After Saturday's win over Leeds, City are now 14 pts above the relegation zone with 15 games left to play.
Mathematical certainty is still months away, but I have noticed that in the 3/1/0 system, it is extremely rare for the gap between 2 teams to change by more than 1 point per game played. In otherwords, City, who are 15 pts behind Arsenal, are about as likely to be relegated as to win the Premiership.