208 to 1: World Cup 2010 Eliminations Timeline [R: world cup quals from all regions]

scaryice · Apr 16, 2008

I posted this on my blog as well. I plan to use this thread to post any time a team gets eliminated (since I'm not going to update my blog every single time that happens). Enjoy.

Yes, we'll all know who ultimately ends up qualifying for the 2010 FIFA World Cup in South Africa. At that time and many years into the future, it will be easy to look at the qualifying standings to see how things turned out. However, one thing that can't easily be determined from a simple glance at the standings is exactly when each team fell out of contention. It's fairly obvious if you look at the schedule for a minute or two, but that takes some effort. So what I set out to do is to make a list of exactly when each team was officially eliminated, and here it is.

You'll see the overall order of each team to the left of their name, counting down from 208 (the number of FIFA members, hence this post's title). The number to the right of the team is their order of elimination within their region.

Order of Elimination

March 30, 2007

206 (tie). Brunei Darussalam (AFC-44th, tie)
206 (tie). Laos (AFC-44th, tie)
206 (tie). Philippines (AFC-44th, tie)

The only three FIFA members not to enter qualifying.

August 7, 2007

205. Guam (AFC-43rd)

Withdrew immediately after the AFC preliminary draw.

Mid-August 2007

204. Papau New Guinea (OFC-11th)

Were listed as participating in qualifying but apparently "failed to meet the official accreditation" (Wikipedia) before qualifying started.

August 29, 2007

203. American Samoa (OFC-10th)

First team out during South Pacific Games.

August 31, 2007

201 (tie). Central African Republic (CAF-52nd, tie)
201 (tie). São Tomé and Príncipe (CAF-52nd, tie)

These two CAF members withdrew before the preliminary round.

September 1, 2007

199 (tie). Cook Islands (OFC-8th, tie)
199 (tie). Tahiti (OFC-8th, tie)

September 3, 2007

198. Samoa (OFC-7th)
197. Tonga (OFC-6th)

September 7, 2007

196. Solomon Islands (OFC-5th)

Only four teams remained after the first round of OFC qualifying (aka the South Pacific Games). The first tiebreaker during qualifying is goal differential, and I have Samoa being eliminated before Tonga because of it. Allow me to explain: With one match in the round robin remaining and the second spot to advance still undecided, Vanuatu has 6 points, Samoa 6, and Tonga 3. Samoa has completed all their games with a +1 goal differential; Vanuatu (+17) and Tonga (-1) face each other in the final match. A Tonga win would mean a three way tie, but it is impossible for Samoa's goal differential to be tops in that scenario.

September 13, 2007

195. Bhutan (AFC-42nd)

Also withdrew from qualifying.

October 15, 2007

194. Macau (AFC-41st)

October 26, 2007

193. Afghanistan (AFC-40th)

October 28, 2007

191 (tie). Mongolia (AFC-38th, tie)
191 (tie). Timor-Leste (AFC-38th, tie)
190. Myanmar (AFC-37th)
189. Nepal (AFC-36th)
187 (tie). Bangladesh (AFC-34th, tie)
187 (tie). Palestine (AFC-34th, tie)
186. Chinese Taipei (AFC-33rd)
184 (tie). Maldives (AFC-31st, tie)
184 (tie). Pakistan (AFC-31st, tie)
183. Malaysia (AFC-30th)
182. Cambodia (AFC-29th)
181. Vietnam (AFC-28th)
180. Sri Lanka (AFC-27th)
179. Kyrgyzstan (AFC-26th)

October 30, 2007

178. India (AFC-25th)

First round of Asian qualifying. I'm basing the order on the starting times of the matches as well as the time zones of the host countries. Extra time is taken into account too. There are not really any ties here, but I have no way of knowing which games ended first. I would also be unaware if any games were delayed or anything like that, so keep that in mind.

November 16, 2007

177. Somalia (CAF-51st)

November 17, 2007

176. Comoros (CAF-50th)
175. Guinea-Bissau (CAF-49th)

These three lost in the preliminary round of African qualifying.

November 18th, 2007

174. Tajikistan (AFC-24th)
173. Yemen (AFC-23rd)
172. Indonesia (AFC-22nd)
171. Hong Kong (AFC-21st)

Four teams gone in the small second round of Asian qualifying.

