CONCACAF Qualifying For World Cup 2018 Prediction Contest: Semifinals [R]

Discussion in 'CONCACAF' started by EvanJ, Sep 17, 2015.

  1. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I see that in the first line of Post 48, I typed "Matchday 1" when I meant "Matchday 2."

    St. Vincent and the Grenadines 2:3 Trinidad and Tobago

    20 out of 21 people predicted the correct result, but nobody predicted the exact score.
     
    AMLO2018 repped this.
  2. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Here are the Matchday 3 score prediction results out of a possible 24 points with your points, correct results, and exact scores in that order:

    1. EvanJ: 16, 5, 1 (exact score for JAM:CR)
    Tied 2. blacksun: 14, 5, 0
    Tied 2. Every Four Years: 14, 5, 1 (exact score for JAM:CR)
    Tied 2. IASocFan: 14, 5, 0
    Tied 2. Maximiliano Biancucchi: 14, 5, 0
    6. SetPeace: 12, 4, 0
    Tied 7. bartecky: 11, 4, 0
    Tied 7. Chul0: 11, 4, 0
    9. jagum: 10, 4, 1 (exact score for JAM:CR)
    10. GPisco: 9, 3, 0
    Tied 11. Dr. Gamera: 8, 3, 0
    Tied 11. NoSix: 8, 3, 1 (exact score for HAI-PAN)
    Tied 11. Outburstz: 8, 3, 0
    Tied 14. barnabyjonez: 7, 2, 1 (exact score for JAM:CR)
    Tied 14. chec: 7, 2, 1 (exact score for JAM:CR)
    Tied 14. WhyMe: 7, 3, 0
    Tied 17. ChaChaFut: 6, 2, 0
    Tied 17. Sebsasour: 6, 2, 1 (exact score for JAM:CR)
    Tied 19. Blue_nation724: 5, 2, 0
    Tied 19. dinamo_zagreb: 5, 2, 0
    21. italiancbr: 2, 1, 0

    The means (averages) were 9.2 points, 3.3 correct results, and 0.3 exact scores. St. Vincent and the Grenadines-Trinidad and Tobago was the best predicted game with 48 points (2.3 per person) and Guatemala-USA was the worst predicted game with 12 points (0.6 per person).

    Here are the cumulative score predictions out of a possible 72 points with your points, correct results, and exact scores in that order:

    1. EvanJ: 38, 13, 2
    2. Maximiliano Biancucchi: 33, 12, 1
    Tied 3. IASocFan: 32, 11, 1
    Tied 3. blacksun: 32, 11, 2
    5. Every Four Years: 31, 11, 2
    6. Outburstz: 29, 10, 1
    7. bartecky: 28, 10, 1
    8. NoSix: 27, 9, 3
    9. Chul0: 24, 9, 1
    Tied 10. Dr. Gamera: 23, 9, 1
    Tied 10: jagum: 23, 9, 2
    Tied 12. dinamo_zagreb: 22, 7, 2
    Tied 12. italiancbr: 22, 7, 3
    Tied 14. ChaChaFut: 21, 7, 1
    Tied 14. SetPeace: 21, 7, 1
    Tied 16. Blue_nation724: 20, 7, 1
    Tied 16. GPisco: 20, 7, 0
    Tied 16. barnabyjonez: 20, 7, 1
    Tied 16. WhyMe: 20, 8, 0
    Tied 16. chec: 20, 6, 2
    21. Sebsasour: 18, 6, 1

    The means (averages) were 25.0 points, 8.7 correct results, and 1.4 exact scores. The median was 23 points.
     
