CONCACAF Qualifying For World Cup 2018 Prediction Contest: Hexagonal [R]

Discussion in 'CONCACAF' started by EvanJ, Sep 10, 2016.

  1. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    @Trin

    Your predictions add up to 20 points for the USA, not 19. Your goal differentials add up to -5 for Trinidad and Tobago, not -6, and -8 for Panama, not -7.
     
  2. Trin

    Trin Member

    Sep 6, 2005
    pa

    Thanks for the corrections did it on the fly so didn't get to check it well
     
  3. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    14 people made predictions. Here are statistics about the predictions:
    First: 11 people chose Mexico, 2 people chose USA, and 1 person chose Costa Rica. The average predicted points for first was 22.4.

    Second: 2 people chose Mexico, 5 people chose USA, 6 people chose Costa Rica, and 1 person chose Panama. The average predicted points for second was 19.4.

    Third: 1 person chose Mexico, 6 people chose USA, 6 people chose Costa Rica, and 1 person chose Panama. The average predicted points for third was 16.6.

    Fourth: 1 person chose Costa Rica, 6 people chose Panama, 5 people chose Honduras, and 2 people chose Trinidad and Tobago. The average predicted points for fourth was 11.8

    Fifth: 1 person chose USA, 5 people chose Panama, 7 people chose Honduras, and 1 person chose Trinidad and Tobago. The average predicted points for fifth was 8.0.

    Sixth: 11 people chose Trinidad and Tobago, 2 people chose Honduras, and 1 person chose Panama. The average predicted points for sixth was 4.6.

    The average prediction was for 18.29 home wins, 7.36 draws, and 4.36 away wins, which adds up to 30.01 due to rounding. The average was 51.2 goals scored by home teams and 26.8 goals scored by away teams. The range of goals predicted was from 43 to 97 with an average of exactly 78. The range of draws predicted was from 5 to 15 with an average of 7.4.

    Here are each team's minimum, maximum, and average predicted points:

    Mexico: 17 to 26 with an average of 22.0.

    Costa Rica: 15 to 24 with an average of 18.2.

    USA: 11 to 23 with an average of 17.6.

    Panama: 5 to 17 with an average of 10.8.

    Honduras: 4 to 16 with an average of 8.5.

    Trinidad and Tobago: 2 to 12 with an average of 5.6.

    Here are each team's minimum, maximum, and average goals scored:

    Mexico: 9 to 24 with an average of 19.7.

    Costa Rica: 8 to 23 with an average of 15.6.

    USA: 8 to 22 with an average of 14.6.

    Panama: 7 to 15 with an average of 10.4.

    Honduras: 5 to 18 with an average of 10.4.

    Trinidad and Tobago: 2 to 15 with an average of 7.3.

    I'll post more statistics about predictions and the Matchday 1 score prediction results tomorrow.
     
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  4. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Here are each team's minimum, maximum, and average goals allowed:

    Mexico: 2 to 11 with an average of 8.1.

    Costa Rica: 5 to 17 with an average of 10.6.

    USA: 4 to 15 with an average of 10.4.

    Panama: 9 to 25 with an average of 15.5

    Honduras: 9 to 21 with an average of 15.4.

    Trinidad and Tobago: 12 to 23 with an average of 18.1.

    Here are each team's minimum, maximum, and average goal differential:

    Mexico: +1 to +16 with an average of +11.6.

    Costa Rica: +0 to +12 with an average of +4.9.

    USA: +0 to +12 with an average of +4.3.

    Panama: -16 to +3 with an average of -5.1.

    Honduras: -12 to +4 with an average of -5.0.

    Trinidad and Tobago: -18 to -4 with an average of -10.8.

