I believe it will happen this year. I'm going with a 22,400 average this year. Well at the very least I think we will break the 8,000,000 mark (21,391).
I'm predicting 21,318 based on drops in attendances for NYC, Orlando, Colorado, Montreal, Columbus, DCU, Chicago, Vancouver, Red Bulls, LA Galaxy and Houston, offset by increases at Toronto and Dallas plus the newbies. In saying that I was in a relegation playoff spot in the attendance prediction table. NYCFC: 22,000 Seattle: 42,636 Orlando: 25,500 Toronto FC: 27,000 LA Galaxy: 24,000 Vancouver: 22,000 Portland: 21,144 Montreal Impact: 20,000 New York RB: 20,000 NE Revolution: 19,500 San Jose Earthquakes: 19,000 Real Salt Lake: 19,759 Sporting KC: 19,597 Houston Dynamo: 17,000 Columbus Crew: 17,000 DC United: 17,000 Colorado Rapids: 16,200 Chicago Fire: 13,500 FC Dallas: 15,676 Atlanta: 30,000 Minnesota: 22,000
Season ticket holders will be ~85% of all attendees in Atlanta? They're currently at 25,000. I don't know how much higher it will go, but it's not out of the question to see the STH number reach 30,000 by itself. I expect the first game at the new stadium to have 60,000 people.
Philadelphia 18,000 *-Capacity will PROBABLY increase again this year. **-I'm going low on this one, like The Franchise said they might have 30,000 STH's by the start of the season. It wouldn't shock me if they would get to Seattle Sounders numbers. ***-Also going low on this one, it wouldn't surprise me if they are in the 25,000+ range at seasons end. Either way it's going to be another GREAT attendance season this year, we will get over 8,000,000 mark this year.
and a full house at Bobby Dodd Stadium (capacity 55,000). As for first game at Mercedes -Benz Stadium I believe it will be FULL also 71,000+. So they'll have 126,000+ for only two games, so it would shock me if they get Seattle Sounders numbers this year,
I don't know, I think they're riding that hype train hard in terminus. Not only do I predict Atlanta will have a significantly higher average, but I think they might give Seattle a run for their money or even knock Seattle down a peg. Either way, I think the final averages of the two will be within 2k of each other
All of this from AJC article below: Atlanta currently at 27k season tickets and will cap at 30k. The new stadium will have a "cap" on regular attendance at 40k but they will open up the upper decks as necessary for a few games. http://www.ajc.com/sports/atlanta-united-surpasses-000-season-tickets-sold/q8w42IGxFNWrFYtiYIMMtL/
Nice to have confirmation on what had generally been assumed based on the FO's actions. I'm not entirely sure why they'd cap season tickets at 30,000, but maybe that's where they estimate they will end up and want to speed up the process by suggesting scarcity.
In my efforts to get to every stadium, I got my tickets for ORL new stadium on a Saturday vs. COL, then get up Sunday morning and fly to ATL to see a game at Bobby Dodd in the great outdoors. I saw ORL at Camping world on the turf in their first year and their massive purple crowds, but had to come back for the new grass field stadium. As for ATL, will see them vs. DC- wanted to see outdoor game on grass, I will be in no rush to see a game in an NFL=DOME=TURF stadium (sorry). That stadium should be around awhile and I will hit it when i go to Miami () to see Beckham FC or on the way to see DC if and when they come on line . Heck, Minnesota will probably get done before them...
8,228,000 is what we need to get to a 22,000 average this year. WeekTotalAverage #1....252,2998,228,000-252,299=7,975,701/363=21,972 to average 22,000
I wrote this prediction post over a week ago, but my guess is that we'll easily eclipse the 22,000 mark and blow past 8,000,000. Predicted Total: 8,509,248 Avg: 22,752 Pct.: 15.38% http://www.stumptownfooty.com/2017/...tendance?_ga=1.240928001.328773228.1461764406
Team has officially announced they have over 30k season tickets. Other sources have stated it is currently over 33k. Don't have links handy. Atlanta will for sure average over 40k.
Here is the official over 30k season tickets sold for atlanta announcement. Note this was a week and half ago. https://www.atlutd.com/post/2017/02/24/atlanta-united-announces-30000-season-tickets-sold Link that references 33k sold https://www.google.com/amp/www.11al...ot-knowing-one-thing-about-the-city/419618894
Meanwhile today's Chicago Fire match is supposed to be a brisk 27 degress or so at kickoff... ...which will more than likely mean the stadium will have more people on the field than in the stands.
Don't worry our FO is a bunch of liars, even thou you won't see many butts in the seats they will announce a BS number (16,000-17,000).
8,228,000 is what we need to get to a 22,000 average this year. WeekTotalAverage #2....217,4547,975,701-217,454=7,758,247/353=21,978 to average 22,000
So by those numbers, if we average 22,000 per match for the rest of the season, we'll average 22,000 per match for the season.
By 2019 only 9/23 stadiums will have an official capacity > 22,039, so not only is 22k going to be difficult to attain, it will be difficult to maintain.
I don't think that's going to be the obstacle. For DCU it's not like they're packing in more than 22k of late, and if NYCFC ever leaves Yankee Stadium I feel safe in assuming they'll build over 25k. Meanwhile MNUFC should at least draw near their 19K+ capacity such that they won't be the anchor weighing the league down, as it were. Plus the Loons could always play the occasional game at TFC Stadium to help boost numbers, a la San Jose. Thus, if more teams drew nearer to their capacities then even with so many teams below 22k it would allow the impact of the bigger teams to more easily bring the average up. More importantly, though, I think the two attendance numbers that are just as/more critical than overall average: - The number of games with < 15k people. Shows advertising partners they'll get a nicer minimum crowd interface every game, and likely means better atmospheres and experiences for fans more often rather than just a few key games. - The number of teams below 17k for average. In years past we would've said 14k or 15k, and thankfully this keeps going up. More importantly, based on various past reports ~ 17k seems to be the benchmark by which teams are turning the corner financially. If those two figures are low then even if the league average is under 22k it likely means that a) the average is a true average and not heavily influenced by a few big teams/games, and that b) more and more MLS teams are drawing well and trending toward profitability.