  3. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Here are the Matchday 4 score prediction results out of a possible 24 points with your points, correct results, and exact scores in that order:

    1. bartecky: 19, 6, 2 (exact scores for HON:ES and PAN:HAI)
    Tied 2. dinamo_zagreb: 18, 6, 2 (exact scores for MEX:CAN and HON:ES)
    Tied 2. blacksun: 18, 6, 2 (exact scores for HON:ES and PAN:HAI)
    Tied 2. italiancbr: 18, 6, 2 (exact scores for MEX:CAN and PAN:HAI)
    Tied 2. SetPeace: 18, 6, 2 (exact scores for MEX:CAN and HON:ES)
    Tied 6. EvanJ: 17, 6, 1 (exact score for PAN:HAI)
    Tied 6. barnabyjonez: 17, 6, 0
    Tied 6. Maximiliano Biancucchi: 17, 6, 0
    Tied 6. Chul0: 17, 6, 1 (exact score for HON:ES)
    Tied 6. ChaChaFut: 17, 5, 3 (exact scores for MEX:CAN, HON:ES and USA:GUA)
    Tied 6. NoSix: 17, 6, 1 (exact score for PAN:HAI)
    Tied 12. Dr. Gamera: 16, 6, 0
    Tied 12. GPisco: 16, 6, 1 (exact score for HON:ES)
    Tied 14. chec: 15, 6, 0
    Tied 14. IASocFan: 15, 6, 1 (exact score for HON:ES)
    16. Blue_nation724: 14, 6, 0
    Tied 17. Outburstz: 13, 5, 1 (exact score for MEX:CAN)
    Tied 17. Sebsasour: 13, 5, 0
    19. Every Four Years: 12, 4, 2 (exact scores for MEX:CAN and PAN:HAI)
    20. jagum: 11, 4, 1 (exact score for PAN:HAI)
    21. WhyMe: 9, 4, 0

    The averages were 15.6 points, 5.6 correct results, and 1.0 exact scores. The predictions were better than usual. I'm not checking if it has happened before, but congratulations to ChaChaFut for having three exact scores.

    Here are the cumulative score predictions out of a possible 96 points with your points, correct results, and exact scores in that order:

    1. EvanJ: 55, 19, 3
    Tied 2. Maximiliano Biancucchi: 50, 18, 1
    Tied 2. blacksun: 50, 17, 4
    Tied 4. IASocFan: 47, 17, 2
    Tied 4. bartecky: 47, 16, 3
    6. NoSix: 44, 15, 4
    7. Every Four Years: 43, 15, 4
    8. Outburstz: 42, 15, 2
    9. Chul0: 41, 15, 2
    Tied 10. dinamo_zagreb: 40, 13, 4
    Tied 10. italiancbr: 40, 13, 5
    Tied 12. Dr. Gamera: 39, 15, 1
    Tied 12. SetPeace: 39, 13, 3
    14. ChaChaFut: 38, 12, 4
    15. barnabyjonez: 37, 13, 1
    16. GPisco: 36, 13, 1
    17. chec: 35, 12, 2
    Tied 18. Blue_nation724: 34, 13, 1
    Tied 18. jagum: 34, 13, 3
    20. Sebsasour: 31, 11, 1
    21. WhyMe: 29, 12, 0

    The averages are 40.5 points, 14.3 correct results, and 2.4 exact scores.
     
    Dr. Gamera repped this.
  4. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I could be within 2 points on my standings predictions for every team if these realistic results all happen:

    Mexico beats El Salavdor
    Honduras beats Canada
    Mexico beats Honduras
    Canada beats El Salvador
    Costa Rica beats Haiti
    Panama beats Jamaica
    Costa Rica beats Panama
    Jamaica beats Haiti
    USA beats St. Vincent and the Grenadines
    Trinidad and Tobago beats Guatemala
    USA beats Trinidad and Tobago
    Guatemala beats St. Vincent and the Grenadines

    If that happens, here are what the actual points and my predicted points would be for every team with the actual points first:

    Mexico: 18, 18
    Honduras: 7, 7
    Canada: 7, 6
    El Salvador: 2, 4
    Costa Rica: 16, 14
    Panama: 10, 8
    Jamaica: 7, 9
    Haiti: 1, 1
    USA: 13, 13
    Trinidad and Tobago: 13, 13
    Guatemala: 9, 9
    St. Vincent and the Grenadines: 0, 0

    I could be correct about the points for every team in Group C. In qualifying for World Cup 2014, G Dawg (who didn't predict this time) and I were the only people to be correct about the points for every team in a group.
     
