2018 D1 Women's Soccer Tournament Prediction Contest

Discussion in 'Women's College' started by Soccerhunter, Nov 5, 2018.

  1. Soccerhunter

    Soccerhunter Member+

    Sep 12, 2009
    Hello WoSo Fans!

    Once again it's just about time to set up the annual NCAA Prediction Contest for women's DI soccer. And for the second year I would love someone to take it over as I continue to be too busy. So interested fans, do let me know of your interest in taking over running this contest. I'd be much obliged.

    For those of you who haven't participated, here are the basics.

    For the last four years, we had two divisions: (1)The Human Division where about 25 of us WOSO fans entered our best bracket, and (2) the Statistical / Machine Division where we had 6 entries last year. Usually, the very top humans beat everyone (including the computers) but the Machines beat the humans on the average.

    I've received positive feedback on the system of scoring for the last five years that I've done this, so I'll suggest using that system once again. Recall that its major feature is to underweight a little bit the big payoffs for calling the semi final and final games, and emphasize more points in the second and third rounds to reward savvy picks in those "upset rounds" leading up to the elite 8. If you can call the elite 8 you're going to be in high-level company with a great shot at taking the contest. But if you get every other pick wrong except the the eventual finalists then you will end up in the middle of the heap. In other words, if you pick Stanford and and FSU to play for the 2018 championship, you might have called the winners, but if you got all of the other picks wrong, other contestants who correctly called most of the 56 games leading to the elite 8 will have a big lead on you even if they miss on the two golden teams.

    Pending on (hopefully) hearing from a volunteer, I'll communicate again on Wednesday AM with the specific rules. (Same as last year, repeated.)

    Cheers!

    Soccerhunter
     
    Tsunami, MiLLeNNiuM and McSkillz repped this.
  2. Lord Kril

    Lord Kril Member

    Pittsburgh Riverhounds
    Jul 3, 2018
    Run it one more year, please.
     
  3. PlaySimple

    PlaySimple Member

    Sep 22, 2016
    Chicagoland
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Is this going to happen?
     
    Crazyhorse repped this.
  4. Lord Kril

    Lord Kril Member

    Pittsburgh Riverhounds
    Jul 3, 2018
  5. Crazyhorse

    Crazyhorse Member

    Dec 29, 2007
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
     
  6. Soccerhunter

    Soccerhunter Member+

    Sep 12, 2009
    OK....No takers..... I'll dive in again, but may be a little slow posting the results, so bear with me.

    GET YOUR ENTRIES IN!

    All entries must be posted on this thread by 4:00 (eastern time) on Friday. This leaves all day on Thursday and up until 4:00 on Friday to post your entry.

    FORMATTING ENTRIES.

    The format that contestants submit entries is quite important to me. If each entry is EXACTLY in the format as described below, then I will be very happy. I want to be able to "cut and paste" which is why rigorously using the format is important. Otherwise, I'd have to hand copy 63 choices per contestant into the spreadsheet.
    (If I have to hand copy each school name, the the chance for error seriously increases... and it takes me longer...)

    FIRST: State your Big Soccer SCREEN NAME. THEN leave a vertical space and type "1st Round"and then under that heading proceed to post a vertical list of your picks for each round --one school name for each match scheduled to be played. List your picks in order starting with the Stanford-Seattle winner and proceed down the left side of the bracket to the Louisville-Tennessee winner and then continue down the right side of the bracket starting with Georgetown-Cent Conn St. and ending with Howard-UNC. This exercise should yield a vertical list of 32 first round picker winners

    THEN leave a space ("enter") in the list, type in "2nd Round" and just below that heading proceed to post your picks for the 16 second round winners. THEN leave a space and post a vertical list of your picks for the elite 8. THEN a space and list the final 4. THEN a space and list the finalists, THEN leave a space and list your pick for the champion.

    As a FORMAT EXAMPLE your entry should look like this (below.)

    FORMAT EXAMPLE:


    SCREEN NAME

    1st Round
    Stanford
    Clemson
    Wisconsin
    Boston College
    Texas A&M
    BYU
    Arizona
    Tennessee
    West Virginia
    etc...
    etc...
    etc...
    Arkansas
    Kansas
    North Carolina

    2nd Round
    Stanford
    Boston College
    etc...
    etc...
    North Carolina

    3rd Round
    Stanford
    etc...
    etc...
    North Carolina

    4th Round
    Stanford
    Florida State
    Virginia
    UCLA

    Semi Finalists
    Florida State
    UCLA

    Champion
    UCLA

    So there you have the format for the contest entries!

