2019 Playoff Watch [R]

Discussion in 'San Jose Earthquakes' started by tvromero, Apr 9, 2019.

  1. markmcf8

    markmcf8 Member+

    Oct 18, 1999
    Vancouver, WA, USA
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Hey! It might be his first game of the season! Coaches often like to give a player a start against their former team, especially if there's any bad blood there.

    But no, probably Fatai doesn't see the eighteen. It was more a joke than anything else, suggesting the absolute nadir of our season.

    Go Quakes!!
    We Suck!!

    - Mark
     
  2. due time

    due time Member+

    Mar 1, 1999
    Santa Clara
    Well, if we had waited until late summer like most other boards, we'd miss out on the convo for the year since we'll be eliminated by then!
     
  3. falvo

    falvo Member+

    Mar 27, 2005
    San Jose & Florence
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    Nat'l Team:
    Italy
    I can't wait until the Quakes make the playoffs again!

    [​IMG]
     
  4. don gagliardi

    don gagliardi Member+

    San Jose Earthquakes
    Feb 28, 2004
    san jose
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    Didn't the Sharks lose 5-0 in the playoffs the other night? Then what happened?
     
  5. don gagliardi

    don gagliardi Member+

    San Jose Earthquakes
    Feb 28, 2004
    san jose
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
  6. falvo

    falvo Member+

    Mar 27, 2005
    San Jose & Florence
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    Nat'l Team:
    Italy
    I don't watch , follow or like hockey nor do I care about it.

    The Quakes after that "playoff" loss, were eliminated though and have only won 5 games ever since.
     
  7. don gagliardi

    don gagliardi Member+

    San Jose Earthquakes
    Feb 28, 2004
    san jose
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    Phew. Without the emphasized addendum I might not have understood your point. :)

     
    Boysinblue, Beckham7 and Earthshaker repped this.
  8. tvromero

    tvromero Member

    Jun 2, 2018
    Seven games in and we are four points out of a playoff spot.

    The current trend is 43 pts for a playoff spot, our last win gives us 6 pts and a 0.86 ppg. We need to avg 1.37 ppg to get to 43.

    Next Three Games
    - Three Wins - outstanding
    - Two wins - moving up
    - One win, two ties - moving up
    - One win, one tie - keeping up
    - Three ties - losing ground

    http://www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/SanJose.html

    Chance of Playoffs: 14.6%
    Wooden Spoon: 9.8%
     
  9. tvromero

    tvromero Member

    Jun 2, 2018
    Eight games in, 26 more to go, and we are three points out of a playoff spot.

    The current trend is 43 pts for a playoff spot, our last draw gives us 7 pts and a 0.88 ppg. We need to avg 1.38 ppg to get to 43.

    Next Three Games:
    - Three Wins - outstanding
    - Two wins - moving up
    - One win, two ties - moving up
    - One win, one tie - keeping up
    - Three ties - losing ground

    http://www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/SanJose.html

    Chance of Playoffs: 14.8% (+0.2%)
    Wooden Spoon: 10.1% (+0.3%)
     
  10. don gagliardi

    don gagliardi Member+

    San Jose Earthquakes
    Feb 28, 2004
    san jose
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    So, after earning a draw in Seattle last night, the Quakes Wooden Spoon odds increased?

    Sounds like your typical data-driven "science" to me.
     
  11. bsman

    bsman Member+

    May 30, 2001
    MadCity
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes

    Let me guess: You're comfortable with science being settled in courts of law? :)

    [​IMG]
     
    markmcf8 and due time repped this.
  12. don gagliardi

    don gagliardi Member+

    San Jose Earthquakes
    Feb 28, 2004
    san jose
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    Much more comfortable than having it settled in the mainstream media.

    scopes_trial.jpg
     
    bsman repped this.
  13. falvo

    falvo Member+

    Mar 27, 2005
    San Jose & Florence
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    Nat'l Team:
    Italy
    8 games 7 points......

