Boca Juniors, The Ranked Best Club of All Time?

Discussion in 'The Beautiful Game' started by MightyBees, Nov 17, 2003.

  1. MightyBees

    MightyBees New Member

    Aug 16, 2003
    London, England
    Boca Juniors, The Best Ranked Club of All Time?

    A gentleman by the name of Marcelo Leme de Arruda is a contributer to The Rec. Sport.Soccer Statistics Foundation (http://www.rsssf.com/). He has come up with a system to determine the GREATEST club side of all-time. Depending on matches played, cups won, etc. he awards them points. The raw material, obviously, is the tournaments won by different clubs throughout their history. Being runner-up is also taken into account and is worth half as much to a team as winning a competition.

    The weighting relies on two variables — what he calls the “strength” of a championship and its “difficulty”. The strength of a competition is established by looking at the performance of teams from that competition in the immediately superior competition. Thus the performance of English sides in the European Cup helps to determine the weight given to league championships, while the performance of European sides in the Intercontinental Cup and Fifa World Club Cup help to determine the weight given to the European Cup/Champions League.

    His estimation of the difficulty of winning a particular tournament is ingenious. He looks at “the level of dispute” and measures it by finding the number of clubs that have won at least one half of the number of titles of the most frequent champions. From this he gets his ranking — from Boca Juniors at the top to Standard Liège in 74th. The highest-placed English side are Liverpool, in 22nd place. Manchester United (23rd), Arsenal (39th), Aston Villa (41st), Everton (43rd), Nottingham Forest (48th) and Tottenham Hotspur (67th) also feature.

    The top 30 where-

    Position Team Points
    1º Boca Juniors (Arg) 21.029,35
    2º Peñarol (Uru) 20.747,21
    3º River Plate (Arg) 18.022,66
    4º Independiente (Arg) 18.015,68
    5º Real Madrid (Spa) 17.883,97
    6º Nacional (Uru) 16.995,40
    7º Milan (Ita) 14.268,53
    8º São Paulo (Bra) 13.157,79
    9º Juventus (Ita) 11.778,68
    10º Ajax (Neth) 10.657,65
    11º Santos (Bra) 10.372,16
    12º Racing (Arg) 10.042,97
    13º Bayern München (Ger) 9.813,24
    14º Olimpia (Par) 9.453,34
    15º Flamengo (Bra) 9.220,26
    16º Palmeiras (Bra) 8.852,16
    17º Internazionale (Ita) 8.488,38
    18º Corinthians (Bra) 8.137,00
    19º Estudiantes (Arg) 7.540,31
    20º Grêmio (Bra) 7.149,16
    21º Vasco (Bra) 7.110,53
    22º Liverpool (Eng) 6.638,82
    23º Manchester United (Eng) 6.464,41
    24º Benfica (Port) 5.546,91
    25º Vélez Sarsfield (Arg) 5.430,74
    26º San Lorenzo (Arg) 4.612,24
    27º Porto (Port) 4.375,22
    28º Feyenoord (Neth) 4.280,59
    29º Barcelona (Spa) 3.998,82
    30º Fluminense (Bra) 3.726,00

    You can find the whole 75 at-
    http://www.rsssf.com/miscellaneous/mathclubrank.html

    http://www.timesonline.co.uk/newspaper/0,,2624-897346,00.html
     
  2. jd2084

    jd2084 New Member

    Aug 1, 2001
    Rhode Island
    Club:
    New England Revolution
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    His theories seem valid but I wonder if there is a biased towards the South American teams. There seems to be an over abundance of Argentine and Brazilian teams listed.

    Just a couple of possibilities - Since the decline in play in SA is so distinctive from the top leagues (Brazil and Argentina) to the bottom is it more likely that they will win their confederation trophies? Also aren't there a greater amount of trophies to be won in those leagues? I remember somewhere that the Brazilian leagues have a large amount of small competitions. Someone please chime in who knows more about this.
     
  3. hemariva

    hemariva New Member

    Feb 22, 2003
    Missouri
    He should rework some formulas, especially his South American-bias formula.
     
