13	13	18	14	12	22	28	25	17.75	16.125	18.0000
St. Vincent and the Grenadines	11	20	18	22	21	20	19	11	9	16	16	18	17.75	17.750	16.7500
Grenada	19	15	20	20	11	17	13	23	23	17	17	16	18.50	17.250	17.5833
Puerto Rico	23	21	19	15	20	22	20	30	30	30	30	33	19.50	21.250	24.4167
St. Lucia	17	17	23	31	29	28	27	24	22	14	13	14	22.00	24.500	21.5833
Bermuda	28	27	25	14	27	18	15	16	15	21	20	26	23.50	21.250	21.0000
Aruba	18	26	24	26	32	32	32	32	32	33	33	30	23.50	27.750	29.1667
Belize	25	22	27	21	26	24	26	32	32	27	27	22	23.75	25.375	25.9167
Barbados	24	24	21	27	19	14	14	13	11	12	15	12	24.00	19.500	17.1667
Nicaragua	29	23	22	25	24	16	29	20	24	18	21	21	24.75	23.500	22.6667
Curaçao	21	28	30	23	22	23	21	26	26	23	22	28	25.50	24.250	24.4167
Dominica	26	25	26	28	18	31	31	27	27	25	24	27	26.25	26.500	26.2500
Bahamas	32	29	28	24	31	26	24	22	20	29	29	29	28.25	27.000	26.9167
Montserrat	27	30	29	35	34	34	34	32	32	34	34	35	30.25	31.875	32.5000
US Virgin Islands	31	31	31	29	33	33	33	32	32	31	31	32	30.50	31.625	31.5833
Cayman Islands	33	32	33	30	23	27	25	29	28	28	26	24	32.00	29.000	28.1667
British Virgin Islands	34	33	32	32	28	30	28	28	29	24	23	23	32.75	30.625	28.6667
Turks and Caicos Islands	30	35	35	33	30	25	23	25	25	35	35	34	33.25	29.500	30.4167
Anguilla	35	34	34	34	34	34	34	31	31	32	32	31	34.25	33.750	33.0000

Curaçao (2011+) wass known as Netherlands Antilles (-2010)

 

21 months ago at the end of 2012, Canada was 64th and Costa Rica was 66th. Now Costa Rica is 105 spots ahead of Canada.

 

MB's fault... more like JK's fault.

JK made a silly sub, Gonzo as another CDM??? In stoppage time??? ...and he took out Zusi who was playing LM. The left side of the field was wide open. The wide open pass with acres of space to the best attacker in the game does not happen if Zusi is still playing LM.

 

All three ranking system place the US third. (I guess technically tied for second in the SPI)

FIFA


ELO
10 Mexico 1879
15 Costa Rica 1830
16 United States 1825
34 Panama 1693
76 Honduras 1526
76 Guatemala 1526
80 El Salvador 1505
80 T&T 1505
85 Jamaica 1491
88 Canada 1480
108 Haita 1400
134 A & B 1286
146 Dominican Rep 1237
159 St Kitts 1196
165 St Vincent & G 1161

ESPN Power Index
16 Mexico 79.2
20 Costa Rica 78.1
21 USA 78.1

 

According to my pseudo-math skills, after these pair of draws (Ecu & Hon), the US will fall at least 2-3 spots from their current rank when the updated fifa ranking comes out.

 

Likely 5-6 minimum, with Euro teams coming up the rankings possibly making that drop even bigger.

EDIT: According to the FIFA calculator, we'll be passed by: England, Croatia, Algeria, Ukraine, Romania, Czech Republic, and the Ivory Coast will pass us if they win or draw against DR Congo tomorrow.

 

Here are the final projected points after all CONCACAF October matches (Current points on left, projected points on right):



988 Costa Rica 974
963 Mexico 954
936 USA 862

374 T & T 598
540 Panama 546
535 Honduras 480

411 Antigua and Barbuda 478
534 Guatemala 466

295 Dominican Republic 405
431 El Salvador 392
266 Haiti 360
301 St Vincent & the Gren 302
257 Cuba 286
321 Jamaica 284
276 St Kitts and Nevs 279
265 Canada 251
233 Aruba 218
256 St Lucia 197

209 Grenada 176
112 Barbados 172
164 Curacao 171

175 Suriname 167
148 Guyana 148
126 Puerto Rico 119
103 Belize 99
83 Nicaragua 90
86 Montserratt 86
83 Bermuda 83

66 Turks and Caicos Islands 66
89 Dominica 53
26 Bahamas 26
23 Cayman Islands 23
28 US Virgin Islands 20
13 British Virgin Islands 8
1 Anguilla 2

 

That would be the USA's worst rank since June 2013 (before the June 2013 WCQs).

 

Should be dropping 6 spots, since the Ivory Coast lost to the DRC on Wednesday.

 

Yes. You are correct.

According to Edgar's calculations/rankings, the US will drop by 6 positions and settle at #23.

http://www.football-rankings.info/2014/10/fifa-ranking-october-2014-final-preview.html