March 26, 2008

169 (tie). Turks and Caicos Islands (CONCACAF-34th, tie)
169 (tie). U.S. Virgin Islands (CONCACAF-34th, tie)
168. Dominica (CONCACAF-33rd)
167. Aruba (CONCACAF-32nd)
166. Montserrat (CONCACAF-31st)
165. Saint Kitts and Nevis (CONCACAF-30th)
163 (tie). Anguilla (CONCACAF-28th)
163 (tie). Nicaragua (CONCACAF-28th)
162. Dominican Republic (CONCACAF-27th)

March 30, 2008

161. British Virgin Islands (CONCACAF-26th)
160. Cayman Islands (CONCACAF-25th)

First round of North American qualifying done.

There are currently 159 teams remaining for the 32 spots. South Africa, though assured of a spot, is included among the 159.

20-AFC
48-CAF
24-CONCACAF
10-CONMEBOL
4-OFC
53-UEFA

jonny63 · Apr 16, 2008

Re: 208 to 1: World Cup 2010 Eliminations Timeline

Eritrea withdrew in March.

http://www.fifa.com/worldcup/news/newsid=720341.html#eritrea+withdraw+from+qualifiers

scaryice · Apr 16, 2008

Re: 208 to 1: World Cup 2010 Eliminations Timeline

Right...dammit.

scaryice · Apr 16, 2008

Re: 208 to 1: World Cup 2010 Eliminations Timeline

March 30, 2007

206 (tie). Brunei Darussalam (AFC-44th, tie)
206 (tie). Laos (AFC-44th, tie)
206 (tie). Philippines (AFC-44th, tie)

August 7, 2007

205. Guam (AFC-43rd)

Mid-August 2007

204. Papau New Guinea (OFC-11th)

August 29, 2007

203. American Samoa (OFC-10th)

August 31, 2007

201 (tie). Central African Republic (CAF-52nd, tie)
201 (tie). São Tomé and Príncipe (CAF-52nd, tie)

September 1, 2007

199 (tie). Cook Islands (OFC-8th, tie)
199 (tie). Tahiti (OFC-8th, tie)

September 3, 2007

198. Samoa (OFC-7th)
197. Tonga (OFC-6th)

September 7, 2007

196. Solomon Islands (OFC-5th)

September 13, 2007

195. Bhutan (AFC-42nd)

October 15, 2007

194. Macau (AFC-41st)

October 26, 2007

193. Afghanistan (AFC-40th)

October 28, 2007

191 (tie). Mongolia (AFC-38th, tie)
191 (tie). Timor-Leste (AFC-38th, tie)
190. Myanmar (AFC-37th)
189. Nepal (AFC-36th)
187 (tie). Bangladesh (AFC-34th, tie)
187 (tie). Palestine (AFC-34th, tie)
186. Chinese Taipei (AFC-33rd)
184 (tie). Maldives (AFC-31st, tie)
184 (tie). Pakistan (AFC-31st, tie)
183. Malaysia (AFC-30th)
182. Cambodia (AFC-29th)
181. Vietnam (AFC-28th)
180. Sri Lanka (AFC-27th)
179. Kyrgyzstan (AFC-26th)

October 30, 2007

178. India (AFC-25th)

November 16, 2007

177. Somalia (CAF-51st)

November 17, 2007

176. Comoros (CAF-50th)
175. Guinea-Bissau (CAF-49th)

November 18th, 2007

174. Tajikistan (AFC-24th)
173. Yemen (AFC-23rd)
172. Indonesia (AFC-22nd)
171. Hong Kong (AFC-21st)

March 25, 2008

170. Eritrea (CAF-48th)

March 26, 2008

168 (tie). Turks and Caicos Islands (CONCACAF-34th, tie)
168 (tie). U.S. Virgin Islands (CONCACAF-34th, tie)
167. Dominica (CONCACAF-33rd)
166. Aruba (CONCACAF-32nd)
165. Montserrat (CONCACAF-31st)
164. Saint Kitts and Nevis (CONCACAF-30th)
162 (tie). Anguilla (CONCACAF-28th)
162 (tie). Nicaragua (CONCACAF-28th)
161. Dominican Republic (CONCACAF-27th)

March 30, 2008

160. British Virgin Islands (CONCACAF-26th)
159. Cayman Islands (CONCACAF-25th)

EvanJ · Apr 16, 2008

Re: 208 to 1: World Cup 2010 Eliminations Timeline

Good topic. After qualifying for World Cup 2006 was over I went back and looked at group stage results to determine when countries were eliminated.

