Week 4 MLS (starts Wed.)

[Wizardscharter]

Betting Agencies - Kansas City Draw Toronto
Centrebet (NT) 1.55 3.50 6.00
10Bet (UK) 1.66 3.42 4.90
UniBet (UK) 1.65 3.40 5.00
Sporting Odds (UK) 1.65 3.50 4.75
BetUK (UK) 1.65 3.50 4.75
Sportingbet Oz (NT) 1.65 3.50 4.75
Stan James (UK) 1.62 3.25 5.50
Betsafe (CR) 1.60 3.35 5.35
Betsson (UK) 1.65 3.40 4.75
PartyBets (GI) 1.68 3.40 4.50
Eurobet (UK) 1.65 3.50 4.50
Bodog (CR) 1.67 3.40 4.50
Bet Internet (UK) 1.65 3.40 4.60
Blue Square (UK) 1.62 3.40 4.75
Bet365 (UK) 1.50 3.60 5.50
SkyBet (UK) 1.62 3.25 5.00
Sportsbetting (C'Bean) 1.65 3.35 4.50

Obviously I like KC, but here's some intel: KC is 6-0-2 in openers of any kind since '99. KC has a habit of scoring often in first home games in a long time. TOR is on 10 days rest without a competitive game. TOR is playing their 3rd consecutive road game in MLS. Teams that do this win just 10% of the time. TOR has allowed 6 and scored 0 in their two previous games. It likely will be wet Wed. night in KC. That should thin the crowd, but should give KC some advantage as both of their previous games and a good chunk of practice the last 2 weeks has been in the wet. Also look for full early subs as these tow play again in Toronto Saturday night. KC obviously has the deeper bench. TOR's only advantages are that this will be KC's 4th game in 11 days and KC has allowed 2 in every competitive game (3) so far this year.

I like KC and the over. Ordinarilly, I'd say bet the mortgage on the over, but you never know how much it will rain and thunder.

[Justin O]

I wish I could've seen Toronto play thus far, to get an idea if they're realy "that bad" or if they've benn rather unlucky. I guess I'll take KC here, but normally I wouldn't bet on an MLS side with prices that low.

[Wizardscharter]

TOR are really , "that bad".


NY 3.5 3.25 2.2 @DAL
Teams Chance of winning - Predicted Score
Dallas 61.88% - 2
New York 26.90% - 1
The Draw 11.22%

NY hasn't conceeded yet. Hard to bet against that.
NY 3.5 - Under

LA 2.5 3.2 2.75 @CHV @ HDC
Teams Chance of winning - Predicted Score
Los Angeles 64.84% - 2
Chivas 24.34% - 1
The Draw 10.82%

CHV is better. 2.75, Under

@Toronto 3.2 3.2 2.1 Kansas City
Toronto 43.83% - 1
Kansas City 48.65% - 2
The Draw 7.52%

TOR is bad and will not have enough even with the night and the crowd. KC is on their 5th game in 15 days. That's TOR's only shot. Not good enough.
KC 2.1 - Over

DC 2.75 3.2 2.37 @Columbus
Teams Chance of winning Predicted Score
Columbus 64.58% - 2
DC United 23.96% - 1
The Draw 11.45%

I like dc to solve their problems a get a road win. They have had 2 weeks to sort stuff out. Both teams should be solid defensively. Draw is worth a look as Clmb is 0-0-3 and dc will be resigned to a point if needbe.
DC 2.75 - Under

Colorado 2.63 3.2 2.38@ Real Salt Lake
Teams Chance of winning Predicted Score
Salt Lake 41.26% - 1
Colorado 39.51% - 2
The Draw 19.23%

Colorado is better, but this is a rivalry game for the two cities. COL is also playing the 2nd consecutive roadie. The price isn't huge, but I like the ''Pids as RSL is horrible defensively. Only Rimando on the bench gives RSL a chance so check the RSL board.
COL 2.63 - Over - Under is Rimando sits.

Chicago 3.1 3.2 2.1@ Houston
Teams Chance of winning Predicted Score
Houston 67.11% - 2
Chicago 11.53% - 1
The Draw 21.36%

Champs at home having played poorly to start the season. I like HOU for just that reason.
HOU 2.1 - Over

NE 3.5 3.25 2.0 @DAL
Teams Chance of winning Predicted Score
Dallas 81.86% - 2
New England 11.97% - 1
The Draw 6.17%

DAL at home on short rest to NE on full rest. They are at home. NE is just getting off playing a weak TOR team. Sometimes a much higher level is difficult to reach on the road. DAL has a great pair up top and should score. Only an early NE goal saves them. DAL has been middling on short rest. NE has been crap away. All of the forwards are in good form. Tough one. Draw worth a look here
DAL 2.0 - Over

[Magpie Maniac]

Taking NYRB over Dallas. Too good to pass up.

I'll look at one or two more matches by Saturday.

[Magpie Maniac]

First off, I want to thank you guys for starting these MLS threads and posting the odds. I don't always have time. While I enjoy watching the EPL, I get so pumped this time of year with the MLS season starting. And wagering is just the icing on the cake. :D

This weekend, I'm taking KC and DC on singles. My sucker bet parlay days are about over. It's all about money management this year.

[Novaflow10]

wow thanks for posting this stuff...I love betting on soccer...keep it up