2019 Season - Prediction Contest

Discussion in 'NWSL' started by cpthomas, Mar 12, 2019.

  1. cpthomas

    cpthomas BigSoccer Supporter

    Portland Thorns
    United States
    Jan 10, 2008
    Portland, Oregon
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Shall we do the prediction contest this year? If so, I have the program set up in Excel and I'll be happy to do the standings reports, same as last year.

    Assuming it's a "yes," here are the rules from last year. They seemed to work well and are basically the same as the year before. Do they look ok?

    PS - If a good number of last year's competitors participate again, I think the robot will yield its 1st place finishing position to some humans. The humans learned well last year from the robot and its data and were closing on it at the end of the season. Even if the robot can get a lead early this year, which may be unlikely, I doubt it will be a big enough lead to hold off challengers late in the season.

    Ladder Predictions (to be posted before the first game of the season begins):

    6pts - Perfect prediction of a team's end position on the ladder
    3pts - 1 position off of a team's end position on the ladder
    1pt - - 2 positions off of a team's end position on the ladder

    6pts - Correctly picking the group of 4 playoff teams
    4pts - Picking 3/4 of the group of 4 playoff teams
    2pts - Picking 2/4 of the group of 4 playoff teams
    1pt - - Picking 1/4 of the group of 4 playoff teams

    4pts - Correctly picking the Shield/Spoon winners
    2pts - Your Shield/Spoon winner is within 2 positions
    2pts - The real Shield/Spoon winner is within 2 positions on your ladder

    2pts - For each correct advancement you put through the playoffs
    1pt - - Correct method of advancement (regulation, OT, or PKs) for the semifinals
    2pts - Correct method of advancement (regulation, OT, or PKs) for the final/title

    6pts - Making one ladder prediction and never editing it
    -1pts - For every week up to wk12 that's been played before your prediction is finalized

    Regular Season Predictions (to be posted as the season progresses, with each game prediction to be posted before that game begins):

    3pts - Exact score predicted
    2pts - Correct GD predicted
    1pt - - Correct W/L/D predicted
    +1pt - Not exact score, but correct goals scored for one team

    Playoff Predictions (to be posted as the playoffs progress, with each game prediction to be posted before that game begins):

    8pts - Exact score predicted (W/L)
    8pts - Exact score predicted (D) WITH correct advancing team
    6pts - Exact score predicted (D), wrong advancing team
    4pts - Exact score predicted (D) at 90min but not 120min WITH correct advancing team
    3pts - Exact score predicted (D) at 90min but not 120min, wrong advancing team
    5pts - Correct GD predicted (W/L)
    4pts - Correct GD predicted (D) WITH correct advancing team
    3pts - Correct GD predicted (D), wrong advancing team
    2pts - Correct GD predicted (D) at 90min but not 120min WITH correct advancing team
    1pt - - Correct GD predicted (D) at 90min but not 120min, wrong advancing team
    3pts - Correct W/L prediction
    2pts - Correct advancing team if you predicted W/L by 1 goal but match was D
    1pt - - Correct advancing team if you predicted W/L by 2+ goals but match was D
    +1pt - Not exact score, but correct goals scored for one team
    6pts - correct prediction of the Final game MVP
     
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  2. blissett

    blissett Member+

    Aug 20, 2011
    Italy
    Club:
    --other--
    Nat'l Team:
    --other--
    My question is: when exactly does the season begin?
     
  3. SiberianThunderT

    Sep 21, 2008
    DC
    Club:
    Saint Louis Athletica
    Nat'l Team:
    Spain
    We've already got a few preseason games under out collective belts, but I'm gonna wait a bit more to put my ladder together.
    April 13th
     
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  4. CoachJon

    CoachJon Member+

    Feb 1, 2006
    Rochester, NY
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Just wanted to say: Thanks, CP!
     
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  5. blissett

    blissett Member+

    Aug 20, 2011
    Italy
    Club:
    --other--
    Nat'l Team:
    --other--
    Before I post my prediction, I guess my next question is legitimate: are we 100% sure that Sky Blue FC have everything cleared and will regularly start the season? :cautious:
     
  6. cpthomas

    cpthomas BigSoccer Supporter

    Portland Thorns
    United States
    Jan 10, 2008
    Portland, Oregon
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Maybe that should be one of the predictions!:eek:
     
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  7. SiberianThunderT

    Sep 21, 2008
    DC
    Club:
    Saint Louis Athletica
    Nat'l Team:
    Spain
    Considering how they handled the schedule with Boston last year, I think we can confidently say (as of several weeks ago, when this year's schedule came out) that Sky Blue will be playing when the season begins.
     
