Wizardscharter
01 Jun 2007, 06:44 PM
this is pitiful for for me. I've never done this poorly in predictions. For the year, I'm a robust 21-31, 7 units down. At least KC is entertaining to watch...
On to this week:
Sat:
Toronto 2.85 l 3.25 l 2.50 Colorado
Colorado is only short Cuba's Brown. TFC is missing everyone this side of Dichio. "Bee-MO" Field is an amazing place that must simply be worth as much as a full goal on a given day. Tomorrow it might be as little as half a goal with all of the TOR absences. I believe COL is at least a full goal better and on good form. The price on COL seems like a gift. I don't expect a blow out but COL will win.
COL@2.5 Under
New England 1.50 l 3.85 l 7.00 Real Salt Lake
RSL on the road is a guaranteed "Asian" line win for the home team (that's taking a win or a draw for a severly reduced price, BTW). Adu with Eskandarian and Klein can be formidable. RSL's main problem is going to be that NE blew a home game last week by allowing 4. Repeats are not on Steve Nicol's menu. NE will win. NE will win going away. The price is so unattractive that I wouldn't actually bet this game. Lowest price I've ever seen. If you can get odds on a certain player for NE to score, take the likely suspects for as much as you can on a punt. I see the assist record in Ralston's future. (Interesting note on that, I've been keeping stats direct from the in-game stat sheet since '96. Ralston had the assist record long ago, but has had many asists changed and deleted for whatever reason.)
NE@1.5 Over
Kansas City 2.30 l 3.25 l 2.90 New York - Game of the Week!
I have doubt here and not just because I'm obviously attached to this one. This game could go 14 different directions and will go at lest half of those given the slate of talented and returning-from-injury likely subs late.
Bulls win this and they have a virtual lock on the division that will only possibly be broken by the upcoming 5 of 6 road games after KC. Make no mistake this is a game for home field. NY can lose as they have KC twice in NY to come. KC can't lose or they are dependant on other result for the next 4 months. I mean it, KC would be an afterthought until October, injuries or not. The flip side is a KC win puts NY down in the standings, down in the head to head, and facing a slew of road games while KC gets healthier and would be flying high with wins over everyone in division but strugglers Chicago.
This one is a virtual playoff game. As such, draw has signifigant merit. The number would be about 2.8 for a draw in my casino.
Forget the injury report. Garcia and Holbein should be available. Reports have burciaga healty and "playing well" in practice. Conrad is out. Reyna should ba available for Bulls. As NY is simply better with Reyna and he should play :30 or less at the end, this game should turn on who scores first. For that I like KC. The bigger question would be who for KC can step up to defend in crunch time. If you like high scoring, this one promises to live up to biling. All the field talent is up front for both sides.
I look for The Bruce to instruct to hack early and away from goal. "First foul, first card, first goal"... They will then settle in behind it. He should think he has the talent differential both on and off the field. KC will have to be above normal on all set pieces as there will be 3-4 wrinkles put in especially to compliment whatever game plan exists for NY. My gut says NY will defend in numbers, will forget they know how to offside trap, force KC to shoot from distance and angle, and trap sidelines when KC goes wide. Barring being beaten by early balls and speed, KC will only be able to exploit the pockets on either side of the box above the 18 yd line. KC scores from there early and we may see a 5-4 game. NY will want the middle and the deep wing from sideline to just inside the box.
KC has allowed too many penalties from loose arms. NY crosses will come form every angle just to cross. They may not have a point all the time.
For KC the huge question is how to stop JP Angel. I don't know that they have anyone at full fitnesss. Similarly, NY has no answer for EJ, full fitness or not. Likely this game will be won on the wings. Win the battles out there and possession is yours. Win possession and you will score in this one.
KC's win will depend, as it has all year, on accuracy of shot. They shoot accurately and put it on frame, it's in the bank. I believe they will, and for that reason I like KC in a high scoring affair. The over is a mortal lock barring a typhoon. KC wins in blue.
Find suckers pre-game and try to sell 5:1 on a given team being shut out. Pay for your in-game beers.
KC@2.3 Over
Los Angeles 2.25 l 3.25 l 3.20 DCU
I like home teams in cross country tilts. I like desparate teams early season in home games. It's a long flight and the records reflect a home coast effect over time. That effect is lessened with DC and LA however.
More important is that DC has beaten thin or terrible teams. LA's main weakness is getting wide and that is just what DC has difficulty doing.
LA should rebound from the loss at COL to beat DC by the odd goal. It's an attractive price on Gomez and dc. I have to go with LA at home in dire need of points. Draw has merit here if lowscoring.
LA@2.25 Under
Sun:
Houston 2.38 l 3.25 l 3.25 Dallas - The renewal of the battle for "El Capitan". Houston needs a reason to think it's a new season. A home game and a trophy are good reasons.
HOU has to win in a must situation for them. They are flat reeling and getting nothing from Ching and little from DeRo. That can't possibly keep up all year. DAL returned to road form with the loss at Chivas last week. I look for that to continue.
Home teams have a great historical record against visitors who lost on the road the previous week. HOU is at home.
HOU@2.38 Over
Chicago 1.95 l 3.25 l 3.85 Columbus
I like CHI at home only because I hate CLB away, even with the big number and recent additions. Rolff seems to be CHI's big weapon aand right now the weapon isn't clicking over.
At some point CLB and all of their new guys will click and blow someone out. CHi isn't a sellar team, isn't on form, and has a lot of reasons to be overlooked. CLB, by contrast has so many draws that every game for them going forward is close to a must win just to keep pace with the East high flyers. CLB is on better form if you are searching for the best longshot of the week. If it was something important, I'd take CHI at home. As it 's just money, gimme CLB and the inflated number on a flyer.