    If you want to enter a bracket based on a computer calculation or even a hand calculated arithmetic ranking system, then please feel free to do so. CP Thomas and Bennett generally are the competition to beat (and CP also supplies a bracket based on the official NCAA ARPI and some other iterations.)

    As discussed in the first post above, the scoring system will be the same one used for four years now. Identifying the correct winner of a match will be awarded with 1,3,6,8,8,8 points for each of the 6 rounds. (eg total points available for each of the 6 rounds are 32, 48, 48, 32,16, 8. This system typically puts about 1/3 of the field into a position of possibly winning by the end of the third round. (Those who are yet in position to win the contest usually do well in the 2nd and 3rd rounds -- The "Upset" Rounds.) The "elite 8" round (round 4) does some good pruning of contestants down to 3 or 4 possible victors, and the semi finals and championship game separate those remaining viable winning contestants to find the our Champion Pronosticator. So far in the contest, I don't think that we've had a tie in the 7 years I've been participating in (or running) this contest.

    Our big prize for the winner is the natural opportunity to take a bow and then to explain his or her genius behind the winning picks, and then after a pause explaining what the difference was from the previous year when that same genius failed. (We've never had a repeat winner...)

    So sit down and fill in your brackets and send in your entry. Let the fun begin!
     
    HeadSpun, MiLLeNNiuM, Crazyhorse and 2 others repped this.
  7. Tom81

    Tom81 Member+

    Jan 25, 2008
    Round 1
    Stanford
    Clemson
    Wisconsin
    BC
    Tex A&M
    BYU
    Arizona
    Tennessee

    West Va
    Wake Forest
    Penn St
    South Car
    USC
    LSU
    USF
    FSU

    Georgetown
    Wash ST
    Miss St
    Duke
    Virginia
    Princeton
    Vandy
    Baylor

    UCLA
    Auburn
    NCSt
    Santa Clara
    Texas
    Arkansas
    Kansas
    UNC

    Round 2
    Stanford
    BC
    Tex A&M
    Tennessee

    West Va
    USCe
    USCw
    FSU

    Georgetown
    Duke
    Virginia
    Vandy

    UCLA
    Santa Clara
    Texas
    UNC

    Round 3
    Stanford
    Tex A&M

    USCe
    FSU

    Duke
    UVA

    UCLA
    UNC

    Round 4
    Stanford
    FSU
    UVA
    UNC

    Semis
    FSU
    UNC

    finals
    FSU
     
  8. Glove Stinks

    Glove Stinks Member+

    Jan 20, 2014
    Club:
    Chelsea FC
    Tom. Pretty sure he just wants spacing between rounds and wants rounds identified. So all round 1 games then space the all round. 2 then space etc
     
    Soccerhunter repped this.
  9. Glove Stinks

    Glove Stinks Member+

    Jan 20, 2014
    Club:
    Chelsea FC
    Glove Stinks

    Round 1
    Stanford
    Clemson
    Memphis
    Boston COLLEGE
    Texas am
    BYU
    ARIZONA
    TENNESSEE
    WEST VIRGINIA
    WAKE
    PENN ST
    SOUTH CAROLINA
    USC
    LSU
    SOUTH FLORIDA
    FLORIDA STATE
    GEORGETOWN
    WASH ST
    MISS ST
    DUKE
    VIRGINIA
    PRINCETON
    VANDY
    BAYLOR
    UCLA
    AUBURN
    NC STATE
    SANTA CLARA
    TEXAS
    ARKANSAS
    KANSAS
    UNC

    ROUND 2
    STANFORD
    BOSTON COLLEGE
    BYU
    TENNESSEE
    WEST VIRGINIA
    PENN ST
    USC
    FSU
    WASH ST
    DUKE
    VIRGINIA
    VANDY
    UCLA
    SANTA CLARA
    TEXAS
    UNC

    ROUND 3
    Stanford
    TENNESEE
    PENN ST
    USC
    DUKE
    VIRGINIA
    UUCLA
    UNC

    ROUND 4
    STANFORD
    USC
    UCLA
    UNC

    ROUND 5
    USC
    UNC

    ROUND 6
    USC
     
  10. Bosco

    Bosco Member

    Feb 19, 2010
    Do selections have to be consistent from one round to the next? Could one, say, pick Ohio State to beat Wake Forest in the first round and then have Wake defeating West Virginia in the next round?
     