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  8. liesse00

    liesse00 Member

    Jan 17, 2013
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    North Carolina
    Portland
    Seattle
    Chicago
    Houston
    Utah
    Orlando
    Washington
    Sky Blue

    NC over Chi
    Portland over Sea

    NC over Portland
     
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  9. Smallchief

    Smallchief Member+

    Oct 27, 2012
    Club:
    --other--
    North Carolina
    Chicago
    Houston (my speculative pick.)
    Portland
    Tacoma (Seattle is so last year)
    Utah
    Orlando
    Washington
    Sky Blue

    NC beats Portland
    Houston beats Chicago

    NC beats Houston
     
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  10. cpthomas

    cpthomas BigSoccer Supporter

    Portland Thorns
    United States
    Jan 10, 2008
    Portland, Oregon
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    liesse00, can you also, for the playoff games, indicate whether the result will be in regulation time, overtime, or by PKs? You can score points if you get that right.
     
  11. cpthomas

    cpthomas BigSoccer Supporter

    Portland Thorns
    United States
    Jan 10, 2008
    Portland, Oregon
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Smallchief, can you also, for the playoff games, indicate whether the result will be in regulation time, overtime, or by PKs? You can score points if you get that right.
     
  12. holden

    holden Member+

    Dundee FC, Yeovil Town LFC, Girondins de Bordeaux
    Oct 20, 2009
    Los Angeles
    Club:
    Dundee FC
    Regular Season
    1. NCC
    2. PTFC
    3. CRS
    4. HD
    5. URFC
    6. RFC
    7. WS
    8. OP
    9. SBFC

    Semis
    NCC over HD in regulation
    PTFC over CRS in PK

    Final
    NCC over PTFC in OT
     
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  13. Smallchief

    Smallchief Member+

    Oct 27, 2012
    Club:
    --other--
    regulation time victories for all playoff games.
     
  14. liesse00

    liesse00 Member

    Jan 17, 2013
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Regulation time for all three.
     
  15. blissett

    blissett Member+

    Aug 20, 2011
    Italy
    Club:
    --other--
    Nat'l Team:
    --other--
    I'll make some odd predictions. Bare with me, I am basically just gambling a little (what robots never do :laugh:):

    North Carolina Courage
    Chicago Red Stars
    Seattle Reign FC
    Utah Royals
    Portalnd Thorns
    Sky Blue FC
    Orlando Pride
    Houston Dash
    Washington Spirit

    Semi-finals
    North Carolina Courage-Utah Royals: NCC advance at penalty shootout
    Chicago red Stars-Seattle Reign FC: CRC Advance in regulation

    Final
    North Carolina Courage-Chicago Red Stars: CRC win the title in regulation
     
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  16. 59Amerinorsk

    59Amerinorsk Member

    Chicago Red Stars
    Norway
    Mar 31, 2017
    Sweet prediction, blissett :thumbsup:
     
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  17. 59Amerinorsk

    59Amerinorsk Member

    Chicago Red Stars
    Norway
    Mar 31, 2017
    Chicago
    North Carolina
    Portland
    Utah
    Orlando
    Tacoma
    Houston
    Washington
    NJ/NY


    Semi-finals
    Chicago d. Utah in regulation
    Portland d. North Carolina in overtime


    Final
    Chicago d. Portland in regulation :cool::p:D:thumbsup:
     
  18. lunatica

    lunatica Member+

    Nov 20, 2013
    North Carolina Courage
    Chicago Red Stars
    Portland Thorns FC
    Houston Dash
    Reign FC
    Utah Royals FC
    Washington Spirit
    Orlando Pride
    Sky Blue FC

