sicnarf
08 Feb 2007, 01:44 PM
I was wondering if anyone knew what coefficients (if any) the now separate nations of Serbia and Montenegro will be given for the draw for WC2010 qualifiers.
I imagine there's a precedent for this when the former Yugoslavia divided
up into several nations, but I haven't been able to find out what was done about draws.
It seems that Serbia as a separate nation has taken Serbia&Montenegro's results, at least from the point of view of working out coefficients for qualifiers (by this I mean that Serbia&Montenegro were actually in the Euro 2008 quals draw, but Serbia just took their place for the competition without redoing the draw, so that implies they've just been givn the same coefficients as Serbia&Montenegro had)
So, if we work out coefficients for the WC2010 qualifying draw for Serbia:
( Points for Serbia in Euro2008 quals
plus
Points for Serbia&Montenegro in WC2006 quals )
divided by
Total number of games played in both sets of qualifiers
So if euro2008 qualifying finished today, Serbia would have:
( 10pts + 22pts ) / ( 4 games + 10 games ) = 2.286
Which (today) would mean Serbia would be seeded top or in the second pot at worst.
Whereas Montenegro, if they have a clean record, would be ranked bottom as they're not competing at all in Euro2008, and didn't compete in WC2006 quals as a separate nation.
So they would be in the same pot as the likes of San Marino, Luxembourg and Liechtenstein, and that doesn't seem that fair...
It occurs to me that the fairer thing to do would be to allow both of them to use Serbia&Montenegro's record from WC2006 quals.
So therefore Montenegro would have:
(0 + 22) / (0 + 10) = 2.2
Giving them a good chance of being seeded in the second/third pot.
Thoughts?
I imagine there's a precedent for this when the former Yugoslavia divided
up into several nations, but I haven't been able to find out what was done about draws.
It seems that Serbia as a separate nation has taken Serbia&Montenegro's results, at least from the point of view of working out coefficients for qualifiers (by this I mean that Serbia&Montenegro were actually in the Euro 2008 quals draw, but Serbia just took their place for the competition without redoing the draw, so that implies they've just been givn the same coefficients as Serbia&Montenegro had)
So, if we work out coefficients for the WC2010 qualifying draw for Serbia:
( Points for Serbia in Euro2008 quals
plus
Points for Serbia&Montenegro in WC2006 quals )
divided by
Total number of games played in both sets of qualifiers
So if euro2008 qualifying finished today, Serbia would have:
( 10pts + 22pts ) / ( 4 games + 10 games ) = 2.286
Which (today) would mean Serbia would be seeded top or in the second pot at worst.
Whereas Montenegro, if they have a clean record, would be ranked bottom as they're not competing at all in Euro2008, and didn't compete in WC2006 quals as a separate nation.
So they would be in the same pot as the likes of San Marino, Luxembourg and Liechtenstein, and that doesn't seem that fair...
It occurs to me that the fairer thing to do would be to allow both of them to use Serbia&Montenegro's record from WC2006 quals.
So therefore Montenegro would have:
(0 + 22) / (0 + 10) = 2.2
Giving them a good chance of being seeded in the second/third pot.
Thoughts?