  11. Glove Stinks

    Glove Stinks Member+

    Jan 20, 2014
    Club:
    Chelsea FC
    Must be consistent round to round. Just like a basketball bracket
     
    Soccerhunter repped this.
  12. PlaySimple

    PlaySimple Member

    Sep 22, 2016
    Chicagoland
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Playsimple

    1st Round
    Stanford
    Clemson
    Memphis
    Boston College
    Texas A&M
    BYU
    Arizona
    Tennessee
    West Virginia
    Wake Forest
    Penn State
    South Carolina
    Southern California
    LSU
    South Florida
    Florida State
    Georgetown
    Washington State
    Mississippi
    Duke
    Virginia
    Texas Tech
    Vanderbilt
    Baylor
    UCLA
    Minnesota
    Northwestern
    Santa Clara
    Texas
    Arkansas
    Kansas
    North Carolina

    2nd Round
    Stanford
    Boston College
    Texas A&M
    Tennessee
    West Virginia
    Penn State
    Southern California
    Florida State
    Georgetown
    Duke
    Virginia
    Baylor
    UCLA
    Santa Clara
    Texas
    North Carolina

    3rd Round
    Stanford
    Tennessee
    West Virginia
    Southern California
    Georgetown
    Baylor
    UCLA
    North Carolina

    4th Round
    Stanford
    Southern California
    Georgetown
    UCLA

    Semifinalists
    Stanford
    UCLA

    Champion
    Stanford
     
  13. Kurt Kline

    Kurt Kline Member

    Ajax
    United States
    Jun 26, 2012
    Yorba Linda, CA
    Club:
    FC Barcelona
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Kurt Kline

    1st Round
    Stanford
    Clemson
    Memphis
    Boston College
    Texas A&M
    TCU
    Arizona
    Louisville
    West Virginia
    Wake Forest
    Penn State
    South Carolina
    Southern California
    LSU
    South Florida
    Florida State
    Georgetown
    Washington State
    Mississippi State
    Duke
    Virginia
    Princeton
    Vanderbilt
    Baylor
    UCLA
    Minnesota
    NC State
    Santa Clara
    Texas
    Arkansas
    Kansas
    North Carolina

    2nd Round
    Stanford
    Boston College
    TCU
    Louisville
    West Virginia
    South Carolina
    Southern California
    Florida State
    Georgetown
    Duke
    Virginia
    Baylor
    UCLA
    NC State
    Texas
    North Carolina

    3rd Round
    Stanford
    Louisville
    West Virginia
    FSU
    Duke
    Virginia
    UCLA
    North Carolina

    4th Round
    Stanford
    FSU
    Duke
    North Carolina

    Semifinalists
    Stanford
    North Carolina

    Champion
    Stanford
     
  14. justdoit

    justdoit Member

    Aug 11, 2009
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    justdoit

    1st round
    Stanford
    Clemson
    Memphis
    BC
    Texas A&M
    TCU
    Arizona
    Tennessee
    WVU
    Wake
    Penn State
    South Carolina
    USC
    LSU
    S Florida
    FSU
    Georgetown
    Wash St
    Miss St
    Duke
    UVa
    Princeton
    Vanderbilt
    Baylor
    UCLA
    Minnesota
    NC State
    Santa Clara
    Texas
    Arkansas
    St Louis
    UNC

    2nd round
    Stanford
    BC
    Texas A&M
    Tennessee
    WVU
    Penn State
    USC
    FSU
    Georgetown
    Duke
    UVa
    Vanderbilt
    UCLA
    Santa Clara
    Texas
    UNC

    3rd round
    Stanford
    Tennessee
    WVU
    FSU
    Duke
    UVa
    UCLA
    UNC

    4th round
    Stanford
    FSU
    UVa
    UNC

    5th round
    Stanford
    UNC

    Champion
    Stanford
     
  15. cpthomas

    cpthomas BigSoccer Supporter

    Portland Thorns
    United States
    Jan 10, 2008
    Portland, Oregon
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Thanks, Soccerhunter, you're a stud! Well, maybe a little past that age.:thumbsup:

    For the computer division, I'll be doing the NCAA's Adjusted RPI and Adjusted Non-Conference RPI, my 5 Iteration Adjusted RPI, and Massey's ratings. I just have to finish entering Massey's ratings and I'll start posting them.
     
