Iranian Monitor
21 May 2006, 06:52 AM
While there is a comfortable assumption among Western analysts, fed by Iranian behavior, that Iran probably does not have the bomb, the evidence on that score is inconclusive IMO.
I am not going to go over the full range of issues that suggest Iran might already have nukes, or at a minimum be very close to being able to make them if it so chose, except to say this much: Unlike the Iraqi situation, in Iran's case, the lies from the West this time around are focused on underestimating Iran's capablities. Not the reverse.
Otherwise, the West wouldn't be stretching all credulity by trying to undermine Iran's (IAEA verified) claims about uranium enrichment. Otherwise, the West would not be so silent when it came to clear indications that Iran had advanced programs on P2 and laser enrichment, despite only showing the IAEA enrichment facilities using P1 centrifuges. Nor would those in the intelligence community tasked to figure out these things, miss the fact that Iran was suddenly all too quick to fix reported "technical problems" with both its conversion and enrichment programs when it needed them fixed.;)
Besides indigineous nukes, there is also the issue about missing nukes from the ex Soviet states and whether some of them are in Iran?:D
http://www.hindustantimes.com/news/181_1702808,001301970000.htm
Iran may already have nuclear bomb: Expert
Iran may already possess a nuclear bomb but is "smart" enough to pretend to be on the way to achieving nuclear capability so that it could induce concessions from the international community, an Israeli nuclear expert has claimed.
The Iranians are not necessarily presenting the true facts to the world and may be showing the IAEA dummy presentations of an unfinished bomb, while hiding a fully developed bomb elsewhere, former head of the Nuclear Engineering Department at Ben-Gurion University, Professor Zeev Alfassi, told Ynet.
Tehran may be holding the true bomb in caves or in underground facilities, Alfassi told the news portal.
However, he ruled out any chances that the Islamic Republic will use its nuclear capability saying, "their thinking is fantastic."
I am not going to go over the full range of issues that suggest Iran might already have nukes, or at a minimum be very close to being able to make them if it so chose, except to say this much: Unlike the Iraqi situation, in Iran's case, the lies from the West this time around are focused on underestimating Iran's capablities. Not the reverse.
Otherwise, the West wouldn't be stretching all credulity by trying to undermine Iran's (IAEA verified) claims about uranium enrichment. Otherwise, the West would not be so silent when it came to clear indications that Iran had advanced programs on P2 and laser enrichment, despite only showing the IAEA enrichment facilities using P1 centrifuges. Nor would those in the intelligence community tasked to figure out these things, miss the fact that Iran was suddenly all too quick to fix reported "technical problems" with both its conversion and enrichment programs when it needed them fixed.;)
Besides indigineous nukes, there is also the issue about missing nukes from the ex Soviet states and whether some of them are in Iran?:D
http://www.hindustantimes.com/news/181_1702808,001301970000.htm
Iran may already have nuclear bomb: Expert
Iran may already possess a nuclear bomb but is "smart" enough to pretend to be on the way to achieving nuclear capability so that it could induce concessions from the international community, an Israeli nuclear expert has claimed.
The Iranians are not necessarily presenting the true facts to the world and may be showing the IAEA dummy presentations of an unfinished bomb, while hiding a fully developed bomb elsewhere, former head of the Nuclear Engineering Department at Ben-Gurion University, Professor Zeev Alfassi, told Ynet.
Tehran may be holding the true bomb in caves or in underground facilities, Alfassi told the news portal.
However, he ruled out any chances that the Islamic Republic will use its nuclear capability saying, "their thinking is fantastic."