Who's next?

Discussion in 'MLS: Expansion' started by Sport Billy, Jan 15, 2019.

  1. Yoshou

    Yoshou Fan of the CCL Champ

    May 12, 2009
    Seattle
    Club:
    Seattle Sounders
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    See! The earlier reports were completely wrong. They aren't going to announce Charlotte this Friday, they are going to announce it two Tuesdays from now?
     
  2. OWN(yewu)ED

    OWN(yewu)ED Member+

    Club: Venezia F.C.
    May 26, 2006
    chico, CA
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    holy crap, congrats guys :) . Hope you can get in in 2022 too, the more the merrier.

    All aboard for 31 and 32.........my money is on Vegas and Phoenix.
     
  3. Rahbiefowlah

    Rahbiefowlah Member+

    Oct 22, 2001
    Las Vegas
  4. Paul Berry

    Paul Berry Member+

    Notts County and NYCFC
    United States
    Apr 18, 2015
    Nr Kingston NY
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    The owner sounds like someone who underestimates his fan base.

    “Only five percent of our audience on a Saturday night will know the playoffs are on the line, will know the difference between USL and MLS, will know that Eric Wynalda is a Hall of Famer,” Lashbrook said. “And 75-percent don’t know and don’t care. They know the beer is cold, and that we’re giving away a truck at halftime.”
     
  5. OWN(yewu)ED

    OWN(yewu)ED Member+

    Club: Venezia F.C.
    May 26, 2006
    chico, CA
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    wow that some precourt level ignorance........sad to see, I agree very much underestimating the knowledge of the fanbase.
     
  6. OWN(yewu)ED

    OWN(yewu)ED Member+

    Club: Venezia F.C.
    May 26, 2006
    chico, CA
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    On a few sites, there’s whispers Charlotte could actually join as soon as 2021...... with Austin. Interesting

    MLS hopes to have an agreement finalized by the end of the month, said Garber, adding that the best-case scenario is that Charlotte could begin play in 2021, joining Austin FC in their expansion season to keep the league at an even number of teams. MLS will be at 26 teams this season, with Nashville and Miami entering, while St. Louis and Sacramento are set to begin play in 2022.
     
    CharlottetownFC repped this.
  7. Rahbiefowlah

    Rahbiefowlah Member+

    Oct 22, 2001
    Las Vegas
    So...I’ve been to about 15 Lights games in two years. Maybe if he said 20% instead of 5% he would be closer to correct in my estimation, but I don’t think he’s that far off, just based on all my conversations with other fans at games. They have no idea what they’re watching. It’s $20 a ticket, and it’s a party, the kids have fun, and there’s llamas and Bojo the MC and good beer. We on this board overestimate the fan base.
     
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  8. midfielder467

    midfielder467 Member

    Jul 20, 2014
    Club:
    Central Coast Mariners
    If this all comes to pass you gotta feel sorry for those Sac folk... what they waited years .... suffered a number of let downs... me thinks they will feel that Charlotte did not do their time of suffering in Limbo...
     
  9. Yoshou

    Yoshou Fan of the CCL Champ

    May 12, 2009
    Seattle
    Club:
    Seattle Sounders
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Sacramento’s issues were largely self-inflicted, so not sure what grounds they have for being upset with Charlotte...
     
  10. aetraxx7

    aetraxx7 Member+

    Jun 25, 2005
    Des Moines, IA
    Club:
    Des Moines Menace
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I think that's fair to say regarding most USL teams' fanbases on BS. It's probably true for some of the MLS fanbases too. As a Chicago Fire fan, I'm pretty sure it's true for us, at least as far as the ownership is concerned...
     
  11. SiberianThunderT

    Sep 21, 2008
    DC
    Club:
    Saint Louis Athletica
    Nat'l Team:
    Spain
    "I suffered so you should too" is one of the most toxic ideas in any area of life. Anyone who thinks that should really do some self-reflection.
     