  16. mpr2477

    mpr2477 Member

    Jun 30, 2016
    Club:
    Vancouver MLS
    You can’t have ucla AND unc in your final four. Just one. You missed the uva/duke winner
     
  17. Glove Stinks

    Glove Stinks Member+

    Jan 20, 2014
    Club:
    Chelsea FC
    Thanks for the catch
     
  18. Glove Stinks

    Glove Stinks Member+

    Jan 20, 2014
    Club:
    Chelsea FC
    Glove Stinks

    Round 1
    Stanford
    Clemson
    Memphis
    Boston COLLEGE
    Texas am
    BYU
    ARIZONA
    TENNESSEE
    WEST VIRGINIA
    WAKE
    PENN ST
    SOUTH CAROLINA
    USC
    LSU
    SOUTH FLORIDA
    FLORIDA STATE
    Georgetown
    Wash St
    miss st
    dUKE
    VIRGINIA
    PRINCETON
    VANDY
    BAYLOR
    UCLA
    AUBURN
    NCST
    SANTA CLARA
    TEXAS
    ARKANSAS
    KANSAS
    UNC

    rOUND 2
    STANFORD
    BC
    BYU
    TENNESSEE
    WEST VIRGINIA
    PENN ST
    USC
    FSU
    WASH ST
    DUKE
    VIRGINIA
    VANDY
    UCLA
    SANATA CLARA
    TEXAS
    UNC

    ROUND 3
    STANFORD
    TENNESSEE
    PENN ST
    USC
    DUKE
    VIRGINIA
    UCLA
    UNC

    rOUND 4
    STANFORD
    USC
    DUKE
    UNC

    ROUND 5
    USC
    UNC

    cHAMPION
    USC


    Disregard my previous entry as I made an error which could not be edited
     
    mpr2477 repped this.
  19. Soccerhunter

    Soccerhunter Member+

    Sep 12, 2009
    Yes, consistency is assumed. The bracket will be rejected if it is not consistent. :)
     
  20. soccersubjectively

    soccersubjectively BigSoccer Supporter

    Jan 17, 2012
    Dallas
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    soccerlol

    1st Round
    Stanford
    Clemson
    Memphis
    Boston College
    Texas A&M
    TCU
    Arizona
    Tennessee
    West Virginia
    Wake Forest
    Bowling Green
    South Carolina
    USC
    Long Beach State
    USF
    Florida State
    Georgetown
    Washington State
    Mississippi State
    Duke
    Virginia
    Princeton
    Vanderbilt
    Baylor
    UCLA
    Auburn
    NC State
    Santa Clara
    Texas
    Arkansas
    St. Louis
    North Carolina

    2nd Round
    Stanford
    Memphis
    Texas A&M
    Tennessee
    West Virginia
    South Carolina
    USC
    Florida State
    Georgetown
    Duke
    Virginia
    Baylor
    UCLA
    NC State
    Texas
    North Carolina

    3rd Round
    Stanford
    Tennessee
    West Virginia
    Florida State
    Georgetown
    Baylor
    UCLA
    North Carolina

    4th Round
    Stanford
    Florida State
    Georgetown
    North Carolina

    Semis
    Stanford
    North Carolina

    Final
    North Carolina
     
  21. Crazyhorse

    Crazyhorse Member

    Dec 29, 2007
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Crazyhorse

    First Round

    Stanford
    Clemson
    Wisconsin
    Boston College
    Texas A&M
    TCU
    Arizona
    Tennessee
    West Virginia
    Wake Forest
    Penn State
    South Carolina
    USC
    LSU
    South Florida
    Florida State
    Georgetown
    Washington State
    Mississippi State
    Duke
    Virginia
    Princeton
    Vanderbilt
    Baylor
    UCLA
    Auburn
    NC State
    Santa Clara
    Texas
    Arkansas
    Saint Louis
    North Carolina

    Second Round
    Stanford
    Boston College
    Texas A&M
    Tennessee
    West Virginia
    Penn State
    USC
    Florida State
    Georgetown
    Duke
    Virginia
    Baylor
    UCLA
    Santa Clara
    Texas
    North Carolina

    Third Round
    Stanford
    Texas A&M
    West Virginia
    Florida State
    Duke
    Virginia
    UCLA
    North Carolina

    Fourth Round
    Stanford
    Florida State
    Virginia
    UCLA

    Semi Finalists
    Stanford
    UCLA

    Champion
    UCLA
     
  22. HeadSpun

    HeadSpun Member

    Nov 14, 2014
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    HeadSpun

    1st ROUND

    Stanford
    Clemson
    Memphis
    BC
    TAMU
    BYU
    Arizona
    Tenn
    West VI
    Wake
    Penn St
    So Carolina
    USC
    LSU
    So FL
    FSU
    Georgetown
    Wash St.
    Miss. St.
    Duke
    Virg
    Princeton
    Vandy
    Baylor
    UCLA
    Minnesota
    NC State
    Santa Clara
    TX
    Arkansas
    Saint Louis
    UNC