    Here are the Matchday 1 score prediction results out of a possible 12 points with your points, correct results, and exact scores:

    1. barnabyjonez: 6, 2, 0
    Tied 2. GPisco: 4, 1, 1 (exact score for USA:MEX)
    Tied 2. chec: 4, 1, 1 (exact score for USA:MEX)
    Tied 4. EvanJ: 3, 1, 0
    Tied 4. Outburstz: 3, 1, 0
    Tied 4. Blue_nation724: 3, 1, 0
    Tied 4. Dr. Gamera: 3, 1, 0
    Tied 4. jagum: 3, 1, 0
    Tied 4. Chul0: 3, 1, 0
    Tied 10. IASocFan: 0, 0, 0
    Tied 10. SetPeace: 0, 0, 0
    Tied 10. Sebsasour: 0, 0, 0
    Tied 10. Every Four Years: 0, 0, 0
    Tied 10. Trin: 0, 0, 0

    The averages were 2.29 points, 0.71 correct results, and 0.14 exact scores.
     
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  5. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Here are the Matchday 2 score prediction results out of a possible 12 points with your points, correct results, and exact scores:

    Tied 1. barnabyjonez: 8, 3, 0
    Tied 1. GPisco: 8, 3, 0
    Tied 3. chec: 6, 2, 1 (exact score for HON:T&T)
    Tied 3. Every Four Years: 6, 2, 1 (exact score for PAN:MEX)
    Tied 5. EvanJ: 5, 2, 0
    Tied 5. Blue_nation724: 5, 2, 0
    Tied 5. IASocFan: 5, 2, 0
    Tied 5. Sebsasour: 5, 2, 0
    Tied 5. Chul0: 5, 2, 0
    Tied 5. Dr. Gamera: 5, 2, 0
    Tied 5. Trin: 5, 2, 0
    Tied 12. Outburstz: 3, 1, 0
    Tied 12. SetPeace: 3, 1, 0
    14. jagum: 2, 1, 0

    The averages were 5.07 points, 1.93 correct results, and 0.14 exact scores.

    Here are the cumulative score predictions out of a possible 24 points with your points, correct results, and exact scores:

    1. barnabyjonez: 14, 5, 0
    2. GPisco: 12, 4, 1
    3. chec: 10, 3, 2
    Tied 4. EvanJ: 8, 3, 0
    Tied 4. Blue_nation724: 8, 3, 0
    Tied 4. Chul0: 8, 3, 0
    Tied 4. Dr. Gamera: 8, 3, 0
    Tied 8. Outburstz: 6, 2, 0
    Tied 8. Every Four Years: 6, 2, 1
    Tied 10. IASocFan: 5, 2, 0
    Tied 10. Sebsasour: 5, 2, 0
    Tied 10. jagum: 5, 2, 0
    Tied 10. Trin: 5, 2, 0
    14. SetPeace: 3, 1, 0

    The averages were 7.36 points, 2.64 correct results, and 0.29 exact scores. Half the people scored on each side of the mean. The percentage of predictions that were exact scores for Matchdays 1 and 2 combined is about half of the percentage of predictions that were exact scores for the 36 Semifinal games.
     
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  6. WhyMe

    WhyMe Member

    Nov 7, 2015
    NYC
    Matchday 3: March 24, 2017
    USA-Honduras 3-0
    Trinidad and Tobago-Panama 0-2
    Mexico-Costa Rica 2-1

    Matchday 4: March 28, 2017
    Panama-USA 2-0
    Honduras-Costa Rica 2-1
    Trinidad and Tobago-Mexico 0-3

    Matchday 5: June 9, 2017 (could be moved for the Confederations Cup)
    USA-Trinidad and Tobago 4-0
    Costa Rica-Panama 2-2
    Mexico-Honduras 3-0

    Matchday 6: June 13, 2017 (could be moved for the Confederations Cup)
    Mexico-USA 2-0
    Panama-Honduras 2-0
    Costa Rica-Trinidad and Tobago 4-0

    Matchday 7: September 1, 2017
    USA-Costa Rica 2-2
    Mexico-Panama 5-2
    Trinidad and Tobago-Honduras 0-3