  12. jaykoz3

    jaykoz3 Member+

    Dec 25, 2010
    Conshohocken, PA
    Club:
    Philadelphia Union
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Brett Lashbrook used to work for MLS HQ. He helped bring Orlando City into MLS. In other words he likely knows way more about Sports Business then most everyone on this board.

    Being a Philly Union Season Ticket Holder for all of their seasons, I'd say he's pretty spot on. Outside of the minority hard core fan set, most fans are out for a good time with friends and family. The amount of fans that actually participate on message boards and sports talk radio is very miniscule.

    I've been in the supporters section for the past 7 years, and a lot of the fans in the section don't understand the game and are just there for the cheap seats, yell at the opposing team, blame the ref, yell profanity, and to get drunk.
     
  13. SteveUSSF_ref8

    SteveUSSF_ref8 Member+

    United States
    Oct 25, 2010
    Sun City, CA
    Club:
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I wouldn't move so fast and add clubs 31 and 32, just yet. With the reported expansion fee which Charlotte is paying between $300M to $350M, that will be a game changer and weed a lot of respective franchise owner out of the game. Especially when you talk about $400M+ franchise fees. We are now talking about franchise owners capable of putting up to $1B just to get started. I don't believe their are many of these whales out there.
     
  14. CharlottetownFC

    Sep 2, 2015
    Club:
    Charlotte
    I know Farber has dropped Phoenix and Las Vegas as the favorites behind Charlotte, but what are the odds that only one or niether of them gets a team? Assuming they go to 32 teams, I think it is possible we could see one team out east and one team out west in order to keep from moving another team between conferences. He allegedly told Malik that "Charlotte doesn't preclude Raleigh" and we know Indianapolis is still working on a potential bid. You also have Tampa, Louisville, Detroit, and maybe a couple other cities that could randomly put together a strong case. Out West there is still the two front runners plus San Diego and San Antonio who could randomly put things together as well. I am basing all of this on the idea of keeping St. Louis in the Western Conference and not changing the alignment.
     
  15. jaykoz3

    jaykoz3 Member+

    Dec 25, 2010
    Conshohocken, PA
    Club:
    Philadelphia Union
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    The league will likely take some sort of a pause on expansion. If for nothing else, to get all of these teams online and playing, get the CBA negotiated, and a new TV deal in place. It'll also be interesting to see if any of the interested Billionaires decide to just buy an existing team from an owner who bought in when the buy in was cheap.

    If the rumors are true and Tepper will be paying between $300M-$350M just to get a spot in the league, new teams will need to be able to front $1B+ at the start. When you factor in stadium, training facility, academy, & the expansion fee......that's a big outlay of cash. Not to mention the yearly costs to run the stadium, academy and training facility (with the latter two being mostly cost centers).

    Right now, the prospective ownership group from Detroit has the cash, not sure they have the desired want to of the league though.

    If I was billionaire, I'd be looking at some of the original teams or early expansion teams. Most have the aforementioned infrastructure in place. I'd be blowing up Jay Sugarman's phone. The Union should be very attractive to a Billionaire group. Top 5 media market, passionate fanbase, decent stadium, training facility, robust academy, and a ton of waterfront land. Not to mention they have a reasonable buyout clause in their lease with Chester for the Stadium which would allow a new ownership group with money to move the team to Philly proper. Although that endeavor may in fact cost more then starting an expansion team from scratch.
     
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  16. CharlottetownFC

    Sep 2, 2015
    Club:
    Charlotte
    I'd say the same for Houston, who has a better stadium location in a slightly smaller media market. The same could be said for Dallas, the location isn't ideal (similar to Philly) but the market is huge and they have everything in place.
     
  17. TrueCrew

    TrueCrew Member+

    Dec 22, 2003
    Columbus, OH
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Sorry, I could not read the rest of your post because I was laughing too hard.

    MLS will do no such thing. The are going to continue to add teams as soon as they find a city/owner willing to pony up the necessary cash and have at least a laughable stadium plan.

    Now, it make take a couple of months to find someone, but that is not a pause. That is just a search plus getting the project over the line.

    They have added 4 teams in the last year.
     
