2010 MLS Attendance Analysis: Week 5

Discussion in 'MLS: News & Analysis' started by Andy_B, Apr 19, 2010.

  1. Andy_B

    Andy_B Member+

    Feb 2, 1999
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Code:
    After 12.1% of the season complete				
    Year	Average	Median	%<10K	%>20k
    1996	27843	26416	10.5%	73.7%
    1997	15885	11063	26.3%	26.3%
    1998	15659	11921	13.0%	21.7%
    1999	14072	14732	34.8%	17.4%
    2000	13960	12952	26.1%	17.4%
    2001	15441	15576	15.8%	10.5%
    2002	18149	14127	5.9%	23.5%
    2003	15491	15207	22.2%	27.8%
    2004	16807	16935	27.8%	44.4%
    2005	15774	12657	26.1%	17.4%
    2006	18357	18143	13.0%	34.8%
    2007	15910	15353	8.7%	21.7%
    2008	15051	14919	20.0%	28.0%
    2009	14520	12594	18.5%	14.8%
    2010	18333	18197	10.3%	34.5%
    				
    Final Numbers				
    Year	Average	Median	%<10K	%>20k
    1996	17406	15093	21.9%	26.3%
    1997	14619	12733	25.0%	16.3%
    1998	14312	11871	26.6%	16.1%
    1999	14282	12973	32.3%	15.1%
    2000	13756	12690	34.4%	12.5%
    2001	14962	13431	26.6%	17.7%
    2002	15821	14108	17.1%	18.6%
    2003	14898	13641	23.3%	18.0%
    2004	15559	13285	24.7%	25.3%
    2005	15108	12619	27.1%	17.7%
    2006	15504	14175	18.8%	18.8%
    2007	16770	15353	8.2%	29.7%
    2008	16459	15188	11.0%	24.8%
    2009	16037	14686	14.7%	20.9%
    
     
  2. Andy_B

    Andy_B Member+

    Feb 2, 1999
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    AAQ after 12.1% of season complete

    Average: 3rd out of 15
    Median: 2nd out of 15
    <10k: 3rd out of 15
    >20k: 2nd out of 15

    AAQ = (3+2+3+2)/4 = 2.5


    Holy smokes, that is an incredible AAQ.......If we were offered the deal right now to end the season at 2.5 I would take it with no questions asked.
     
  3. CleveGuyOH

    CleveGuyOH New Member

    Aug 11, 2009
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States

    This might be the week the "honeymoon" is over.

    Home games @ Dallas, NY, NE, Columbus, KC, Chicago, Chivas, and Toronto.

    We know Toronto will be over 21,000, Chicago or NY MIGHT get to 20,000.

    As for the rest- anything over 15K will be goood.
     
  4. christhestud

    christhestud Member

    Jun 4, 2004
    That is a rough slate of games. Averaging anything over 13K for the weekend would be a win in my eyes. Will be really interesting to see the crowd in NY.
     
  5. CleveGuyOH

    CleveGuyOH New Member

    Aug 11, 2009
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States


    An Average of 13K would still put us slightly over 17K YTD.

    All in all - not bad. If we finish 17K for the year, I'd take it in a heart beat.
     
  6. jefbal99

    jefbal99 New Member

    Mar 9, 2006
    Lansing, MI
    Club:
    Liverpool FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I think RBNY with have a bounce back this week with Philly in town. Prolly a good number of walk up sales from visitors and I seem to remember reading in the Week 4 thread that this game is in the 4 and 8 game ticket packs.
     
  7. The Perfesser

    The Perfesser New Member

    May 23, 1999
    AthensGA/NewburyptMA
    Club:
    New England Revolution
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I'm guessing it will be bigger that last week vs Dallas. It's Philly's first trip to RBA and I can imagine a couple of thousand people coming up the Jersey Turnkpike (or even Amtrak).
     
  8. christhestud

    christhestud Member

    Jun 4, 2004
    Agreed. I'll be celebrating if it happens.
     
  9. bunge

    bunge BigSoccer Supporter

    Oct 24, 2000
    If the Fire get to 15K this Saturday I'll be happy.

    The Fire also have an "interesting" month in May with two home games plus a tournament with three teams from Europe. It'll be interesting to see how the advertising/sales/attendance goes for that month.
     
  10. VioletCrown

    VioletCrown Member+

    FC Dallas
    United States
    Aug 30, 2000
    Austin, Texas
    Club:
    Austin Aztex
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    What's interesting to me is that the year that we're closest to is 2006. 2006 ended behind all of the past three years when things finished off. I don't have the data in front of me. What was so special about the start of 2006 -- arguably the best start since the league began? And, more importantly, why did it cool off?
     