    Matchday 8: September 5, 2017
    Honduras-USA 2-1
    Panama-Trinidad and Tobago 4-0
    Costa Rica-Mexico 2-2

    Matchday 9: October 6, 2017
    USA-Panama 2-1
    Costa Rica-Honduras 3-1
    Mexico-Trinidad and Tobago 6-0

    Matchday 10: October 10, 2017
    Trinidad and Tobago-USA 0-4
    Panama-Costa Rica 2-1
    Honduras-Mexico 3-1
     
  7. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    All predictions had to be made before the Hexagonal started. I typed @WhyMe in a reminder post in this topic and started a private Conversation with you on October 29.
     
  8. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    #33 EvanJ, Mar 25, 2017
    Last edited by a moderator: Mar 25, 2017
    Here are the Matchday 3 score prediction results out of a possible 12 points with your points, correct results, and exact scores:

    1. Sebsasour: 10, 3, 1 (exact scores for T&T : PAN and MEX:CR)
    2. chec: 8, 3, 0
    3. Trin: 7, 3, 0
    Tied 4. SetPeace: 6, 2, 1 (exact score for MEX:CR)
    Tied 4. GPisco: 6, 2, 1 (exact score for MEX:CR)
    Tied 4. jagum: 6, 2, 0
    Tied 7. EvanJ: 5, 2, 0
    Tied 7. Outburstz: 5, 2, 0
    Tied 7. IASocFan: 5, 2, 0
    Tied 7. barnabyjonez: 5, 2, 0
    Tied 7. Dr. Gamera: 5, 2, 0
    12. Chul0: 4, 1, 1 (exact score for MEX:CR)
    13. Blue_nation724: 3, 1, 0
    14. Every Four Years: 2, 1, 0

    The averages were exactly 5.5 points, exactly 2 correct results, and 0.36 exact scores.

    I'll post cumulative score predictions after Matchday 4.

    Edit: Can @IASocFan change the smilie to a colon and then a P? I'm looking at the options and I don't see an option to not make smilies.
     
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  9. IASocFan

    IASocFan Moderator
    Staff Member

    Aug 13, 2000
    IOWA
    Club:
    Sporting Kansas City
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    FIxed
     
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  10. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    7 out of 14 people predicted the exact score of Panama-USA. Out of the 93 games in all rounds excluding one forfeit, it was the third time at least half the people predicted the exact score. Canada 4-0 Dominica in Round 2 was predicted by 10 out of 18 people and Canada 3-0 Belize in Round 3 was predicted by 10 out of 20 people.
     
  11. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Here are the Matchday 4 score prediction results out of a possible 12 points with your points, correct results, and exact scores:

    1. Every Four Years: 11, 3, 2 (exact scores for PAN-USA and HON-CR)
    2. Sebsasour: 10, 3, 1 (exact score for HON-CR)
    Tied 3. IASocFan: 7, 2, 1 (exact score for PAN-USA)
    Tied 3. SetPeace: 7, 2, 1 (exact score for PAN-USA)
    Tied 3. Dr. Gamera: 7, 2, 1 (exact score for PAN-USA)
    Tied 6. EvanJ: 6, 2, 1 (exact score for PAN-USA)
    Tied 6. barnabyjonez: 6, 2, 1 (exact score for HON-CR)
    8. Chul0: 5, 2, 0
    Tied 9. GPisco: 4, 1, 1 (exact score for PAN-USA)
    Tied 9. jagum: 4, 1, 1 (exact score for T&T-MEX)
    Tied 9. chec: 4, 1, 1 (exact score for PAN-USA)
    12. Trin: 3, 1, 0
    Tied 13. Outburstz: 2, 1, 0
    Tied 13. Blue_nation724: 2, 1, 0

    The averages were 5.57 points, 1.71 correct results, and 0.79 exact scores.