CLB@3.85 Under
Good luck. I certainly could use some.
Go Wizards! Go blue!
-WC
On to this week:
Sat:
Toronto 2.85 l 3.25 l 2.50 Colorado
Colorado is only short Cuba's Brown. TFC is missing everyone this side of Dichio. "Bee-MO" Field is an amazing place that must simply be worth as much as a full goal on a given day. Tomorrow it might be as little as half a goal with all of the TOR absences. I believe COL is at least a full goal better and on good form. The price on COL seems like a gift. I don't expect a blow out but COL will win.
COL@2.5 Under
New England 1.50 l 3.85 l 7.00 Real Salt Lake
RSL on the road is a guaranteed "Asian" line win for the home team (that's taking a win or a draw for a severly reduced price, BTW). Adu with Eskandarian and Klein can be formidable. RSL's main problem is going to be that NE blew a home game last week by allowing 4. Repeats are not on Steve Nicol's menu. NE will win. NE will win going away. The price is so unattractive that I wouldn't actually bet this game. Lowest price I've ever seen. If you can get odds on a certain player for NE to score, take the likely suspects for as much as you can on a punt. I see the assist record in Ralston's future. (Interesting note on that, I've been keeping stats direct from the in-game stat sheet since '96. Ralston had the assist record long ago, but has had many asists changed and deleted for whatever reason.)
NE@1.5 Over
Kansas City 2.30 l 3.25 l 2.90 New York - Game of the Week!
I have doubt here and not just because I'm obviously attached to this one. This game could go 14 different directions and will go at lest half of those given the slate of talented and returning-from-injury likely subs late.
Bulls win this and they have a virtual lock on the division that will only possibly be broken by the upcoming 5 of 6 road games after KC. Make no mistake this is a game for home field. NY can lose as they have KC twice in NY to come. KC can't lose or they are dependant on other result for the next 4 months. I mean it, KC would be an afterthought until October, injuries or not. The flip side is a KC win puts NY down in the standings, down in the head to head, and facing a slew of road games while KC gets healthier and would be flying high with wins over everyone in division but strugglers Chicago.
This one is a virtual playoff game. As such, draw has signifigant merit. The number would be about 2.8 for a draw in my casino.
Forget the injury report. Garcia and Holbein should be available. Reports have burciaga healty and "playing well" in practice. Conrad is out. Reyna should ba available for Bulls. As NY is simply better with Reyna and he should play :30 or less at the end, this game should turn on who scores first. For that I like KC. The bigger question would be who for KC can step up to defend in crunch time. If you like high scoring, this one promises to live up to biling. All the field talent is up front for both sides.
I look for The Bruce to instruct to hack early and away from goal. "First foul, first card, first goal"... They will then settle in behind it. He should think he has the talent differential both on and off the field. KC will have to be above normal on all set pieces as there will be 3-4 wrinkles put in especially to compliment whatever game plan exists for NY. My gut says NY will defend in numbers, will forget they know how to offside trap, force KC to shoot from distance and angle, and trap sidelines when KC goes wide. Barring being beaten by early balls and speed, KC will only be able to exploit the pockets on either side of the box above the 18 yd line. KC scores from there early and we may see a 5-4 game. NY will want the middle and the deep wing from sideline to just inside the box.
KC has allowed too many penalties from loose arms. NY crosses will come form every angle just to cross. They may not have a point all the time.
For KC the huge question is how to stop JP Angel. I don't know that they have anyone at full fitnesss. Similarly, NY has no answer for EJ, full fitness or not. Likely this game will be won on the wings. Win the battles out there and possession is yours. Win possession and you will score in this one.
KC's win will depend, as it has all year, on accuracy of shot. They shoot accurately and put it on frame, it's in the bank. I believe they will, and for that reason I like KC in a high scoring affair. The over is a mortal lock barring a typhoon. KC wins in blue.
Find suckers pre-game and try to sell 5:1 on a given team being shut out. Pay for your in-game beers.
KC@2.3 Over
Los Angeles 2.25 l 3.25 l 3.20 DCU
I like home teams in cross country tilts. I like desparate teams early season in home games. It's a long flight and the records reflect a home coast effect over time. That effect is lessened with DC and LA however.
More important is that DC has beaten thin or terrible teams. LA's main weakness is getting wide and that is just what DC has difficulty doing.
LA should rebound from the loss at COL to beat DC by the odd goal. It's an attractive price on Gomez and dc. I have to go with LA at home in dire need of points. Draw has merit here if lowscoring.
LA@2.25 Under
Sun:
Houston 2.38 l 3.25 l 3.25 Dallas - The renewal of the battle for "El Capitan". Houston needs a reason to think it's a new season. A home game and a trophy are good reasons.
HOU has to win in a must situation for them. They are flat reeling and getting nothing from Ching and little from DeRo. That can't possibly keep up all year. DAL returned to road form with the loss at Chivas last week. I look for that to continue.
Home teams have a great historical record against visitors who lost on the road the previous week. HOU is at home.
HOU@2.38 Over
Chicago 1.95 l 3.25 l 3.85 Columbus
I like CHI at home only because I hate CLB away, even with the big number and recent additions. Rolff seems to be CHI's big weapon aand right now the weapon isn't clicking over.
At some point CLB and all of their new guys will click and blow someone out. CHi isn't a sellar team, isn't on form, and has a lot of reasons to be overlooked. CLB, by contrast has so many draws that every game for them going forward is close to a must win just to keep pace with the East high flyers. CLB is on better form if you are searching for the best longshot of the week. If it was something important, I'd take CHI at home. As it 's just money, gimme CLB and the inflated number on a flyer.
CLB@3.85 Under
Good luck. I certainly could use some.
Go Wizards! Go blue!
-WC