The return of the Oscar Prediction Thread

[obie]

OK, let's try this again. Here are my predictions for Best Picture nominations as of 12/18/02:

Gangs of New York - Best Picture from AFI, #3 from Nat'l Board of Review; likely to have massive box office opening; Daniel Day-Lewis getting major buzz for acting awards

The Hours - Best Picture from NBoR; lots of acting awards for Julianne Moore

Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers - #2 film from AFI; minimum of $200-300 million box office; reviews say it's better than the original

Far From Heaven - BP from NY Film Critics Circle; runner-up from NY Film Critics Online and LA Film Critics

Chicago - Best Picture from NY Film Critics Online, #2 film from NBoR; fulfills Academy's need to offer a BP nod to something off-center every year, thus allowing them to not nominate the dopey My Big Fat Greek Wedding.

Left off: About Schmidt (Nicholson gets best actor nom & award), Adaptation (Kauffman gets nom for screenplay), Talk To Her, Y Tu Mama Tambien (both get best foreign film noms), The Pianist, 8 Mile, Road To Perdition, Catch Me If You Can.

[BillQ]

Replace Gangs of New York and put About Schmidt instead and I agree with you. My feeling is The Two Towers will win Best Picture.

[skipshady]

I think Julianne Moore in Far From Heaven will edge out Julianne Moore in The Hours. Lot of media folks think the Oscar is hers to lose.

[peledre]

Originally posted by BillQ
Replace Gangs of New York and put About Schmidt instead and I agree with you. My feeling is The Two Towers will win Best Picture.
Correction, The Two Towers will run away with the Best Picture award, not to mention a bevy of other awards. It's a visually stunning, emotionally compelling movie.

[obie]

Golden Globe nominations announced:

Best Musical / Comedy: About A Boy, Adaptation, Chicago, My BFGW, Nicholas Nickleby

Best Drama: About Schmidt, Gangs of New York, The Hours, LOTR: The Two Towers, The Pianist

Chicago led all nominees with eight, The Hours with seven, Adaptation with six.

The only big surprises are that About Schmidt was considered a drama instead of a comedy, and Far From Heaven wasn't nominated in the BP category.

As far as the best actress award, Moore seems to be a lock for either of her two movies, but don't count out Diane Lane in Unfaithful, which I have not seen but is supposed to be a knockout.

Considering LOTR's trilogy, would the Academy give a Best Picture award to a film that has neither a beginning nor an ending?