I somewhatagree with your numbers. However, what ELSE is there in those areas that would compete with your events. Stockton had nothing prior to getting our new Arena 3 years ago, except Triple A Baseball. The Arena right away had ECHL Hockey (36 reg. season home games) and af2 Arena Football (8 reg. season home games). So now there are 4 teams competing for the local sports dollars. Add The MLB Giants and A's that are 1 1/2 hours away give or take, Raiders and Niners the same. Then there is also the Kings in Sac. About 1 hour north of us. If those Areas have little to nothing going on they could do quite well, even in a fairly small market. I also am convinced that the original Cougars owners screwed up a huge opportunity when they started the first season. Think about IFG (the owner of the Hockey and Football team) what you want, they DO KNOW sports marketing. With a better approach and no hockey the Cougars would have drawn 5-6,000 average in their first season.