  5. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Here are the Matchday 5 score prediction results out of a possible 24 points with everybody's points, correct results, and exact scores:

    1. blacksun: 18, 6, 1 (exact score for T&T:GUA)
    2. Dr. Gamera: 17, 5, 2 (exact scores for ES:MEX and HON:CAN)
    3. IASocFan: 15, 5, 1 (exact score for HAI:CR)
    Tied 4. Blue_nation724: 14, 5, 1 (exact score for HAI:CR)
    Tied 4. barnabyjonez: 14, 5, 0
    Tied 6. EvanJ: 13, 4, 2 (exact scores for ES:MEX and HON:CAN)
    Tied 6. Maximiliano Biancucchi: 13, 5, 1
    Tied 8. Outburstz: 12, 4, 1 (exact score for HAI:CR)
    Tied 8. GPisco: 12, 4, 1 (exact score for HON:CAN)
    Tied 8. jagum: 12, 4, 1 (exact score for HON:CAN)
    Tied 8. bartecky: 12, 4, 0 (exact score for PAN:JAM)
    Tied 8. Chul0: 12, 4, 1 (exact score for HAI:CR)
    Tied 8. ChaChaFut: 12, 4, 1 (exact score for HON:CAN)
    Tied 14. Sebsasour: 11, 4, 0
    Tied 14. italiancbr: 11, 4, 1 (exact score for HON:CAN)
    Tied 16. dinamo_zagreb: 10, 4, 0
    Tied 16. NoSix: 10, 4, 0
    18. SetPeace: 9, 3, 1 (exact score for HON:CAN)
    19. chec: 7, 3, 0
    Tied 20. Every Four Years: 5, 2, 0
    Tied 20. WhyMe: 5, 2, 0

    The averages were 11.6 points, 4.0 correct results, and 0.7 exact scores. I'm not not going to post cumulative score prediction points now, but I will say that I'm tied with blacksun for first. I'll post that after the round ends on Tuesday.
     
    Blue_nation724 and Dr. Gamera repped this.
  6. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Five people have a chance to be correct about the standings order for every team.

    Group A prediction in the order of first, second, third, fourth:

    Dr. Gamera: Mexico, Honduras, Canada, El Salvador
    GPisco: Mexico, Honduras, Canada, El Salvador
    IASocFan: Mexico, Honduras, Canada, El Salvador
    NoSix: Mexico, Honduras, Canada, El Salvador
    SetPeace: Mexico, Honduras, Canada, El Salvador

    Group B prediction in the order of first, second, third, fourth:

    Dr. Gamera: Costa Rica, Panama, Jamaica, Haiti
    GPisco: Costa Rica, Panama, Haiti, Jamaica
    IASocFan: Costa Rica, Panama, Jamaica, Haiti
    NoSix: Costa Rica, Panama, Jamaica, Haiti
    SetPeace: Panama, Costa Rica, Jamaica, Haiti

    Group C prediction in the order of first, second, third, fourth:

    Dr. Gamera: USA, Trinidad and Tobago, Guatemala, St. Vincent and the Grenadines
    GPisco: USA, Trinidad and Tobago, Guatemala, St. Vincent and the Grenadines
    IASocFan: USA, Trinidad and Tobago, Guatemala, St. Vincent and the Grenadines
    NoSix: USA, Trinidad and Tobago, Guatemala, St. Vincent and the Grenadines
    SetPeace: Trinidad and Tobago, USA, Guatemala, St. Vincent and the Grenadines

    GPisco and SetPeace are the only people who could be the only person to be correct about the standings order for every team.
     