  4. Penarol1916

    Penarol1916 Member

    Apr 22, 2002
    Chicago, IL
    Argentine and Brazilian teams are not any more likely to win the continental cup than Italian and Spanish teams are likely to win theirs. Also there aren't more championships and Cups in Argentina than there are in England.
    It is fairly easy to spot where the South American bias comes into play, it is that he uses the Intercontinental Cup and WCC to determine the value of the Champions League and Copa Libertadores. South American teams have done better than European teams in these competitions, thus giving South American continental championships more weight. The competitive value of the Intercontinental Championships (especially since the 1970's) and WCC are dubious, thus providing the main flaw in this analysis, which otherwise is pretty good. It makes me sad to point this out since I'm pretty happy with the results.
     
  5. nicephoras

    nicephoras A very stable genius

    Fucklechester Rangers
    Jul 22, 2001
    Eastern Seaboard of Yo! Semite
    Where's Wildman?

    This is exactly his sort of thing. Its "facts" you know.
    What a useless study. Anyone who posits that Independiente is a better club historically than Milan has either been smoking some phenomenal weed, or wouldn't know regression from a rock.

    P.S. Doesn't the Argentinian league have two championships?
     
  6. giggs88

    giggs88 Member

    May 11, 2003
    Virginia
    i think the rank is based on how much you win etc. but it is not fair because man utd is better than a lot of the other teams. and so are the other teams.
     
  7. minorthreat

    minorthreat Member

    Jan 1, 2001
    NYC
    Club:
    Real Madrid
    Nat'l Team:
    Spain
    Re: Where's Wildman?

    They aren't, but they're pretty damn close. Independiente are South America's second most successful team of all time behind Penarol, and were the best team in the world from the mid 60's to the rise of Cruyff's Ajax. And, if I recall correctly, hold the all-time record for Copas Libertadores, which is nothing to sneeze at. Why so dismissive of one of the game's all-time great clubs?
     
  8. Mario

    Mario New Member

    Mar 11, 2000
    San Salvador, El Sal
    you're right my friend, "El Rojo" (Independiente) has won 7 Copa Libertadores, 3 of them in a row (72,73,74)

    edit: make that 4, I forgot 75
     
  9. nicephoras

    nicephoras A very stable genius

    Fucklechester Rangers
    Jul 22, 2001
    Eastern Seaboard of Yo! Semite
    Re: Re: Where's Wildman?

    Not dismissive. But to suggest they're better than Milan is,well.......silly. Of course, according to this, you get lots of bonus points for being South American team. That's not to say that's necessarily bad, just runs contrary to my view :)

    And for all that I dislike some things about Real (although hardly all), its REALLY hard to argue that they're not the best club of all time.
    Sorry Mario ;)
     
  10. Penarol1916

    Penarol1916 Member

    Apr 22, 2002
    Chicago, IL
    Re: Where's Wildman?

    Like most South American leagues there are two phases to the championship, before the winners of each phase face off for the championship, if you read the whole study, you will see that that he sets it up pretty nicely, so that the number of championships in each federation is evened out.
    This study is probably most useful in comparing European teams against each other historically and South American teams against each other historically, it runs up against the problems that would face anyone try to objectively compare SA and UEFA clubs historically, and that is that there are few results that test true quality between the two continents' clubs. I'd say that the Intercontinental Cups up through the '70's was competitive, but one match per year is not enough to give us a strong sample, and the fact that it has become more of an exhibition than a competitive match in recent years further devalues it as a source of objective information. Outside of that, I'm pretty impressed with the formulas that were put together.
    I think some of the discounts on Real are valid, because during their period of European domination in the 1950's, they did not do well against South American competition, and according to most accounts those were actually competitive matches that both sides took seriously. Does that mean that they are not the best in World history, probably not, but then again they are also probably slightly over-rated by Euro-philes such as yourself.
     
  11. nicephoras

    nicephoras A very stable genius

    Fucklechester Rangers
    Jul 22, 2001
    Eastern Seaboard of Yo! Semite
    Re: Re: Where's Wildman?

    Fair enough. I was just asking.

