I tip a Real Madrid vs Roma final, and Atletico vs Salzburg final. Real and Atletico likely win, but I hope Roma does it.
Wasn't sure where to post this. Decided here over "Former Players" thread. TRUTH! Need to click on date within tweet to see entire thread, which is loooong with many examples. 988621032897597440 is not a valid tweet id
Quick odds update after first legs played in CL & before first legs are played in EL: Real 1.1:1 (11/10) Liverpool 1.5 Bayern 7 Roma 40 --- Atleti 1.2 Arsenal 3.5 Marseille 3.75 Salzburg 6.5 all are from oddschecker, you can see how odds have changed over time if you scroll back through this thread, too depressing for me to do right now.
A rough sketch of how the 2018-19 CL group -stage draw pots could look like: Pot 1 Barca, Man City, PSG, Bayern, Lokomotiv, Porto, Juve/Napoli, Madrid/Liverpool Pot 2 Atletico, Shakhtar, Dortmund, Man Utd, Benfica, Zenit, Juve/Napoli, Tottenham, (Real Madrid) Pot 3 Roma, (Liverpool), Monaco, Schalke, Lazio Pot 4 Valencia, Inter Milan Group of Death: PSG, Atletico, Liverpool, Inter Milan
As you already know, only 2 of Roma, Lazio, and Inter Milan can join Juve and Napoli in the CL in a race that may not be settled till the last day (when Lazio host Inter if memory serves), still valuable to know Inter and Valencia have such low coefficients that they could be Pot 4 and cause a group of death and likewise with the Pot 3 teams listed.
After yesterday's Europa semi first legs the odds are now: Atleti 0.91 (10/11, so bet $1 to win your own dollar back plus 91 cents) Marseille 2.5 Arsenal 5 Salzburg 22