  7. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    #57 EvanJ, Sep 9, 2016
    Last edited by a moderator: Sep 9, 2016
    Here are the Matchday 6 score prediction results out of a possible 24 points with everybody's points, correct results, and exact scores:

    Tied 1. Outburstz: 13, 5, 0
    Tied 1. Maximiliano Biancucchi: 13, 4, 2 (exact scores for CR-PAN and USA:T&T)
    Tied 3. Dr. Gamera: 11, 4, 0
    Tied 3. chec: 11, 4, 1 (exact score for CR-PAN)
    Tied 5. EvanJ: 10, 4, 0
    Tied 5. barnabyjonez: 10, 4, 0
    Tied 5. Sebsasour: 10, 4, 0
    Tied 5. WhyMe: 10, 4, 0
    Tied 5. IASocFan: 10, 4, 0
    Tied 5. bartecky: 10, 4, 0
    Tied 5. Chul0: 10, 4, 0
    Tied 5. dinamo_zagreb: 10, 4, 1 (exact score for CAN:ES)
    Tied 5. ChaChaFut: 10, 4, 0
    Tied 5. blacksun: 10, 4, 0
    15. GPisco: 9, 4, 0
    Tied 16. NoSix: 8, 4, 0
    Tied 16. italiancbr: 8, 3, 0
    18. Blue_nation724: 7, 3, 0
    Tied 19. jagum: 6, 3, 0
    Tied 19. SetPeace: 6, 2, 1 (exact score for CAN:ES)
    21. Every Four Years: 4, 2, 0

    The averages were 9.3 points, 3.7 correct results, and 0.2 exact scores.

    Here are the score prediction results from all six matchdays out of a possible 144 points with everybody's points, correct results, and exact scores:

    Tied 1. EvanJ: 78, 27, 5
    Tied 1. blacksun: 78, 27, 5
    3. Maximiliano Biancucchi: 76, 27, 4
    4. IASocFan: 72, 26, 3
    5. bartecky: 69, 24, 3
    Tied 6. Outburstz: 67, 24, 3
    Tied 6. Dr. Gamera: 67, 24, 3
    8. Chul0: 63, 23, 3
    9. NoSix: 62, 23, 4
    10. barnabyjonez: 61, 22, 1
    Tied 11. dinamo_zagreb: 60, 21, 5
    Tied 11. ChachaFut: 60, 20, 5
    13. italiancbr: 59, 20, 6
    14. GPisco: 57, 21, 2
    15. Blue_nation724: 55, 21, 2
    16. SetPeace: 54, 18, 5
    17. chec: 53, 19, 3
    Tied 18. jagum: 52, 20, 4
    Tied 18. Sebsasour: 52, 19, 1
    Tied 18. Every Four Years: 52, 19, 4
    21. WhyMe: 44, 18, 0

    The averages were 61.5 points, 22.0 correct results, and 3.4 exact scores. 9 out of 21 people scored above the average. italiancbr had the most exact scores with 6, and WhyMe was the only person without any exact scores. 9.39 percent of the predictions were exact scores.

    The Semifinals score predictions are 15 percent of the whole competition. The following table lists how many points out of 15 you got using the formula your score/78*15. The people are in the same order. The people tied for first automatically got a perfect score.

    Tied 1. EvanJ: 15.000
    Tied 1. blacksun: 15.000
    3. Maximiliano Biancucchi: 14.615
    4. IASocFan: 13.846
    5. bartecky: 13.269
    Tied 6. Outburstz: 12.885
    Tied 6. Dr. Gamera: 12.885
    8. Chul0: 12.115
    9. NoSix: 11.923
    10. barnabyjonez: 11.731
    Tied 11. dinamo_zagreb: 11.538
    Tied 11. ChachaFut: 11.538
    13. italiancbr: 11.346
    14. GPisco: 10.962
    15. Blue_nation724: 10.577
    16. SetPeace: 10.385
    17. chec: 10.192
    Tied 18. jagum: 10.000
    Tied 18. Sebsasour: 10.000
    Tied 18. Every Four Years: 10.000
    21. WhyMe: 8.462

    Here is everybody's score based on how many points they were off on the standings for the three groups combined out of a possible 6.9 points. The top person automatically got a perfect score.