Michele · Apr 16, 2008

Re: 208 to 1: World Cup 2010 Eliminations Timeline

At some point before the 2006 qualifiers, I did something somewhat similar to this. I didn't put a date on when a team was eliminated, but I made an excel sheet with eliminated teams in one place, qualified in another and teams still with a chance to qualify a third place. And then I put each country's population next to the country to see how many people would be represented by their national team at the WC. It was quite funny when teams like India and China were eliminated by teams like Kuwait and Japan, suddenly 2 billion people went to the non-qualified part of the sheet. And a team like Trinidad qualifying rather than Canada didn't do anything good for the number of represented people either. I don't remember what the final number was, but I can safely say that a lot of people had to find alternative favorite teams to root for - myself included. But coming from Denmark and finishing behind Turkey and Ukraine at least meant that more people could root for their own team.

Jay510 · Apr 16, 2008

Re: 208 to 1: World Cup 2010 Eliminations Timeline

love the thread.....scary, might want to put and R in the field and include data about the game which eliminated the team listed from now on. It would be a nice touch.

One other question, Madagascar, are they in or out?

scaryice · Apr 16, 2008

Re: 208 to 1: World Cup 2010 Eliminations Timeline

Knowing FIFA, they'll probably be banned for a while but let back in before the qualifying starts.

jonny63 · Apr 17, 2008

Re: 208 to 1: World Cup 2010 Eliminations Timeline

Jay510 said: ↑

love the thread.....scary, might want to put and R in the field and include data about the game which eliminated the team listed from now on. It would be a nice touch.

One other question, Madagascar, are they in or out?
Click to expand...

I think they are out but not final yet.

http://www.mtnfootball.com/live/content.php?Item_ID=14447

midknight · Apr 21, 2008

Re: 208 to 1: World Cup 2010 Eliminations Timeline

Wow. I did the same thing for 2006, except I had the country that eliminated them listed as well. I was originally planning to post it on the pwc forum and when that folded i lost interest i guessed. My list stopped at Botswana's elimination by Morocco in june 05, country 109...

sidis · Apr 22, 2008

Re: 208 to 1: World Cup 2010 Eliminations Timeline

great thread!!!

El Chuma · Apr 22, 2008

Re: 208 to 1: World Cup 2010 Eliminations Timeline

Subscribes.

-RB- · May 5, 2008

Re: 208 to 1: World Cup 2010 Eliminations Timeline

Long journey...can't wait 'til '10!

lovingthegreen · May 28, 2008

Re: 208 to 1: World Cup 2010 Eliminations Timeline

Awesome thread - 158 countries still alive!

scaryice · May 29, 2008

Re: 208 to 1: World Cup 2010 Eliminations Timeline

BTW, Iraq's suspension has been lifted. Anyone who's paid attention to FIFA's behavior should never have taken it seriously in the first place.

lovingthegreen · May 29, 2008

Re: 208 to 1: World Cup 2010 Eliminations Timeline

scaryice said: ↑

BTW, Iraq's suspension has been lifted. Anyone who's paid attention to FIFA's behavior should never have taken it seriously in the first place.
Click to expand...

Completely agree - I figured they were just trying to scare Iraq and would lift it before the Australia game.

