PBP: 2020 House and Senate Elections (Maybe even State level)

Discussion in 'Elections' started by ceezmad, May 16, 2019.

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Will Congress stay divided after the 2020 election

Poll closed Nov 6, 2020.
  1. Yes, different parties will control each chamber.

    17 vote(s)
    45.9%
  2. No, Republicans will keep the Senate and retake the House of Reps.

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  3. No, Democrats will keep the House of Reps and retake the Senate.

    18 vote(s)
    48.6%
  4. No, a great 3rd party take over of Congrees will happen.

    2 vote(s)
    5.4%
  1. JohnR

    JohnR Member+

    Jun 23, 2000
    Chicago, IL
    Alive and suffering qualifies for martyrdom too, per Merriam-Webster. Man, that's a hard word to write, my fingers constantly want to misspell it.
     
  2. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    True! :)
     
  3. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Martha, that is not a good look, seriously!
    1217833627435839489 is not a valid tweet id
     
  4. dapip

    dapip Member+

    Sep 5, 2003
    South Florida
    Club:
    Millonarios Bogota
    Nat'l Team:
    Colombia
    She reeks of privilege and unicornialism:


     
  5. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States

    That is probably your typical "undecided" voter.


    'We the people' can be crazy as fvck.
     
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  6. JohnR

    JohnR Member+

    Jun 23, 2000
    Chicago, IL
    I'd say that the typical undecided voter is this woman, but Melissa might be worse -

    [​IMG]
     
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  7. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Florida SC decision, former felons will have to pay their debts before they are allowed to vote.

    https://www.mynews13.com/fl/orlando...-supreme-court--felons-must-pay-fines-to-vote
     
  8. Smurfquake

    Smurfquake Moderator
    Staff Member

    Aug 8, 2000
    San Carlos, CA
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    You know, if one of them billionaires wanted to have an impact on the election, they could spend a buttload of their own money on ads, or they could spend a fraction of that on fees to let these former felons vote in Florida.
     
  9. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    It would be a cheaper way to buy votes, but it would be small scale.

    Not all are Democrats and many will not show up for election, but I do agree with your idea.
     
  10. appoo

    appoo Member+

    Jul 30, 2001
    USA


    That's not a good chart if you're a Republican. There's an outside shot of Jones winning
     
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  11. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Corey is a dead man walking with the former Governor Hick running in Co. Mc Sally is is hot waters with Kelly in Az and I can't wait for Collins to go down as well.
     
  12. JohnR

    JohnR Member+

    Jun 23, 2000
    Chicago, IL
    I don't understand why Collins thinks being on Team Trump is a winning strategy. She was elected to be a quasi-independent.
     
  13. Yoshou

    Yoshou Fan of the CCL Champ

    May 12, 2009
    Seattle
    Club:
    Seattle Sounders
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Because Republicans in Maine are just as crazy as Republicans everywhere else and Collins has to worry about making it through the Republican primary.
     
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  14. American Brummie

    Jun 19, 2009
    There Be Dragons Here
    Club:
    Birmingham City FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    And to add to this, Republicans got slaughtered in 2018 so therefore up is down and they did well. Don't underestimate herd mentality here.
     
    bigredfutbol repped this.
  15. soccernutter

    soccernutter Moderator
    Staff Member

    Tottenham Hotspur
    Aug 22, 2001
    Near the mountains.
    Club:
    Tottenham Hotspur FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    So, this is a bit of an interesting seat. The Rep running for the seat is Scott Fitzgerald, basically the guy who got Act 10 (the anti-union bill) to pass. He has led the Wisconsin State Senate for 7 years and is very, very partisan. He is also been very aggressive in opposing Evers (new governor of Wisconsin 2018) and Evers' policies, so much so that he had a series of laws passed at the end of 2017 greatly reducing the powers of the Governor. Most (all?) of them were taken to court and there is a lot of negative sentiment at the Republican state legislators right now. Another issue, as I understand, is that Fitzgerald does not (or did not) live in the district at the point he said he was running for Sensenbrenner's seat. All of this is in addition to the area buttressing NW Milwaukee and getting quite a bit of spillover, demographically. It is also becoming more trendy to live in the area, which is attracting younger people. It is ripe for a flip, certainly next election, and possibly this election.

    The problem is that the candidate the dems have is not great. I tried to volunteer for the campaign, even went to a meet-and-greet for other volunteers meeting the candidate Tom Palzewicz, and the guy is a dud. Even with that, he still won 38% of the vote v. Sensenbrenner for 2018. I'm following him on social media, and the guy just projects "meh." Which sucks, because his campaign manager is the opposite.
     