    Here are the cumulative score predictions out of a possible 48 points with your points, correct results, and exact scores:

    Tied 1. barnabyjonez: 25, 9, 1
    Tied 1. Sebsasour: 25, 8, 3
    Tied 3: GPisco: 22, 7, 3
    Tied 3. chec: 22, 7, 3
    5. Dr. Gamera: 20, 7, 1
    Tied 6. EvanJ: 19, 7, 1
    Tied 6. Every Four Years: 19, 6, 3
    Tied 8. IASocFan: 17, 6, 1
    Tied 8. Chul0: 17, 6, 1
    10. SetPeace: 16, 5, 2
    Tied 11. jagum: 15, 5, 1
    Tied 11. Trin: 15, 6, 0
    Tied 13. Outburstz: 13, 5, 0
    Tied 13. Blue_nation724: 13, 5, 0

    The averages are 18.43 points, 6.36 correct results, and 1.43 exact scores.
     
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  12. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    10 out of 14 people predicted home wins for all six Matchday 5 and 6 games. barnabyjonez and jagum predicted Costa Rica vs. Panama to be a 1-1 draw and will gain points on the other 12 people if that happens. jagum predicted USA vs. Trinidad and Tobago to be scoreless. The other 39 predictions tonight were for home wins. 6 out of the 42 score predictions were the only prediction for that score. barnabyjonez did not predict the same score as anybody else for any of the three games. barnabyjonez and Sebsasour are tied for the Hexagonal score prediction lead (I'm not combining the Hexagonal with the first four rounds until the Hexagonal ends), and if barnabyjonez's exact scores happend he will get 12 points and Sebsasour will get 4.
     
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  13. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Here are the Matchday 5 score prediction results out of a possible 12 points with your points, correct results, and exact scores:

    1. barnabyjonez: 9, 3, 0 (the only person with all 3 correct results)
    Tied 2. EvanJ: 8, 2, 2 (exact scores for USA-T&T and MEX-HON)
    Tied 2. IASocFan: 8, 2, 2 (exact scores for USA-T&T and MEX-HON)
    Tied 2. Dr. Gamera: 8, 2, 2 (exact scores for USA-T&T and MEX-HON)
    Tied 5. jagum: 7, 2, 1 (exact score for MEX-HON)
    Tied 5. chec: 7, 2, 1 (exact score for USA-T&T)
    Tied 5. Trin: 7, 2, 1 (exact score for USA-T&T)
    Tied 8. SetPeace: 6, 2, 0
    Tied 8. GPisco: 6, 2, 0
    Tied 8. Chul0: 6, 2, 0
    Tied 8. Every Four Years: 6, 2, 1 (exact score for USA-T&T)
    12. Sebsasour: 5, 2, 0
    Tied 13. Outburstz: 4, 2, 0
    Tied 13. Blue_nation724: 4, 2, 0

    The averages were exactly 6.5 points, 2.07 correct results (29/14), and 0.71 exact scores (10/14).

    Here are the cumulative score predictions out of a possible 60 points with your points, correct results, and exact scores:

    1. barnabyjonez: 34, 12, 1
    2. Sebsasour: 30, 10, 3
    3. chec: 29, 9, 4
    Tied 4. GPisco: 28, 9, 3
    Tied 4. Dr. Gamera: 28, 9, 3
    6. EvanJ: 27, 9, 3
    Tied 7. IASocFan: 25, 8, 3
    Tied 7. Every Four Years: 25, 8, 4
    9. Chul0: 23, 8, 1
    Tied 10. SetPeace: 22, 7, 2
    Tied 10. jagum: 22, 7, 2
    Tied 10. Trin: 22, 8, 1
    Tied 13. Outburstz: 17, 7, 0
    Tied 13. Blue_nation724: 17, 7, 0

    The averages were 24.93 points, 8.43 correct results, and 2.14 exact scores.
     