    1. bartecky: 6.900
    2. GPisco: 6.611
    3. blacksun: 6.418
    Tied 4. EvanJ: 6.128
    Tied 4. jagum: 6.128
    6. IASocFan: 6.032
    Tied 7. Dr. Gamera: 5.742
    Tied 7. Chul0: 5.742
    9. Every Four Years: 5.646
    Tied 10. barnabyjonez: 5.453
    Tied 10. dinamo_zagreb: 5.453
    Tied 12. Sebsasour: 5.067
    Tied 12. ChaChaFut: 5.067
    Tied 12. NoSix: 5.067
    Tied 15. Maximiliano Biancucchi: 4.971
    Tied 15. italiancbr: 4.971
    Tied 15. SetPeace: 4.971
    18. Blue_nation724: 4.874
    19. chec: 4.585
    20. Outburstz: 3.717
    21. WhyMe: 2.463

    I have more lists of standings that I will type later.
     
    AMLO2018 and Dr. Gamera repped this.
  8. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    @IASocFan

    Some of what I typed got converted into smilies and I can't edit my post anymore. Please change the smilies to CR:xPAN without the x. I put the x in this post so it wouldn't get converted into a smilie.
     
  9. IASocFan

    IASocFan Moderator
    Staff Member

    Aug 13, 2000
    IOWA
    Club:
    Sporting Kansas City
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    :p :)
     
  10. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Thank you.

    People were farther off on the standings predictions than for the Semifinals of World Cup 2014 Qualifying. The average person was off by 29.24 points for the groups combined this time and off by 23.58 points for the groups combined last time. That's about 24 percent more points off this time.
     
  11. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Here is everybody's score from your standings order predictions out of 9.6 points. Being correct about a team's position was worth 0.8 points and being one spot off and correct about if the team advanced or not was worth 0.4 points. Being wrong about whether the team advanced or not wasn't worth any points.

    1. GPisco: 9.6 (correct about the position for every team)
    Tied 2. Dr. Gamera: 8.8
    Tied 2. IASocFan: 8.8
    Tied 2. NoSix: 8.8
    Tied 5. bartecky: 8.0
    Tied 5. chec: 8.0
    Tied 5. Sebsasour: 8.0
    Tied 8. EvanJ: 7.6
    Tied 8. ChaChaFut: 7.6
    Tied 10. blacksun: 7.2
    Tied 10. italiancbr: 7.2
    Tied 10. SetPeace: 7.2
    Tied 10. Maximiliano Biancucchi: 7.2
    Tied 10. Chul0: 7.2
    15. Every Four Years: 6.8
    Tied 16. jagum: 6.4
    Tied 16. Outburstz: 6.4
    18. Blue_nation724: 6.0
    Tied 19. dinamo_zagreb: 5.6
    Tied 19. barnabyjonez: 5.6
    21. WhyMe: 4.8

    Here are standings for the three components of the Semifinals combined out of 31.5 points:

    1. EvanJ: 28.728
    2. IASocFan: 28.678
    3. blacksun: 28.618
    4. bartecky: 28.169
    5. Dr. Gamera: 27.427
    6. GPisco: 27.173
    7. Maximiliano Biancucchi: 26.766
    8. NoSix: 25.790
    9. Chul0: 25.057
    10. ChaChaFut: 24.205
    11. italiancbr: 23.517
    12. Sebsasour: 23.067
    13. Outburstz: 23.002
    14. barnabyjonez: 22.782
    15. chec: 22.777
    16. dinamo_zagreb: 22.591
    17. SetPeace: 22.556
    18. jagum: 22.528
    19. Every Four Years: 22.446
    20. Blue_nation724: 21.451
    21. WhyMe: 15.725

    I'll post the cumulative standings in the Hexagonal topic.
     
    Dr. Gamera repped this.

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