  16. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    #266 EvanJ, Jan 20, 2020
    Last edited: Jan 20, 2020
    According to Wikipedia, two states will have Senate elections on Election Day that only determine the winner if somebody gets a majority. Otherwise, they have a runoff. Mississippi had that in 2018, but the Democrat didn't have much chance, and it didn't determine control of the Senate. If necessary, Louisiana will have a runoff on December 5, but that should be won by a Republican. The big deal is a possible gain for Democrats in the special election in Georgia, which could have a runoff on January 5. By then everyone would know who the vice-president will be to break a tie in the Senate. It would be a big deal if a runoff in Georgia happens and determines control of the Senate. It's not likely to determine control of the Senate, but it's worth thinking about. Joe Lieberman did not become Vice-President after Election 2000 that was decided after Election Day. Joe's son Matt, who apparently doesn't come from CT where Joe did, is the Democratic challenger in that special election, so father and son could both be involved in big electoral decisions after Election Day. The filing deadline is March 6, and so far the candidates are Republican appointee incumbent Kelly Loeffler, primary challenger Wayne Johnson, and Lieberman.

    The Senate incumbents who are running and have primary challengers important enough to have a Wikipedia page are:

    Kentucky: Wesley Morgan challenging Mitch McConnell
    Massachusetts: Joe Kennedy III challenging Ed Markey
    South Dakota: Scyller Borglum challeneging Mike Rounds

    Including all candidates regardless of whether the incumbent is running, 24 of 35 Senate elections have at least two candidates with a Wikipedia page.

    After Booker gave up running for president and declared that he is running for Senate re-election, the only undecided incumbent is Oklahoma's Jim Inhofe, who's 85 and won a special election in 1994. He ranks seventh in seniority and second in seniority among senators up for re-election behind McConnell. The most senior senator is Vermont's Pat Leahy, who was elected in 1974, which was before three senators were born. The filing deadline for Oklahoma is April 10.
     
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  17. American Brummie

    Jun 19, 2009
    There Be Dragons Here
    Club:
    Birmingham City FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Preeeeetty sure you made that first name up.
     
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  18. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Here's a screen shot.
     

    Attached Files:

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  19. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Elections have consequences. Well dome Virginia.

     
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  20. JohnR

    JohnR Member+

    Jun 23, 2000
    Chicago, IL
    National politics would look quite different if Millennials heeded your words.
     
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  21. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    It is their turn, young people not voting is a rite of passage for us all.

    As we get older we start to vote more and more, so it not just millennial's, all of our generations had the same apathy for voting.


    upload_2020-1-22_10-39-18.png


    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Youth.../media/File:Voting_Trends_by_Race_and_Age.jpg



    31% in 2018 was something "historical"

    So really something around 30% is about as good as we are going to get for young vote turn out.

    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/a...historic_turnout_by_young_voters__138591.html
     
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  22. Yoshou

    Yoshou Fan of the CCL Champ

    May 12, 2009
    Seattle
    Club:
    Seattle Sounders
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    #272 Yoshou, Jan 22, 2020
    Last edited: Jan 22, 2020
    Good news! It's time to start trashing on GenZ for not voting. Depending on where you put the cut-offs, Millenials are now between 20 and 40, so a vast majority are in prime voting age. They are also on the verge of being the largest generation of voters, so, unlike those of us that are GenX, they should actually be able to replace Baby Boomers in political office.

    In fact, according to Pew Research, the 2018 midterms was the first time that the more people from the generations before the Baby Boomers voted than people from the Baby Boomers and older.

    https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-ta...-outvoted-older-generations-in-2018-midterms/

    [​IMG]

    I'll give you a hint where that giant spike between '14 and '18 came from, it wasn't GenX. ;)
     
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  23. JohnR

    JohnR Member+

    Jun 23, 2000
    Chicago, IL
    Thanks for the info. However, it's only good news if Millennials don't emulate Boomers by advocating peace, love, and understanding when young, and then voting Trump when old.
     
  24. Yoshou

    Yoshou Fan of the CCL Champ

    May 12, 2009
    Seattle
    Club:
    Seattle Sounders
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Hippies were a relatively small percentage of the Boomer generation... It's also repeating pattern that people become more conservative as they get older.. Of course, that could just be that every generation has tended to be more "liberal" than the generations before them, so it just appears that the become more conservative. ;)
     
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  25. Dr. Wankler

    Dr. Wankler Member+

    May 2, 2001
    The Electric City
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
    This post is a lot of work just to say "Okay, Boomer."
     

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