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  14. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Panama 2-2 Honduras was the first of the 54 games in the Semifinals or Hexagonal that nobody had the correct result for. Two people had the correct result for Mexico 1-1 USA, and everybody had the correct result for Costa Rica 2-1 Trinidad and Tobago. Here are the Matchday 6 score prediction results out of a possible 12 points with your points, correct results, and exact scores:

    Tied 1. jagum: 6, 2, 1 (exact score for MEX-USA)
    Tied 1. Every Four Years: 6, 2, 0
    Tied 3. Outburstz: 3, 1, 0
    Tied 3. IASocFan: 3, 1, 0
    Tied 3. SetPeace: 3, 1, 0
    Tied 3. barnabyjonez: 3, 1, 0
    Tied 3. GPisco: 3, 1, 0
    Tied 3. Chul0: 3, 1, 0
    Tied 3. Trin: 3, 1, 0
    Tied 10. EvanJ: 2, 1, 0
    Tied 10. Blue_nation724: 2, 1, 0
    Tied 10. Sebsasour: 2, 1, 0
    Tied 10. chec: 2, 1, 0
    Tied 10. Dr. Gamera: 2, 1, 0

    The averages were exactly 3.07 points (43/14), 1.14 correct results (16/14), and 0.07 exact scores (1/14).

    Here are the cumulative score predictions out of a possible 72 points with your points, correct results, and exact scores:

    1. barnabyjonez: 37, 13, 1
    2. Sebsasour: 32, 11, 3
    Tied 3. GPisco: 31, 10, 3
    Tied 3. chec: 31, 10, 4
    Tied 3. Every Four Years: 31, 10, 4
    6. Dr. Gamera: 30, 10, 3
    7. EvanJ: 29, 10, 3
    Tied 8. IASocFan: 28, 9, 3
    Tied 8. jagum: 28, 9, 3
    10. Chul0: 26, 9, 1
    Tied 11. SetPeace: 25, 8, 2
    Tied 11. Trin: 25, 9, 1
    13. Outburstz: 20, 8, 0
    14. Blue_nation724: 19, 8, 0

    The averages were exactly 28 points, 9.57 correct results (134/14), and 2.21 exact scores (31/14).
     
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  15. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    USA 0-2 Costa Rica and Trinidad and Tobago 1-2 Honduras were games that nobody had the correct result for. 13 out of 14 people predicted Mexico to beat Panama but nobody had the exact score. Here are the Matchday 7 score predictions out of 12 points, with everybody having 1 correct result except for the person with 0 points:

    3 points (6 people):
    EvanJ
    Blue_nation724
    SetPeace
    Every Four Years
    Dr. Gamera
    Trin

    2 points (7 people):
    Outburtsz
    IASocFan
    barnabyjonez
    GPisco
    jagum
    Chul0
    chec

    0 points (1 person):
    Sebsasour

    Here are the cumulative score predictions out of a possible 84 points with your points, correct results, and exact scores:

    1. barnabyjonez: 39, 14, 1
    2. Every Four Years: 34, 11, 4
    Tied 3. GPisco: 33, 11, 3
    Tied 3. chec: 33, 11, 4
    Tied 3. Dr. Gamera: 33, 11, 3
    Tied 6. EvanJ: 32, 11, 3
    Tied 6. Sebsasour: 32, 11, 3
    Tied 8. IASocFan: 30, 10, 3
    Tied 8. jagum: 30, 10, 3
    Tied 10. Chul0: 28, 10, 1
    Tied 10. SetPeace: 28, 9, 2
    Tied 10. Trin: 28, 10, 1
    Tied 13. Outburstz: 22, 9, 0
    Tied 13. Blue_nation724: 22, 9, 0
     
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  16. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Here are the Matchday 8 score prediction results out of a possible 12 points with your points, correct results, and exact scores:

