2018 Midterm Election Thread

Discussion in 'Elections' started by Boloni86, Feb 7, 2017.

  1. American Brummie

    Jun 19, 2009
    There Be Dragons Here
    Club:
    Birmingham City FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    • Almost as though Trump's polling bump was just that - temporary bump.
     
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  2. American Brummie

    Jun 19, 2009
    There Be Dragons Here
    Club:
    Birmingham City FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    This is the kind of evidence that makes me change my tune on the efficacy of Russian manipulation.

    https://politicalwire.com/2018/02/21/wisconsin-voters-find-removed-voter-rolls/

     
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  3. Boandlkramer

    Boandlkramer Member+

    Apr 9, 2009
    Samma Weltmeister!
    Club:
    FC Bayern München
    Nat'l Team:
    Germany
  4. superdave

    superdave Member+

    Jul 14, 1999
    VB, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    How did that help Bernie? I’m assuming you mean the 2016 primary.
     
  5. ArsenalMetro

    ArsenalMetro Member+

    United States
    Aug 5, 2008
    Chicago, IL
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Brooklyn is 52% black or hispanic, despite it being stereotyped as nothing but white hipsters. Wiping out voter rolls there would probably have helped Hillary.
     
  6. Boandlkramer

    Boandlkramer Member+

    Apr 9, 2009
    Samma Weltmeister!
    Club:
    FC Bayern München
    Nat'l Team:
    Germany
    Egal who it helped, it happened.

    “The New York City Board of Elections reportedly admitted violating election laws by purging 200,000 voters from its rolls before last year’s presidential primary.”

    https://nypost.com/2017/10/25/nyc-elections-board-admits-to-purging-voters-from-rolls/
     
  7. ArsenalMetro

    ArsenalMetro Member+

    United States
    Aug 5, 2008
    Chicago, IL
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Sorry, I mistyped that and can't edit it. Taking minority voters off the rolls would have helped Bernie, generally.
     
  8. Boloni86

    Boloni86 Member+

    Jun 7, 2000
    Baltimore
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    Gibraltar
    What killed Bernie in NY is their absurd registration deadlines. That always favors older more established voters. It completely kills younger voters, young transient professionals, university students etc ... which was Bernie's strongest demographic.

    It always amazes me when I see registration deadlines that occur before the campaigns even come to town. One week out or a handful of days I can understand for administrative purposes. Anything more is just voter suppression. How am I supposed to know if I want to register before I even know what's on the menu?
     
  9. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    You should always be registered.

    I mean, The Trump offspring failed to register in time, they knew what was on the menu, they were just probably surprised their pops made it that far.
     
  10. ArsenalMetro

    ArsenalMetro Member+

    United States
    Aug 5, 2008
    Chicago, IL
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    What killed Bernie in New York is that New Yorkers like Hillary Clinton. She won 57% of the vote in both of her primaries there.

    The registration deadlines are ridiculous though, no doubt.
     
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  11. taosjohn

    taosjohn Member+

    Dec 23, 2004
    taos,nm
    ?? I knew I wanted to register the moment I was eligible, even when the choice was as revolting as Tricky Dick against The Hump?
     
  12. Yoshou

    Yoshou Fan of the CCL Champ

    May 12, 2009
    Seattle
    Club:
    Seattle Sounders
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I think you mean “would probably have hurt Hillary”? Hillary won 75% of the black vote and 64% of the Hispanic vote in the New York primaries, woth a 50/50 split of whites.
     
  13. Boloni86

    Boloni86 Member+

    Jun 7, 2000
    Baltimore
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    Gibraltar
    This is exactly the same argument conservatives make on their voter suppression. "You should always be registered. You should always have a photo ID. And you should always make sure your info is up to date on voter rolls so you don't get purged."

    I'm sorry that the average 20 year old doesn't have all their ducks in a row months ahead of time. I mean, some 20 year olds don't even know where they'll be in 6 months, let alone filling out party registration papers.

    But if the Dem party thinks it's a good idea to exclude these people, I guess we can keep enjoying this Trump presidency. Common sense would indicate that you'd want as many people registered for the primary as possible. Once they've walked through that door, they're much more likely to come back in the general.

    I hate to break it to the older posters in here, but the days of party loyalty are dead. Party loyalty is not going to get them out to vote. A candidate though might. Or a specific issue. Some of the most intense youth movements I've witnessed in recent years actually revolved around referendums like gay marriage or marijuana.
     
  14. ArsenalMetro

    ArsenalMetro Member+

    United States
    Aug 5, 2008
    Chicago, IL
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Yeah I did. I already corrected myself.
     
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  15. Yoshou

    Yoshou Fan of the CCL Champ

    May 12, 2009
    Seattle
    Club:
    Seattle Sounders
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    So you’re saying I should have read down two posts before I responded?? Are you insane?? :)
     
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  16. superdave

    superdave Member+

    Jul 14, 1999
    VB, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    OK, one of us is confused.

    Either the NYC BofE did something wrong, and your post was irrelevant, or the Russians did it, and your post is relevant.

    This is where I point out hard core Bernie Bros are as nutty as hard core Trumpsters.
     
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  17. Boandlkramer

    Boandlkramer Member+

    Apr 9, 2009
    Samma Weltmeister!
    Club:
    FC Bayern München
    Nat'l Team:
    Germany
    The Russians didn’t hack the election in the literal sense.
     
  18. superdave

    superdave Member+

    Jul 14, 1999
    VB, VA
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
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  19. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    If the R's are in danger of losing a seat in Ks, all best may be off.....

    A new Public Policy Polling survey in the Kansas third congressional district finds Brent Welder (D) leading Rep. Kevin Yoder (R-KS) by seven points, 49% to 42%.
     
  20. American Brummie

    Jun 19, 2009
    There Be Dragons Here
    Club:
    Birmingham City FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    The third district is the competitive one, IIRC, and one Democrats won in 2006 (slightly different borders). It says wave, not tsunami.

    If NE-03 is competitive, then all bets are off.
     
  21. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Would be happy with a wave.......
     
  22. Matrim55

    Matrim55 Member+

    Aug 14, 2000
    Berkeley
    Club:
    Connecticut
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
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  23. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    CNN has Trump at 35%. He is back to his floor now. USA Today is slightly higher at 38%
    Both all time lows for CNN and USA Today . He is at 37% with Gallup.

    The underlying numbers are brutal too. 29% with women. Strongly disapprove at 39% vs 16% Vs strongly approve. That will translate into a major gap in enthusiasm and intensity.
    Blood is in the water. If Mueller hands more indictments between now and Nov to the Trump inner circle, we may see a bloodbath like we have never in any mid terms.



     
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  24. American Brummie

    Jun 19, 2009
    There Be Dragons Here
    Club:
    Birmingham City FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
  25. charlie15

    charlie15 Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    Bethesda, Md
    Club:
    Arsenal FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Whoever wins the D primary is basically a shoe in for the senate seat in Ca.
     
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