  11. DirtyJerzey

    DirtyJerzey Member

    May 30, 2005
    Harrison, NJ
    Club:
    New York Red Bulls
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I'd be disappointed if we couldn't crack 20k for the NYRB-Philly game, especially if there's good weather. I know personally, this is the game I've invited all my friends over to come in and watch.
     
  12. Matrim55

    Matrim55 Member+

    Aug 14, 2000
    Berkeley
    Club:
    Connecticut
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Gonna be low 60s with rain.

    I'd be shocked if we pull 20k.
     
  13. BirdsonFire

    BirdsonFire Member

    May 9, 2008
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
    If the volcano is still going, could this change the plans/commitments of all three teams?
     
  14. bunge

    bunge BigSoccer Supporter

    Oct 24, 2000
    I hadn't thought about that. I assume though the Fire are going to move forward with pushing the tournament as if the teams are coming.

    EDIT: Andy_B, is it time to add an over/under for 15K?
     
  15. The Cadaver

    The Cadaver It's very quiet here.

    Oct 24, 2000
    La Cañada, CA
    Club:
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    British Airways ran a flight test yesterday and the existing ash cloud did not create a problem for the engines. Expect air transport to return to normal shortly, but obviously the volcano could erupt further and change things.
     
  16. BirdsonFire

    BirdsonFire Member

    May 9, 2008
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
    Is this game included in the multi-game packs?
     
  17. BirdsonFire

    BirdsonFire Member

    May 9, 2008
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
    Yeah, it has seemed to settle down.

    But this could go on for a very long time. With lulls and increased activity.


    I know they are trying to work around it. But I've got friends stuck here and in Europe. Along with friends and family unable to make upcoming trips they would like to do.
     
  18. Matrim55

    Matrim55 Member+

    Aug 14, 2000
    Berkeley
    Club:
    Connecticut
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    As far as I know people who bought 4 or 8 game packs were allowed to select games a la carte, so to speak. So whether the Philly game is part of that is up to the individual ticket holder.

    At least, that's how it worked for my gf, who bought both a 4 game and an 8 game plan.
     
  19. Sachin

    Sachin New Member

    Jan 14, 2000
    La Norte
    Club:
    DC United
    World Cup.
     
  20. Golazo

    Golazo Member+

    Apr 15, 1999
    Decatur, GA USA
    The soul-crushing, heart-shrivelling, garment-wrending disappointment of three and out in Germany?

    I know I was a pig to live with for the few months after.
     
  21. VioletCrown

    VioletCrown Member+

    FC Dallas
    United States
    Aug 30, 2000
    Austin, Texas
    Club:
    Austin Aztex
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    But I thought there was a World Cup bump.
     
  22. DirtyJerzey

    DirtyJerzey Member

    May 30, 2005
    Harrison, NJ
    Club:
    New York Red Bulls
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Must be one hell of a weather forecast to predict rain 5 days from now.
     
  23. CrewBeat

    CrewBeat Be Massive My Friends

    Jul 27, 2004
    Manhattan
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Don't know what to expect in Columbus, the Crew have only played one meaningful match in three weeks, four weeks since the home opener now. With NFL draft Thursday and Ohio State's Spring Game Saturday afternoon I won't expect any media coverage this week. Forecast of 60% chance of t-storms Saturday night kills much chance for walk up crowds, hopefully that changes as the week goes on. I'm just happy we finally get to play again though.
     
  24. cleazer

    cleazer Member+

    May 6, 2003
    Toledo, OH
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I seriously doubt either Chicago or New York will get to 20K. 17K would be superb for both of them.

    If even one of them hits 15K, that would be awesome.

    Perhaps the question should be: "how many sub-10K games this weekend?" There could be 3 or 4.

    The past two seasons, the Crew's lowest attended game of the year has been our second home game. (Despite the curious fact that they were both Saturday night games too, not midweek games.) Personally, I'd be happy just to hit the 10K mark this weekend. (It'd be nice to see more, but after the last 2 years, I'm getting my hopes way down.)
     
  25. jefbal99

    jefbal99 New Member

    Mar 9, 2006
    Lansing, MI
    Club:
    Liverpool FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    If you can find some way to make the trip 2 hrs each way from Lansing, rather than 4 hrs each way, I'd be a STH every year.
     

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