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  18. SteveUSSF_ref8

    SteveUSSF_ref8 Member+

    United States
    Oct 25, 2010
    Sun City, CA
    Club:
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Which completes to latest phase of expansion. But put things into perspective. When the Carolina Panthers where added the franchise fee was $140M in 1995 which translate into $235M in today's dollars. With the raise in popularity of the NFL the Houston Texans expansion fee was $700M in 2002, a rise of 500% from 1995. Tapper is about to pay $300M to $350M for an MLS expansion team. I believe the MLS see 32 clubs as a cap on expansion for various reasons. Which means that clubs 31 and 32 are going to require an expansion fees of $600M+. Which will translate into a 5 to 6 year pause after the 30th club hits the field. I won't expect to see next expansion till perhaps 2028 or 2029.
     
  19. Eleven Bravo

    Eleven Bravo Member+

    Atlanta United
    United States
    Jul 3, 2004
    SC
    Club:
    Atlanta Silverbacks
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Forbes had an article that states MLS could feasibly outfit 40-50 teams...

    30. Charlotte
    31. Las Vegas
    32. Phoenix
    33. Indianapolis
    34. Detroit
    35. San Diego
    36. San Antonio
    37. Oklahoma City
    38. Albuquerque
    39. Louisville
    40. Birmingham
    41. Tampa Bay
    42. Raleigh
    43. Cleveland
    44. Pittsburgh
    45. Hartford
    46. Milwaukee
    46. New Orleans
    48. Baltimore
    49. Jacksonville
    50. Rochester
    Still an option (metro 1+ million or close to it): Virginia Beach, Omaha, Memphis, Des Moines, Syracuse, Buffalo, Fresno, Riverside, Greensboro, Providence, Richmond, Grand Rapids, Tucson, El Paso

    https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.fo...up-2026-and-why-40-mls-teams-is-possible/amp/
     
  20. TheRealBilbo

    TheRealBilbo Member+

    Apr 5, 2016
    I would expect 31 and 32 before the World Cup in 2026. I'd expect them announced in the next two years.

    I also think that the 2026 World Cup will be something of a coming of age party of the league. They'll want to show off what happened in the US between 1994 and 2026.
     
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  21. SteveUSSF_ref8

    SteveUSSF_ref8 Member+

    United States
    Oct 25, 2010
    Sun City, CA
    Club:
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I just don't think there are enough billionaires willing to invest in the league with expansion fee reaching the $300M+ level. The price allow is going to slow down expansion dramatically.
     
    jaykoz3 repped this.
  22. SiberianThunderT

    Sep 21, 2008
    DC
    Club:
    Saint Louis Athletica
    Nat'l Team:
    Spain
    The price tag to enter may be going up, but if the value of each franchise also continues to increase, the league will still be attractive to people with deep enough pockets. Billionaires like their sports playthings.
     
    SteveUSSF_ref8 repped this.
  23. antnee7898

    antnee7898 Member

    Oct 19, 2007
    South Houston, TX
    Club:
    Houston Dynamo
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    A would be Las Vegas owner is actively, and aggressively trying to secure a SSS for MLS entry. I'm pretty sure he has an idea of how much the expansion fee will be. As soon as he gets the stadium worked out, I'm sure he will expect acceptance. I don't think the possible price is making him think twice about it. As soon as Vegas gets the stadium and maybe more investors, their in. Expansion will not slow.
     
  24. SteveUSSF_ref8

    SteveUSSF_ref8 Member+

    United States
    Oct 25, 2010
    Sun City, CA
    Club:
    Los Angeles Galaxy
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
  25. TrueCrew

    TrueCrew Member+

    Dec 22, 2003
    Columbus, OH
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Just because one guest on a show claimed it.

    People, this us just a variation on the "act now, supplies are limited!" sales pitch.

    Garber & the league claim they are going to stop (at least in the short term). They keep upping the price (better get in now while the price is lower!). All to create urgency & scarcity.

    32 before 2026 WC for certain. 32 playing. More probably announced.
     

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