To FIFA's credit, however, the organization does state that Iraq had, after the suspension was given, sent FIFA a letter saying that the Iraq Football Association was excluded from that decree.

http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2008/05/29/1211654201135.html

scaryice · Jun 7, 2008

Re: 208 to 1: World Cup 2010 Eliminations Timeline

Two Asian teams were eliminated today:

March 30, 2007

206 (tie). Brunei Darussalam (AFC-44th, tie)
206 (tie). Laos (AFC-44th, tie)
206 (tie). Philippines (AFC-44th, tie)

August 7, 2007

205. Guam (AFC-43rd)

Mid-August 2007

204. Papau New Guinea (OFC-11th)

August 29, 2007

203. American Samoa (OFC-10th)

August 31, 2007

201 (tie). Central African Republic (CAF-52nd, tie)
201 (tie). São Tomé and Príncipe (CAF-52nd, tie)

September 1, 2007

199 (tie). Cook Islands (OFC-8th, tie)
199 (tie). Tahiti (OFC-8th, tie)

September 3, 2007

198. Samoa (OFC-7th)
197. Tonga (OFC-6th)

September 7, 2007

196. Solomon Islands (OFC-5th)

September 13, 2007

195. Bhutan (AFC-42nd)

October 15, 2007

194. Macau (AFC-41st)

October 26, 2007

193. Afghanistan (AFC-40th)

October 28, 2007

191 (tie). Mongolia (AFC-38th, tie)
191 (tie). Timor-Leste (AFC-38th, tie)
190. Myanmar (AFC-37th)
189. Nepal (AFC-36th)
187 (tie). Bangladesh (AFC-34th, tie)
187 (tie). Palestine (AFC-34th, tie)
186. Chinese Taipei (AFC-33rd)
184 (tie). Maldives (AFC-31st, tie)
184 (tie). Pakistan (AFC-31st, tie)
183. Malaysia (AFC-30th)
182. Cambodia (AFC-29th)
181. Vietnam (AFC-28th)
180. Sri Lanka (AFC-27th)
179. Kyrgyzstan (AFC-26th)

October 30, 2007

178. India (AFC-25th)

November 16, 2007

177. Somalia (CAF-51st)

November 17, 2007

176. Comoros (CAF-50th)
175. Guinea-Bissau (CAF-49th)

November 18th, 2007

174. Tajikistan (AFC-24th)
173. Yemen (AFC-23rd)
172. Indonesia (AFC-22nd)
171. Hong Kong (AFC-21st)

March 25, 2008

170. Eritrea (CAF-48th)

March 26, 2008

168 (tie). Turks and Caicos Islands (CONCACAF-34th, tie)
168 (tie). U.S. Virgin Islands (CONCACAF-34th, tie)
167. Dominica (CONCACAF-33rd)
166. Aruba (CONCACAF-32nd)
165. Montserrat (CONCACAF-31st)
164. Saint Kitts and Nevis (CONCACAF-30th)
162 (tie). Anguilla (CONCACAF-28th)
162 (tie). Nicaragua (CONCACAF-28th)
161. Dominican Republic (CONCACAF-27th)

March 30, 2008

160. British Virgin Islands (CONCACAF-26th)
159. Cayman Islands (CONCACAF-25th)

June 7, 2008

158. Turkmenistan (AFC-20th)
157. Lebanon (AFC-19th)

code1390 · Jun 7, 2008

Re: 208 to 1: World Cup 2010 Eliminations Timeline

Jwaksman · Jun 14, 2008

Re: 208 to 1: World Cup 2010 Eliminations Timeline

Thailand and Jordan have already been eliminated this morning (well, I guess it would be "this evening" in the local time zones). I might be missing some, but those two for sure...

jonny63 · Jun 14, 2008

Re: 208 to 1: World Cup 2010 Eliminations Timeline

Bye bye to Singapore also after losing to Saudi Arabia at home.

Jwaksman · Jun 14, 2008

Re: 208 to 1: World Cup 2010 Eliminations Timeline

China's also going to be eliminated, unless they can score a goal in the next 10 minutes or so.

Edit: Yep, they're gone.

Jwaksman · Jun 14, 2008

Re: 208 to 1: World Cup 2010 Eliminations Timeline

Oman bites the dust. Two more possibilities for today: Kuwait is eliminated if they lose to UAE (tied in the 80th minute right now). And Puerto Rico will be eliminated unless they beat Honduras by four goals or more (kickoff in about 4 1/2 hours).

So we're down to 151 teams at the moment. Most likely 150, possibly 149 by the end of the day.

