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25 Mar 2004, 04:08 PM
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#1
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BigSoccer Member
Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: Palos Park, IL
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Will we stay up?
After Chelsea, our fixture list seems easier than those of Leeds, Leicester, and Portsmouth. So the question is--will we stay up?
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25 Mar 2004, 04:29 PM
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#2
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BigSoccer Member
Join Date: May 2003
Location: Norwich, NY
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Re: Will we stay up?
Well, lets take a look, shall we?
Traditionally, 40 points is the magic number for safety, and we're assuming that it is going to be a 4 team fight for 1 safe spot. So, we're ignoring Manchester City (30 points), and Blackburn (31). Here's what each team has to look at down the line:
Leicester (27 points, -13 goal differential)
vs. Liverpool
at Leeds
vs. Fulham
at Manchester United
at Blackburn
vs. Manchester City
at Charlton
vs. Portsmouth
at Arsenal
Portsmouth (27, -14)
at Blackburn
at Charlton
vs. Birmingham
vs. Manchester United
at Leeds
vs. Fulham
at Leicester
vs. Middlesborough
Leeds (25, -28)
at Birmingham
vs. Leicester
at Blackburn
vs. Everton
at Arsenal
vs. Portsmouth
at Bolton
vs. Charlton
at Chelsea
Wolves (24, -33)
at Chelsea
vs. Southampton
at Manchester City
vs. Bolton
vs. Middlesborough
at Birmingham
vs. Everton
at Newcastle
vs. Tottenham
Certainly, if it comes down to the last day of the season, I think we have the easier match. But, I think we need to steal at least one road win, because I don't want to be in the position of having to run the table at home. If we throw out the Chelsea game, and play for at least a draw against Birmingham and Newcastle, and try to steal the Man City game, and then play to win at home, I like the chances a bit better. Problem is though, some of our losses have been truly horrific, so we have to get into 17th on our own, and not just play to tie the position. Figure every match after Chelsea is a "must-point". I think they can do it, but it'll go down to the wire.
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26 Mar 2004, 06:06 PM
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#3
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BigSoccer Member
Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: Palos Park, IL
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Re: Will we stay up?
One of the advantages we have is that Portsmouth, Leicester, and Leeds all have matches against teams in the top four. Most of the teams we will face after Chelsea are in the bottom half of the table. However, it is very much important that we get an away win and the best chance to do that is at Manchester City.
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28 Mar 2004, 09:43 AM
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#4
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BigSoccer Member
Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: Wolverhampton/Cambridge
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Re: Will we stay up?
It's looking grim at the moment. Luck just dosn't seem to be on our side. Portsmouth seem to be taking advantage every time we slip up and I think they're the team we really need to catch up and pass. We seem to have an easier run-in from now so there is a chance we can stay up, but I'm preparing myself for the worst.
Let's cheer on the lads and drown the fat lady out.
Come on the Wolves!
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04 Apr 2004, 10:45 PM
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#5
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BigSoccer Member
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Seattle
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Re: Will we stay up?
I certainly hope so. I really like Dave Jones. I just hope Wolves can stay away from untimely injuries that seem to be their plague this year. First job is to remember that you need 3 pointers and not draws, which I think is within possibility. Take it from an Arsenal fan: draws will kill you.
Good luck at Molineux against So'ton.
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