    2nd ROUND
    Stanford
    BC
    TAMU
    Tenn
    West VI
    Penn St.
    USC
    FSU
    Georgetown
    Duke
    Virg
    Baylor
    UCLA
    Santa Clara
    TX
    UNC

    3rd ROUND
    Stanford
    Tenn
    Penn St
    FSU
    Duke
    Virg
    UCLA
    UNC

    SEMI-FINALS
    Stanford
    FSU
    Virg
    UCLA

    CHAMPIONSHIP
    Stanford
    UCLA

    COLLEGE CUP WINNER
    Stanford
     
  23. karlmarx123

    karlmarx123 New Member

    Russia
    Oct 6, 2018
    karlmarx123

    1st Round
    Stanford
    Clemson
    Memphis
    Boston College
    Texas A&M
    TCU
    Arizona
    Tennessee
    West Virginia
    Wake Forest
    Penn State
    South Carolina
    Southern California
    Boston
    South Florida
    Florida State
    Georgetown
    Washington State
    Mississippi St
    Duke
    Virginia
    Texas Tech
    Vanderbilt
    Baylor
    UCLA
    Minnesota
    NC State
    Santa Clara
    Texas
    Arkansas
    St Louis
    North Carolina

    2nd Round
    Stanford
    Boston College
    Texas A&M
    Tennessee
    West Virginia
    Penn State
    Southern California
    Florida State
    Georgetown
    Duke
    Virginia
    Baylor
    UCLA
    Santa Clara
    Arkansas
    North Carolina

    3rd Round
    Stanford
    Texas A&M
    West Virginia
    FSU
    Duke
    Virginia
    UCLA
    North Carolina

    4th Round
    Stanford
    FSU
    Virginia
    UNC

    Semifinalists
    Stanford
    UNC

    Champion
    Stanford
     
  24. crane65

    crane65 New Member

    Jul 28, 2009
    crane65

    1st Round
    Stanford
    Clemson
    Wisconsin
    Boston College
    Texas A&M
    BYU
    Arizona
    Tennessee
    West Virginia
    Ohio St.
    Penn St.
    South Carolina
    Southern California
    LSU
    South Fla.
    Florida St.
    Georgetown
    Washington St.
    Mississippi St.
    Duke
    Virginia
    Texas Tech
    Vanderbilt
    Baylor
    UCLA
    Auburn
    Northwestern
    Santa Clara
    Texas
    Arkansas
    Kansas
    North Carolina

    2nd Round
    Stanford
    Boston College
    Texas A&M
    Tennessee
    West Virginia
    Penn St.
    Southern California
    Florida St.
    Georgetown
    Duke
    Virginia
    Vanderbilt
    UCLA
    Santa Clara
    Arkansas
    North Carolina

    3rd Round
    Stanford
    Tennessee
    West Virginia
    Southern California
    Duke
    Virginia
    UCLA
    North Carolina

    4th Round
    Stanford
    Southern California
    Duke
    UCLA

    Semi Finalists
    Stanford
    UCLA

    Champion
    Stanford
     
  25. mpr2477

    mpr2477 Member

    Jun 30, 2016
    Club:
    Vancouver MLS
    mpr2477

    1st Round

    Stanford
    Clemson
    Wisconsin
    Boston College
    Texas AM
    BYU
    Arizona
    Tennessee
    WVU
    Wake Forest
    Penn St
    S. Carolina
    USC
    LSU
    S. Florida
    FSU
    Georgetown
    WSU
    Lipscomb
    Duke
    UVA
    Texas Tech
    Vandy
    Baylor
    UCLA
    Minnesota
    NC State
    Santa Clara
    Texas
    Arkansas
    Kansas
    UNC

    2nd Round
    Stanford
    Boston College
    BYU
    Tennessee
    WVU
    Penn St
    USC
    FSU
    WSU
    Duke
    UVA
    Vandy
    UCLA
    Santa Clara
    Texas
    UNC

    3rd Round
    Stanford
    Tennessee
    Penn St
    USC
    Duke
    Vandy
    UCLA
    UNC

    4th Round
    Stanford
    USC
    Duke
    UCLA

    Semifinalists
    USC
    UCLA

    Champion
    UCLA
     

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