    Only 3 more points or 1 win & we're in!

    upload_2019-4-25_10-36-7.png


     
  14. bsman

    bsman Member+

    May 30, 2001
    MadCity
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    IIRC, Science lost that battle and the court ruled in favor of 2000 year-old superstition!
     
    markmcf8 repped this.
  15. don gagliardi

    don gagliardi Member+

    San Jose Earthquakes
    Feb 28, 2004
    san jose
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    The conviction was overturned on appeal. :)
     
    bsman repped this.
  16. Earthshaker

    Earthshaker BigSoccer Supporter

    Sep 12, 2005
    The hills above town
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Our playoff watch is ticking again.
     
  17. Earthshaker

    Earthshaker BigSoccer Supporter

    Sep 12, 2005
    The hills above town
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    One thing the Mueller Report revealed was that mainstream news stories that were claimed to be "fake news" at the time proved to be mostly accurate.
     
    markmcf8 repped this.
  18. don gagliardi

    don gagliardi Member+

    San Jose Earthquakes
    Feb 28, 2004
    san jose
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    #43 don gagliardi, Apr 25, 2019
    Last edited: Apr 25, 2019
  19. hc897

    hc897 Member+

    May 3, 2009
    San Jose, CA
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    You do know there are other teams in the league and their results affect probabilities, right?
     
    markmcf8 repped this.
  20. don gagliardi

    don gagliardi Member+

    San Jose Earthquakes
    Feb 28, 2004
    san jose
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    Probabilities about who is going to win sporting events weeks or months from now is utter pseudo-science. Complete bullshit. Have I made myself clear?
     
    SalinasQuakesFan repped this.
  21. tvromero

    tvromero Member

    Jun 2, 2018
    Last season we have a 0.62 ppg average for the Wooden Spoon, our nearest competitor was a 0.82. Currently we are at 0.86 so just barely missing the Wooden spoon based on 2018 results.

    Right now we are really benefiting from some lousy performing teams in our division but will they continue to be bad. Only Colorado is a repeat performer from 2018.
     
    markmcf8 repped this.
  22. Earthshaker

    Earthshaker BigSoccer Supporter

    Sep 12, 2005
    The hills above town
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I am talking about stories written by the NYT and WAPO, etc. The didn't write the Steele Dossier. As the article you linked states, "Mr. Steele has made clear to associates that he always considered the dossier to be raw intelligence — not established facts, but a starting point for further investigation."
     
    markmcf8 repped this.
  23. don gagliardi

    don gagliardi Member+

    San Jose Earthquakes
    Feb 28, 2004
    san jose
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    The precision of your data is so exact that it must foretell the future.

    Trump cannot win. The Sharks cannot beat Vegas. Playing well in Seattle (and over four consecutive games) means the Quakes are actually increasing their odds of being the worst team in the league six months from now.

    I also hear the world will end in 12 years if we don't act now (which we won't). Science.

    fortune teller.jpg
     
  24. don gagliardi

    don gagliardi Member+

    San Jose Earthquakes
    Feb 28, 2004
    san jose
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    I'm happy to discuss this in detail with you over beers, but in deference to the no politics rule, this will be my last post on this sorry subject.

    You're missing a considerable forest for the trees.

    The Steele Dossier was an obvious hoax from the outset. There was no news story and should not have been any articles on the subject of Russian Collusion except to say that the Steele Dossier was an obvious hoax, something the Times is only belatedly and less than forthrightly saying now.

    However, the New York Times and the Washington Post and others in the mainstream media covered the absurd conspiracy theory for two full years on the false premise the investigation had any foundation in fact whatsoever instead of being a political contrivance.
     
  25. hc897

    hc897 Member+

    May 3, 2009
    San Jose, CA
    Club:
    San Jose Earthquakes
    Yes, you have. You do not understand how probabilities work. Got it.
     
    markmcf8 repped this.

Share This Page