    Tied 1. Outburstz: 10, 3, 1 (exact score for CR:MEX)
    Tied 1. IASocFan: 10, 3, (exact scores for HON:USA and CR:MEX)
    Tied 3. Chul0: 9, 3, 0
    Tied 3. Every Four Years: 9, 3, 1 (exact score for HON:USA)
    Tied 5. Blue_nation724: 6, 2, 0
    Tied 5. Dr. Gamera: 6, 2, 1 (exact score for CR:MEX)
    Tied 7. EvanJ: 5, 2, 0
    Tied 7. Trin: 5, 2, 0
    Tied 9. SetPeace: 3, 1, 0
    Tied 9. barnabyjonez: 3, 1, 0
    Tied 11. GPisco: 2, 1, 0
    Tied 11. Sebsasour: 2, 1, 0
    Tied 11. jagum: 2, 1, 0
    14. chec: 0, 0, 0

    The averages were 5.14 points (72/14), 1.79 correct results (25/14), and 0.36 exact scores (5/14). I made a mistake when typing Matchday 6 because I copied from Matchday 5. The averages from Matchday 6 were repeating decimals, not exact values.

    Here are the cumulative score predictions out of a possible 96 points with your points, correct results, and exact scores:

    1. Every Four Years: 43, 14, 5
    2. barnabyjonez: 42, 15, 1
    3. IASocFan: 40, 13, 5
    4. Dr. Gamera: 39, 13, 4
    Tied 5. EvanJ: 37, 13, 3
    Tied 5. Chul0: 37, 13, 1
    7. GPisco: 35, 12, 3
    8. Sebsasour: 34, 12, 3
    Tied 9. chec: 33, 11, 4
    Tied 9. Trin: 33, 12, 1
    Tied 11. Outburstz: 32, 12, 1
    Tied 11. jagum: 32, 11, 3
    13. SetPeace: 31, 10, 2
    14. Blue_nation724: 28, 11, 0

    The averages are 35.43 points, 12.29 correct results, and 2.57 exact scores.
     
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  17. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Everybody predicted USA, Mexico, and Costa Rica to win except for Outburstz who predicted a USA vs. Panama draw and Chul0 who correctly predicted a Costa Rica vs. Honduras draw, so the scores weren't spread out much. Since nobody got an exact score, I'm just posting your points and correct results. Here are the Matchday 9 score prediction results out of a possible 12 points with your points correct results:

    1. Chul0: 7, 3
    2. Trin: 6, 2, 0
    Tied 3. EvanJ: 5, 2
    Tied 3. Blue_nation724: 5, 2
    Tied 3. SetPeace: 5, 2
    Tied 3. GPisco: 5, 2
    Tied 3. jagum: 5, 2
    Tied 3. chec: 5, 2
    Tied 3. Dr. Gamera: 5, 2
    Tied 10. IASocFan: 4, 2
    Tied 10. barnabyjonez: 4, 2
    Tied 10. Sebsasour: 4, 2
    Tied 10. Every Four Years: 4, 2
    14. Outburstz: 2, 1

    The averages were 4.71 points and exactly 2 correct results.

    Here are the cumulative score predictions out of a possible 108 points with your points, correct results, and exact scores:

    1. Every Four Years: 47, 16, 5
    2. barnabyjonez: 46, 17, 1
    Tied 3. IASocFan: 44, 15, 5
    Tied 3. Chul0: 44, 16, 1
    Tied 3. Dr. Gamera: 44, 15, 4
    6. EvanJ: 42, 15, 3
    7. GPisco: 40, 14, 3
    8. Trin: 39, 14, 1
    Tied 9. Sebsasour: 38, 14, 3
    Tied 9. chec: 38, 13, 4
    11. jagum: 37, 13, 3
    12. SetPeace: 36, 12, 2
    13. Outburstz: 34, 13, 1
    14. Blue_nation724: 33, 13, 0

    The averages were 40.14 points, 14.29 correct results, and 2.57 exact scores.
     