    NC over HOU in regulation
    Chicago over Portland in OT

    NC over Chicago in regulation
     
  19. SiberianThunderT

    Sep 21, 2008
    DC
    Club:
    Saint Louis Athletica
    Nat'l Team:
    Spain
    Alright, so here's what I'm thinking, going in order down last year's standings. Obviously NCC hasn't slowed down at all and I don't see anyone having caught up even if you take out all the NTers, so they're locks for the Shield and gonna challenge for the Championship too. Portland... IDK; after the first couple of seasons, the club always seems to be a mixed bag to me, because on paper they're usually as good as NCC but never seem to click as well. Seattle had a great preseason, but like Portland I'm never entirely sure where they stand, though unlike Portland I think they'll weather the WCC lean times better. Chicago is usually pretty solid as a mid-table team, but I don't see any signs they really have anything to really push them over the top - Kerr striking up a great partnership with anyone on the team could do so, but both players would be gone for the WCC break. I'm expecting Utah to do better than last year, both because they've had a year to grow and because I think they'll be one of the teams disturbed the least by the WCC drain. I'm also optimistic about Houston, since they've made several good to great moves this offseason and everyone seems to be buying in to the new order of things - but Houston will be hit hard by the WCC. Then between Orlando, DC, and NJ... I think all will do better than last year points-wise, Orlando have a roster to hit higher in the table, but their preseason wasn't incredibly encouraging and they'll be hit hard by the WCC too - as will DC, which we saw could (in preseason form) match the in-season French #3 team as long as they had their first squad out, but depth for them is baaaad. Depth for NJ is also gonna be an issue with how injury-ridden they are right now, but if their players get healthy in time for the WWC break, I expect them to climb the table then, at least somewhat, since they won't be WWC-depleted.

    Alright, so what does that mean for my standings? I... I actually don't know that well. X-D I have a clear #1, and a fairly clear #7-#9, but #2-#6 is just a mess in my eyes. Last year there were only 10pts separating #2 from #6, and I'm betting this year it'll be even less. So let's roll a die and see what I get...

    1. NCC
    2. UT
    3. POR
    4. HOU
    5. SEA
    6. CHI
    7. ORL
    8. NJ
    9. DC

    SF1 - NC over HOU in regulation
    SF2 - UT over POR in OT
    Final - UT over NC in KftS
     
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  20. CoachJon

    CoachJon Member+

    Feb 1, 2006
    Rochester, NY
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    ....... I am cogitating.......and will be back in time
     
  21. CoachJon

    CoachJon Member+

    Feb 1, 2006
    Rochester, NY
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    In a non-world cup year, I would have predicted more movement in the ladder. As it is, I think Portland and North Carolina will be the only two teams with fewer total points than they had in 2018.

    Regular Season
    1. NCC
    2. RFC
    3. POR
    4. CHI
    5. URFC
    6. HOU
    7. WAS
    8. NJ
    9. SBFC

    Semis
    NCC over CHI in OT, because NCC will really be at home
    RFC over POR in OT, because RFC will be at home

    Final
    NCC over RFC in regulation, because NCC
     
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  22. SiberianThunderT

    Sep 21, 2008
    DC
    Club:
    Saint Louis Athletica
    Nat'l Team:
    Spain
    You have Sky Blue twice and no Orlando
     
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  23. Tapas&Fútbol

    Tapas&Fútbol New Member

    Real Betis
    Spain
    Apr 11, 2019
    Seville (Spain)
    Hi everybody. I am a new guy around here.
    This is my prediction:

    1. Courage
    2. Reign
    3. Thorns
    4. Royals
    5. Red Stars
    6. Pride
    7. Dash
    8. Spirit
    9. Sky Blue

    Semis
    Courage over Royals in regulation
    Reign over Thorns in regulation

    Final
    Courage over Reign in OT


    Greetings from Seville (Spain).
     
  24. blissett

    blissett Member+

    Aug 20, 2011
    Italy
    Club:
    --other--
    Nat'l Team:
    --other--
    New blood is always welcome on this forum! :) If you'll stay with us for the weekly predictions also, I promise you'll have fun! ;)

    Edit: also, I see you're a Real Betis supporter: only the men's club or the women's too? In case you follow the women's team, I'll need to ask you a question, that's anyway off-topic on this thread.
     
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  25. cpthomas

    cpthomas BigSoccer Supporter

    Portland Thorns
    United States
    Jan 10, 2008
    Portland, Oregon
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Welcome to the contest! Going to the World Cup?
     
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