    Can't argue with that logic. Especially since in recent years UEFA's teams have treated the Intercontinental Cup as an unwanted hindrance, whereas Boca's fans had a giant parade when they won, I believe.


    I personally think that the line between Madrid and Milan is closer than most people, and I do think that dominating the European Cup in its nascent stages during the 50s and 60s is less of an accomplishment than winning it today. (Half the teams werefrom inferior leagues, for instance, and there were fewer games to win.) Still, not to give Madrid the nod as the best in the world is an exercise in "creative accounting", to use a modern term.

    For me, being a Europhile is inevitable. I grew up watching European soccer, and I believe it to be the best. I've only seen a bit of grainy footage of Garrhincha, whereas I used to get lots of coverage of Van Basten growing up. It may well have been the opposite for you. I think its impossible to avoid any bias, especially on a topic like which confederation's club sides are better.
     
  12. Penarol1916

    Penarol1916 Member

    Apr 22, 2002
    Chicago, IL
    Me? Oh I probably have a slight bias in favor of SA teams, but I spent more than a few years youth in Spain, where I got a lot of exposure to Euro sides, and also in Australia and the US where I got little exposure to any of the greats.

    To me it's fairly obvious that right now winning the Copa Libertadores has less power ranking value than winning the champions league, but it is impossible to measure by how much, also the discount has changed over time, and (in my opinion) in the past did not exist. A good statistical analysis would account for shifts in the strengths of leagues and confederations over time, with some kind of pooling tool, which I don't think that I saw, but you still have the trouble of measure the difference in strength now.
     
  13. Mario

    Mario New Member

    Mar 11, 2000
    San Salvador, El Sal
    Re: Re: Re: Where's Wildman?

    you're right! we celebrate a lot! I had a lot of fun vs madrid! :D
     
  14. nicephoras

    nicephoras A very stable genius

    Fucklechester Rangers
    Jul 22, 2001
    Eastern Seaboard of Yo! Semite
    Re: Re: Re: Re: Where's Wildman?

    Ain't nothin' wrong with that. (Like cornbread, you know.) But it shows that its a game that is far more important to Conmebol than to UEFA. I don't think that ManUtd fans talk about their International Cup win all that often :)
     
  15. Hazardinho

    Hazardinho Red Card

    Jul 3, 2002
    Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Where's Wildman?

    Hispanics celebrate everything, every goal, every win.

    Now in the EPL you may see a team just slapping hands and *#*#*#*#.
     
  16. AFCA

    AFCA Member

    Jul 16, 2002
    X X X rated
    Club:
    AFC Ajax
    Nat'l Team:
    Iran
    Winning the CL was 10 times better than winning then ICC. It's a nice bonus though.
     
  17. nicephoras

    nicephoras A very stable genius

    Fucklechester Rangers
    Jul 22, 2001
    Eastern Seaboard of Yo! Semite
    Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Where's Wildman?

    Ah yes, how can anyone forget the stately procession of Milan's players after they won the CL. "Good show old chap", pat on the back. :rolleyes:
     
  18. CyphaPSU

    CyphaPSU Member+

    Mar 16, 2003
    Not Far
    Club:
    Philadelphia Union
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Using formulas like these to determine these kinds of rankings can seem like an objective approach, but in reality, the process is riddled with subjectivity since giving "weights" to formulas (such as weighting different cup championships based on difficulty) is obviously a subjective activity. The one who determines the weights is, by default, engaging in subjective decisions which then introduce possible biases into the formulas.
     
  19. RoverMax

    RoverMax Member

    May 4, 2003
    NYC
    Club:
    Blackburn Rovers FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    These rankings are definitely biased towards South American clubs.
     
  20. Penarol1916

    Penarol1916 Member

    Apr 22, 2002
    Chicago, IL
    But all weights are based on objective results. The rating of difficulty is based on objective results. Each cup's difficulty is based on the champion's results in wider competition as well everything comes down from results, there is no willy-nilly choosing of weights. The problem lies in the validity of the base competitions, the Intercontinental Cups and WCC's from which the weights flow.
    He is using the most objective information out there, the problem is not subjectivity at all in this case.
     

Share This Page