Tribune
15 Apr 2007, 08:26 PM
I thought to post an analysis over the next issue : In the discussions about Pele, it is often brought the case that Pele played in a league less competitive than the european one.
The idea is that Brazil, in our case the Sao Paulo state, had a league inferior to their european counterparts. This was often countered with statements like Brazilian leagues of that time were much stronger. As true as they are, these arguments were only opinions, but they are not proven facts. Yet it can be mathematically proven and that's the reason I raise this argument again.
Unfortunately for those who believe the opposite, the best brazilian leagues, cariocas and paulista, were at least as good as the european ones and at certain moments even better. This is a FACT.
How did I reach such a conclusive determination ? After all, when something is depicted as "FACT", it has to be proven, right ? Absolutely correct. And it's not even very hard.
First and foremost, it is already established that Santos was a top-class team at that time ; this is unquestionable. But the question is : how were the other teams ? The main argument revolves around the suggestion that, while Santos was good, the other teams were not. Let's see, is that the truth ?
Let's take year 1960 as reference and compare the Sao Paulo league with a league from that time. Since Spanish teams were the most dominant that year, let's take La Liga, which represents a perfect comparison since it is also an offensive minded league quite similar with the brazilian ones.
We have :
Barcelona champion with 46 points ;
Real Madrid with 46 points ;
Athletic Billbao 39 points ;
Sevilla 36 points
Betis 33 points
Atletico 33 points
In Sao Paulo league :
Santos - 50 points
Portuguesa - 48 points
Corinthians - 44 points
Palmeiras - 42 points
Noroeste - 40 points
Ferroviaria - 39 points
Barcelona - 22 victories, 2 draws, 6 defeats ; percent of games lost : 20% ;
Real Madrid - 21 victories, 4 draws, 5 defeats ; percent defeats : 16.6%
Santos - 22 victories, 6 draws, 6 defeats ; percent games lost : 17.66%
Portuguesa - 22 victories, 4 draws, 8 defeats ; percent games lost : 23.5%
Did Santos played against Spanish team that year ? They did : 2-2 with Espanyol, they won 1-0 with Valencia, they lost 3-4 against Barcelona. Also, in the summer of 1959, Santos played against 3 top Spanish teams of that time. They lost 3-5 against Real Madrid, draw 4-4 with Valencia, beat Barcelona with 5-1. So, Santos proved to be on par with the best teams from Spain at that time.
Now let's try a different approach :
The 4 best defenses in La Liga :
Barcelona - 28 goals ; average ratio : 0.93 goals conceded per game ;
Espanyol - 29 goals : 0.96 goals conceded per game ;
Valencia - 33 goals : 1.1 goals conceded per game ;
Real Madrid : 36 goals : 1.2 goals conceded per game ;
The 10 worst defenses in La Liga :
Las Palmas - 77 goals ; 2.56 goals per game ;
Osasuna - 75 goals ; 2.5 goals per game ;
Elche : 64 goals ; 2.13 goals per game
Real Valladolid : 61 goals ; 2.03 average ;
Real Sociedad : 61 goals ; 2.03 average
Real Zaragoza : 58 goals : 1.93
Betis - 53 goals ; 1.76
Granada : 52 goals : 1.73
Oviedo : 51 goals : 1.7
Athletic ; 45 goals : 1.5
The 4 best defenses in the SP league :
Corinthians - 43 goals conceded ; average ratio : 1.26
Santos - 44 goals conceded ; average : 1.29
Noroeste - 46 goals conceded ; average : 1.35
Palmeiras : 48 goals conceded ; average : 1.41
The 10 worst defenses in the Sao Paulo league :
Ponte Preta - 81 goals conceded ; average : 2.38
Taubate - 76 goals conceded ; average : 2.23
Juventus Sao Paulo - 75 goals conceded ; average : 2.20
Jabaquara - 73 goals conceded ; 2.14 goals conceded ;
Corinthians Ponte Preta - 70 goals conceded ; 2.05 goals conceded ;
Comercial - 64 goals : 1.88 goals conceded
America - 62 goals : 1.82 goals conceded ;
Botafogo SP : 59 goals : 1.735
FC Sao Paulo : 56 goals : 1.65
Portuguesa Santista : 53 goals : 1.56
So, what do we notice ? That the best defenses in SP conceded more goals than the best defenses in La Liga, but AT THE SAME TIME, the worse 10defenses in the Sao Paulo league conceded as much as their counterparts from Spain. At the bottom at the table, THERE IS ABSOLUTELY NO DIFFERENCE.
Now let's use our logic instead of the usual pro-european bias and analyse what does that mean.
So, the best defenses in Sao Paulo conceded more. In other words => the other teams were capable to score against them more goals than the regular teams from Primera did against the best defenses from Spain.
But at the same time the worse defenses are even.
So, what are the conclusions ? Using a rational logic, it means that the regular teams from the Sao Paulo league were capable to cause more problems to the big teams from SP than the regular teams from Primera did versus the best defensive teams from Spain. To put it short, the regular team from Sao Paulo was stronger than the regular team from Spain.
In other words, the Sao Paulo was in 1960 a more competitive league than Primera.
Sorry to dissapoint the pro-european guys around here. If some other wise guy comes with stuff like "european teams are more competitive", he should think again. This is not an opinion, it's mathematical deduction.