Jay510 · Jun 14, 2008

Re: 208 to 1: World Cup 2010 Eliminations Timeline

Jwaksman said: ↑

Oman bites the dust. Two more possibilities for today: Kuwait is eliminated if they lose to UAE (tied in the 80th minute right now). And Puerto Rico will be eliminated unless they beat Honduras by four goals or more (kickoff in about 4 1/2 hours).

So we're down to 151 teams at the moment. Most likely 150, possibly 149 by the end of the day.
Click to expand...

either PR or Honduras will be eliminated today.

Jwaksman · Jun 14, 2008

Re: 208 to 1: World Cup 2010 Eliminations Timeline

Jay510 said: ↑

either PR or Honduras will be eliminated today.
Click to expand...

Correct. I was just pointing out that it was almost definitely going to be Puerto Rico. And Kuwait also fell, on a goal in penalty time. So when today is done we will have 149 teams remaining. More than a dozen will be eliminated next weekend as well.

scaryice · Jun 14, 2008

Re: 208 to 1: World Cup 2010 Eliminations Timeline

More Asian teams gone.

March 30, 2007

206 (tie). Brunei Darussalam (AFC-44th, tie)
206 (tie). Laos (AFC-44th, tie)
206 (tie). Philippines (AFC-44th, tie)

August 7, 2007

205. Guam (AFC-43rd)

Mid-August 2007

204. Papau New Guinea (OFC-11th)

August 29, 2007

203. American Samoa (OFC-10th)

August 31, 2007

201 (tie). Central African Republic (CAF-52nd, tie)
201 (tie). São Tomé and Príncipe (CAF-52nd, tie)

September 1, 2007

199 (tie). Cook Islands (OFC-8th, tie)
199 (tie). Tahiti (OFC-8th, tie)

September 3, 2007

198. Samoa (OFC-7th)
197. Tonga (OFC-6th)

September 7, 2007

196. Solomon Islands (OFC-5th)

September 13, 2007

195. Bhutan (AFC-42nd)

October 15, 2007

194. Macau (AFC-41st)

October 26, 2007

193. Afghanistan (AFC-40th)

October 28, 2007

191 (tie). Mongolia (AFC-38th, tie)
191 (tie). Timor-Leste (AFC-38th, tie)
190. Myanmar (AFC-37th)
189. Nepal (AFC-36th)
187 (tie). Bangladesh (AFC-34th, tie)
187 (tie). Palestine (AFC-34th, tie)
186. Chinese Taipei (AFC-33rd)
184 (tie). Maldives (AFC-31st, tie)
184 (tie). Pakistan (AFC-31st, tie)
183. Malaysia (AFC-30th)
182. Cambodia (AFC-29th)
181. Vietnam (AFC-28th)
180. Sri Lanka (AFC-27th)
179. Kyrgyzstan (AFC-26th)

October 30, 2007

178. India (AFC-25th)

November 16, 2007

177. Somalia (CAF-51st)

November 17, 2007

176. Comoros (CAF-50th)
175. Guinea-Bissau (CAF-49th)

November 18th, 2007

174. Tajikistan (AFC-24th)
173. Yemen (AFC-23rd)
172. Indonesia (AFC-22nd)
171. Hong Kong (AFC-21st)

March 25, 2008

170. Eritrea (CAF-48th)

March 26, 2008

168 (tie). Turks and Caicos Islands (CONCACAF-34th, tie)
168 (tie). U.S. Virgin Islands (CONCACAF-34th, tie)
167. Dominica (CONCACAF-33rd)
166. Aruba (CONCACAF-32nd)
165. Montserrat (CONCACAF-31st)
164. Saint Kitts and Nevis (CONCACAF-30th)
162 (tie). Anguilla (CONCACAF-28th)
162 (tie). Nicaragua (CONCACAF-28th)
161. Dominican Republic (CONCACAF-27th)

March 30, 2008

160. British Virgin Islands (CONCACAF-26th)
159. Cayman Islands (CONCACAF-25th)

June 7, 2008

158. Turkmenistan (AFC-20th)
157. Lebanon (AFC-19th)

June 14, 2008

156. Jordan (AFC-18th)
155. Thailand (AFC-17th)
154. Singapore (AFC-16th)
153. China (AFC-15th)
152. Oman (AFC-14th)
151. Kuwait (AFC-13th)