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  18. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    The only exact score prediction yesterday was Trin for T&T 2:2 USA. Here are the Matchday 20 score prediction results out of a possible 12 points with your points and correct results:

    1. barnabyjonez: 6, 2
    2. Trin: 4, 1
    Tied 3. Outburstz: 3, 1
    Tied 3. GPisco: 3, 1
    Tied 3. Sebsasour: 3, 1
    Tied 3. chec: 3, 1
    8 people tied with 0:
    EvanJ
    Blue_nation724
    IASocFan
    SetPeace
    jagum
    Chul0
    Every Four Years
    Dr. Gamera

    Here are the cumulative score predictions out of a possible 120 points with your points, correct results, and exact scores:

    1. barnabyjonez: 52, 19, 1
    2. Every Four Years: 47, 16, 5
    Tied 3. IASocFan: 44, 15, 5
    Tied 3. Chul0: 44, 16, 1
    Tied 3. Dr. Gamera: 44, 15, 4
    Tied 6. GPisco: 43, 15, 3
    Tied 6. Trin: 43, 15, 2
    8. EvanJ: 42, 15, 3
    Tied 9. Sebsasour: 41, 15, 3
    Tied 9. chec: 41, 14, 4
    Tied 11. Outburstz: 37, 14, 1
    Tied 11. jagum: 37, 13, 3
    13. SetPeace: 36, 12, 2
    14. Blue_nation724: 33, 13, 0

    The means were 41.71 points, 14.79 correct results, and 2.64 exact scores.

    The Hexagonal score predictions were 23 percent of the contest. I took everybody's score, multiplied it by 23, and divided it by 52 so the top person would get a perfect score. That made these scores:

    1. barnabyjonez: 23.000
    2. Every Four Years: 20.788
    Tied 3. IASocFan: 19.462
    Tied 3. Chul0: 19.462
    Tied 3. Dr. Gamera: 19.462
    Tied 6. GPisco: 19.019
    Tied 6. Trin: 19.019
    8. EvanJ: 18.577
    Tied 9. Sebsasour: 18.135
    Tied 9. chec: 18.135
    Tied 11. Outburstz: 16.365
    Tied 11. jagum: 16.365
    13. SetPeace: 15.923
    14. Blue_nation724: 14.596

    The mean was 18.451.

    The order you predicted the standings in was scored by giving 2.5 points for each team predicted in the correct position; 1.5 points for one of the following: your predicted first place team finishes second, your predicted second place team finishes first or third, your predicted third place team finishes second, your predicted fifth place team finishes sixth, or your predicted sixth place team finishes fifth; and 1 point for one of the following: your predicted first place team finishes third or your predicted third place team finishes first. Here are the scores out of 15 points for that component:

    1. barnabyjonez: 15.0
    2. GPisco: 10.0
    Tied 3. Outburstz: 9.0
    Tied 3. Chul0: 9.0
    5. Blue_nation724: 8.0
    Tied 6. EvanJ: 7.5
    Tied 6. Dr. Gamera: 7.5
    Tied 8. IASocFan: 6.5
    Tied 8. Every Four Years: 6.5
    10. Sebsasour: 6.0
    Tied 11. SetPeace: 5.5
    Tied 11. jagum: 5.5
    13. chec: 5.0
    14. Trin: 4.0

    The mean was exactly 7.5.

    Here is how many points off in the standings for all six teams combined, with the lowest score being the best:

    1. GPisco: 4 (exact for MEX, CR, and HON)
    2. barnabyjonez: 11
    3. Chul0: 12 (exact for HON)
    Tied 4. Sebsasour: 18
    Tied 4. jagum: 18
    Tied 4. Everry Four Years: 18
    7. IASocFan: 22 (exact for T&T)
    8. Outburstz: 24
    9. EvanJ: 25
    Tied 10. SetPeace: 26
    Tied 10. Trin: 26 (exact for CR)
    12. chec: 29
    Tied 13. Blue_nation724: 31
    Tied 13. Dr. Gamera: 31

