Off-topic NFL Thread

[Justin O]

Eric or anyone - thoughts? I like Indy money line with a medium stake. Will post outrights later.

ATL Falcons
+6.5 : 1.90
Money Line : 3.40
Green Bay
- 6.5 : 1.90
Money Line : 1.33

O/U 40.0 : 1.90


CLE Browns
+7.5 1.90
Money Line : 4.00
PIT Steelers
-7.5 1.90
Money Line 1.26

O/U 42.5 1.90


IND Colts
+6.0 1.90
Money Line 3.30
NY Jets
-6.0 1.90
Money Line 1.35
O/U 41.5 1.90


NY Giants
+3.5 1.80
Money line 2.35
SF 49ers
-3.5 2.05
Money Line 1.64
O/U 40.0 1.90

[Justin O]

Outrights

Philadelphia Eagles 3.40
Oakland Raiders 3.50
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6.00
Tennessee Titans 7.00
Green Bay Packers 7.50
Pittsburgh Steelers 13.00
New York Jets 13.00
San Francisco 49'ers 19.00
New York Giants 26.00
Indianapolis Colts 34.00
Atlanta Falcons 41.00
Cleveland Browns 51.00

Tough call here. This year's pretty much up for grabs I think, so I might stay away. I don't see value in the top 2. Maybe Tampa Bay? Indy and SF are long shots that are perhaps worth a shot.

[eric_appleby]

Hmm, I was thinking Jets over Indy. They've made believers out of me the last few weeks. At least to win their first playoff game.

For the Big Enchilada?
Tennesee.
Very physical team. Beat the crap out of my Pats.

Any of these teams could win this. The Pats proved that last year. It's been a tough year betting on the NFL. You never what what the hell is going to happen. Who would have thought Miami wouldn't even make the postseason?

[Justin O]

Already took Indy, but with cold windy weather that might have been a mistake. We'll see. I haven't bet much NFL this year but I am ahead on the games I've bet.

[Justin O]

Nailed that Indianapolis pick didn't I?

[eric_appleby]

Well, the Jets worked for me yesterday.
Too bad I parlayed them with the Packers.

You can usually tell who's going to win these games in the first 5-10 minutes.

I don't have any opinion on today's games, so I'm taking a pass.

[Justin O]

bet365 spreads:

PIT Steelers
+3.5 1.95
Tennesee
-3.5 1.86

ATL Falcons
+7.5 1.90
Philadelphia
-7.5 1.90

SF 49ers
+5.0 1.90
TB Buccaneers
-5.0 1.90

NY Jets
+5.5 1.90
OAK Raiders
-5.5 1.90

money lines (gamebookers):

PIT Steelers 2.58
TEN Titans 1.52

ATL Falcons 3.53
PHI Eagles 1.31

SF 49ers 2.80
TB Buccaneers 1.45

NY Jets 2.92
OAK Raiders 1.42

Over/Under (gamebookers, all 1.90):
PIT-TEN 44
ATL - PHI 38.5
SF - TB 39.5
NYJ - OAK 47.5

To win Super Bowl (gamebookers):
Eagles 3.50
Oakland Raiders 3.50
Buccaneers 4.50
Tennessee Titans 8.50
New York Jets 8.50
Steelers 12.00
49ers 12.00
Atlanta Falcons 20.00

To win AFC (gamebookers):
Oakland Raiders 1.80
Tennessee Titans 3.50
Steelers 5.00
New York Jets 6.50

To win NFC (gamebookers):
Eagles 2.00
Buccaneers 2.50
49ers 5.50
Atlanta Falcons 10.00

[eric_appleby]

You heard it here first.

Tenn

Philly

Bucs

Jets


With the spreads of course. I avoid the o/u.
I don't think I've ever won an o/u bet.

[eric_appleby]

Well, 50% correct equals zero profit.
This is starting to become a theme to my gaming.

Titans didn't cover, but it was good to see Pittsburg go down. I can't stand Cowher.

On the Jets game, Pennington turned into a pumpkin.

[dawgpound2]

Originally posted by eric_appleby
Well, 50% correct equals zero profit.
This is starting to become a theme to my gaming.

Titans didn't cover, but it was good to see Pittsburg go down. I can't stand Cowher.

On the Jets game, Pennington turned into a pumpkin.

Actually, somewhere around 52.5% correct equals zero profit.

[eric_appleby]

Anyone got any bright ideas for tomorrow?

Philly and Oakland seem obvious. Maybe too obvious.

[Justin O]

I did decent with my regular season NFL picks, but I've been utterly clueless here in the post season. I think Tampa Bay is capable of an upset. McNabb may still not be in dominating form yet. I really really hope the Titans pull it out but I'm not at all confident that that's possible.

I probably won't put anything real on this, but I'm going to say Raiders (-7.5) and Tampa Bay money line (2.65). Good Luck.

My investment focus is on tennis now, where Ranier Shuttler is past Safin and through to the 4th round of the Aussie Open! I took him at 80-1 to win it outright so go Shuttler!

[eric_appleby]

O/U is 33.5 on Philly-TB.

The under looks interesting, it's likely to be a cold weather , defensive game. But, I invariably lose O/U bets, so I'll take a pass.

The two defenses should cancel each other out.
McNabb is the difference. He should be enough to win the game and cover.


I'd love to see the Raiders lose, but i've got to be unemotional here. I can't see Tennessee winning in Oakland. However, the 8 point spread gives me pause. Maybe, I'll take Oakland money line and parlay it with Philly -4.

[Justin O]

I think I like Tampa Bay here, and I'll take them at the money line. But Super bowl-Shmuper Bowl my 80-1 shot Shuttler is through to the semis in Australia! And my 20-1 shot Henin is also through to the semis in the women's bracket! Took both to get to the finals at 1/3 odds as well so as long as one gets that far I'll at least finish ahead!

[eric_appleby]

I'll take Tampa too.
Oakland is too wrapped up in beating Gruden.

Anyway, I'd hate to see the Raiders win.

[Justin O]

For the record, Tampa Bay win 27-21.

[eric_appleby]

Either way, I'll be glad to see the end of this NFL season. My account took a huge nosedive.

[Justin O]

Well, if you discount the defensive touchdowns for TB I got the score right!
;)

[eric_appleby]

Good to end on an uptick.

Now bring on MLS!