Magic number stuff....

[Charge!]

According to the Charge website, "needed to win and hope for San Jose or Washington to lose or tie or for Atlanta to lose to secure a spot (tonight)."

So Wednesday, a San Diego win over Atlanta, or a Carolina win or tie vs. Washington will get us in?

Paul

[Poirot]

We will get in!

[Poirot]

If you look at the statistics, the Charge is currently FIRST in OFFENSE (31 goals) AND DEFENSE (16 GA)>>> the charge's Goal difference (GDIFF) is 16 ---- and the courage is 9... the charge is such a better team than them!

[Charge!]

According to today's Inquirer, a win OR a tie Wednesday and we're in the semifinals.

Paul

[Adam Zebrowski]

Yes a tie does it.

We have 35 points.

San Jose has 25 point with 4 matches left.

If we tie SJ, we get 36, SJ then has 26 with 3 matches left, and can max at 35.

We clinch

[Adam Zebrowski]

OK, let's look at the playoff hopefuls.

1) San Jose, gets to play Charge, then AT CAROLINA, AT CHARGE AT BOSTON and the most point they could get is 37. The sequence of the 1st 3 is really hard, and any team winning ALL 3 of those deserves the playoffs. And then the matter of 3 straight east coast matches. Always tough to win twice against the same team when you play close together

2) Atlanta at SD At Wash SD and Charge, again brutal travel, with Atlanta-Washington winner claiming a huge prize

3) Washington has one less match which gives them far less room for error, at Carolina, who's coming off 2 straight losses and then hosting Atlanta.Pick your poison...

4) Carolina will want to right their ship, and with hungry Washington and San Jose coming to town, it'll be a battle, and then it's on the road with NY and SD. SD is on A sunday, so CArolina knows what result they need and who they would match up against,

[Adam Zebrowski]

And, drum roll please:

My final 4:

1) Charge
2) Carolina
3)Atlanta
4) Washington


the road for San Jose is most difficult.

But they know they way, after all, they're the champs.

[Adam Zebrowski]

OK, this is how we make the play-offs on Wednesday.

1) Washington has 29 points, and if the lose to CArolina, have TWO matches left and can MAX out at 35. Since, the Charge have 35 and OWN the season series against them, I believe a 3 way tie where SAn Jose reaches 35 points is rthe ONLY way Charge don't clinch. DC is 2-1 against San Jose and 1-0-2 against the Charge. Charge would have to lose last 4 to be stuck of 35, which means SJ wins those 2 and have the season series 2-0-1 over us, and when you add these 3 togehter, the Charge lose out.

2) if Carolina or Atlanta enter the mix, then Charge have the season series over them and win the tiebreakers.

3) Atlanta losing to San Diego means they could still reach 36 points, however, since DC and Atlanta play each other, given SAN DIEGO beating ATLANTA, BOTH Washington and Atlanta CANNOT get past 35 points., and the Charge claim a playoff spot.

4) beat or draw San Jose and all the above is irrelevant.

[Adam Zebrowski]

3 points gets a playoff spot and 5 points also gets a HOME playoff

San Jose can max out at 37
Atlanta at 40 points
Washington at 38 points

Charge are at 35 and 38 beats BOTH SJ and DC

Getting to 40 guarantees HOME FIELD, since we'd own the tie breaker against them

[Adam Zebrowski]

OK, entering this weekend:

1) A San Jose loss puts the Charge in the playoffs

2) A Charge win put the Charge in the playoffs

3) A Charge draw and a San Jose draw puts the Charge in the playoffs

4) A Charge win and a Washington win or draw gives the Charge a HOME match.

I think that covers it all.

[judymd]

Originally posted by Adam Zebrowski
OK, entering this weekend:

1) A San Jose loss puts the Charge in the playoffs

2) A Charge win put the Charge in the playoffs

3) A Charge draw and a San Jose draw puts the Charge in the playoffs

4) A Charge win and a Washington win or draw gives the Charge a HOME match.

I think that covers it all.

well, we've got #2 covered; now lets everybody hope for the freedom to keep their run going and take care of the midgy beasts tomorrow!

of course, if the boneless fish keep up their excellent road record, it shouldn't matter what happens in washington. we can clinch a home with one more win. but it would be really nice to have it clinched for us this weekend. then we could all rest easy. right, paul? :)