    The mean was 21.07. GPisco was exact for as many teams as the other 13 people combined. This was 10.5 percent of the whole contest. I took everybody's score and subtracted 4 so that GPisco would score 0. I took that number for everybody and divided by 4.328, which I came up with based on what I wanted the mean to be. Then everybody's score was 10.5 - that number. The scores were:

    1. GPisco: 10.500
    2. barnabyjonez: 8.883
    3. Chul0: 8.652
    Tied 4. Sebsasour: 7.265
    Tied 4. jagum: 7.265
    Tied 4. Everry Four Years: 7.265
    7. IASocFan: 6.341
    8. Outburstz: 5.879
    9. EvanJ: 5.648
    Tied 10. SetPeace: 5.417
    Tied 10. Trin: 5.417
    12. chec: 4.724
    Tied 13. Blue_nation724: 4.262
    Tied 13. Dr. Gamera: 4.262

    The mean was 6.556.

    I'll post the standings for the three components of the Hexagonal and the final standings later.
     
    Dr. Gamera repped this.
  19. EvanJ

    EvanJ Member+

    Manchester United
    United States
    Mar 30, 2004
    Club:
    Manchester United FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Here are the standings for the three components of the Hexagonal combined out of 48.5 points:

    1. barnabyjonez: 46.883
    2. GPisco: 39.519
    3. Chul0: 37.114
    4. Every Four Years: 34.553
    5. IASocFan: 32.283
    6. EvanJ: 31.725
    7. Sebsasour: 31.400
    8. Outburstz: 31.244
    9. Dr. Gamera: 31.224
    10. jagum: 29.130
    11. Trin: 28.436
    12. chec: 27.859
    13. Blue_nation724: 26.858
    14. SetPeace: 26.840

    The mean was 32.5050.

    26 people predicted at least one round. 14 people predicted the Hexagonal, which was by far the round that was worth the most points. EvanJ, chec, Dr. Gamera, jagum, and Sebsasour were the only five people to predict every round.

    Here are the final standings out of 100 points with score and then points attempted (barnabyjonez and bartecky predicted part of a round so I'm not giving their points attempted):

    1. barnabyjonez: 80.785 (was 13th before the Hexagonal)
    2. EvanJ: 77.015 out of 100
    3. Dr. Gamera: 73.872 out of 100
    4. IASocFan: 73.864 out of 95.8
    5. Sebsasour: 69.427 out of 100
    6. GPisco: 66.692 out of 80
    7. jagum: 66.618 out 100
    8. chec: 65.877 out 100
    9. Every Four Years: 63.381 out of 87.8
    10. Chul0: 62.363 out of 95.8
    11. SetPeace: 62.171 out of 80
    12. Outburstz: 61.590 out of 92.2
    13. Blue_nation724: 54.100 out of 87.8
    14. bartecky: 45.214
    15. blacksun: 44.256 out of 51.5
    16. ChaChaFut: 40.323 out of 51.5
    17. italiancbr: 38.074 out of 51.5
    18. dinamo_zagreb: 37.396 out of 51.5
    19. Maximiliano Biancucchi: 33.641 out of 39.3
    20. Trin: 28.436 out of 48.5
    21. NoSix: 25.790 out of 31.5
    22. ioppolo: 15.982 out of 20
    23. WhyMe: 15.725 out of 31.5
    24. drt2k3: 15.511 out of 20
    25. PaulieJay: 15.166 out of 20
    26. zenryan: 10.927 out of 15.8

    Congratulations to @barnabyjonez for winning.
     
  20. barnabyjonez

    barnabyjonez Member

    May 28, 2011
    The Valley, Saba
    Club:
    Vancouver Whitecaps
    Nat'l Team:
    Canada
    Wow! I won. I thought I had come second originally and decided to check again. Thanks, Evan for a fun competition.
     
    IASocFan repped this.

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