So much for the argument that brazilian leagues were defensively worse than their european counterparts or that they were less competitive...
Case closed.
The idea is that Brazil, in our case the Sao Paulo state, had a league inferior to their european counterparts. This was often countered with statements like Brazilian leagues of that time were much stronger. As true as they are, these arguments were only opinions, but they are not proven facts. Yet it can be mathematically proven and that's the reason I raise this argument again.
Unfortunately for those who believe the opposite, the best brazilian leagues, cariocas and paulista, were at least as good as the european ones and at certain moments even better. This is a FACT.
How did I reach such a conclusive determination ? After all, when something is depicted as "FACT", it has to be proven, right ? Absolutely correct. And it's not even very hard.
First and foremost, it is already established that Santos was a top-class team at that time ; this is unquestionable. But the question is : how were the other teams ? The main argument revolves around the suggestion that, while Santos was good, the other teams were not. Let's see, is that the truth ?
Let's take year 1960 as reference and compare the Sao Paulo league with a league from that time. Since Spanish teams were the most dominant that year, let's take La Liga, which represents a perfect comparison since it is also an offensive minded league quite similar with the brazilian ones.
We have :
Barcelona champion with 46 points ;
Real Madrid with 46 points ;
Athletic Billbao 39 points ;
Sevilla 36 points
Betis 33 points
Atletico 33 points
In Sao Paulo league :
Santos - 50 points
Portuguesa - 48 points
Corinthians - 44 points
Palmeiras - 42 points
Noroeste - 40 points
Ferroviaria - 39 points
Barcelona - 22 victories, 2 draws, 6 defeats ; percent of games lost : 20% ;
Real Madrid - 21 victories, 4 draws, 5 defeats ; percent defeats : 16.6%
Santos - 22 victories, 6 draws, 6 defeats ; percent games lost : 17.66%
Portuguesa - 22 victories, 4 draws, 8 defeats ; percent games lost : 23.5%
Did Santos played against Spanish team that year ? They did : 2-2 with Espanyol, they won 1-0 with Valencia, they lost 3-4 against Barcelona. Also, in the summer of 1959, Santos played against 3 top Spanish teams of that time. They lost 3-5 against Real Madrid, draw 4-4 with Valencia, beat Barcelona with 5-1. So, Santos proved to be on par with the best teams from Spain at that time.
Now let's try a different approach :
The 4 best defenses in La Liga :
Barcelona - 28 goals ; average ratio : 0.93 goals conceded per game ;
Espanyol - 29 goals : 0.96 goals conceded per game ;
Valencia - 33 goals : 1.1 goals conceded per game ;
Real Madrid : 36 goals : 1.2 goals conceded per game ;
The 10 worst defenses in La Liga :
Las Palmas - 77 goals ; 2.56 goals per game ;
Osasuna - 75 goals ; 2.5 goals per game ;
Elche : 64 goals ; 2.13 goals per game
Real Valladolid : 61 goals ; 2.03 average ;
Real Sociedad : 61 goals ; 2.03 average
Real Zaragoza : 58 goals : 1.93
Betis - 53 goals ; 1.76
Granada : 52 goals : 1.73
Oviedo : 51 goals : 1.7
Athletic ; 45 goals : 1.5
The 4 best defenses in the SP league :
Corinthians - 43 goals conceded ; average ratio : 1.26
Santos - 44 goals conceded ; average : 1.29
Noroeste - 46 goals conceded ; average : 1.35
Palmeiras : 48 goals conceded ; average : 1.41
The 10 worst defenses in the Sao Paulo league :
Ponte Preta - 81 goals conceded ; average : 2.38
Taubate - 76 goals conceded ; average : 2.23
Juventus Sao Paulo - 75 goals conceded ; average : 2.20
Jabaquara - 73 goals conceded ; 2.14 goals conceded ;
Corinthians Ponte Preta - 70 goals conceded ; 2.05 goals conceded ;
Comercial - 64 goals : 1.88 goals conceded
America - 62 goals : 1.82 goals conceded ;
Botafogo SP : 59 goals : 1.735
FC Sao Paulo : 56 goals : 1.65
Portuguesa Santista : 53 goals : 1.56
So, what do we notice ? That the best defenses in SP conceded more goals than the best defenses in La Liga, but AT THE SAME TIME, the worse 10defenses in the Sao Paulo league conceded as much as their counterparts from Spain. At the bottom at the table, THERE IS ABSOLUTELY NO DIFFERENCE.
Now let's use our logic instead of the usual pro-european bias and analyse what does that mean.
So, the best defenses in Sao Paulo conceded more. In other words => the other teams were capable to score against them more goals than the regular teams from Primera did against the best defenses from Spain.
But at the same time the worse defenses are even.
So, what are the conclusions ? Using a rational logic, it means that the regular teams from the Sao Paulo league were capable to cause more problems to the big teams from SP than the regular teams from Primera did versus the best defensive teams from Spain. To put it short, the regular team from Sao Paulo was stronger than the regular team from Spain.
In other words, the Sao Paulo was in 1960 a more competitive league than Primera.
Sorry to dissapoint the pro-european guys around here. If some other wise guy comes with stuff like "european teams are more competitive", he should think again. This is not an opinion, it's mathematical deduction.
So much for the argument that brazilian leagues were defensively worse than their european counterparts or that they were less competitive...
Case closed.