That has been my impression ever since I moved to the US 15 years ago. Due to turnout, special elections are the least likely elections for Democrats to prevail, followed by midterms, with presidential election days the most favorable. This is the opposite of Denmark, in which leftist candidates actually do better in most special elections or by-elections. I dunno, maybe it's a California thing, because turnout is always miserable for special elections here, although I see that Texas seems to have the same problem. https://www.expressnews.com/news/lo...Democrats-Tuesday-was-the-latest-13613920.php But yes, maybe there is greater reason to be hopeful in the age of Trump.