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Knave
03 May 2005, 10:49 PM
Week 5 saw some exciting events including what might possibly be the greatest “goal” call since Andres Cantor hooked up with Sofia Vergara and blew out a lung. So in honor of Ray Hudson’s ability to turn, nay swirley a phrase, this weeks All American XI will be called the Absolutely 24 karat, put it on a silver plate, tie a yellow ribbon ‘round it…ah my grandmother in her rocking chair could ‘a put this one away edition.

The ‘Absolutely 24 Karat’ Award this week goes to Amano Guevara for scoring the hat trick (mms://a1503.v115042.c11504.g.vm.akamaistream.net/7/1503/11504/v0001/mlbmls.download.akamai.com/11504/2005/open/topplays/archive04/043005_metcor_guevara_3goals_384.wmv) to get the Metrostars their first win of the season. While some think there is more to a good game than just goals, you’ve got to tip your hat (or throw it at his feet) to the Metro captain for getting his team back on track, maybe.

The ‘Put it on a Silver Plate’ Award is actually a tie. The services from Brian Mullan (mms://a1503.v115042.c11504.g.vm.akamaistream.net/7/1503/11504/v0001/mlbmls.download.akamai.com/11504/2005/open/topplays/archive04/043005_sjersl_moreno_goal_384.wmv) and Marshall Leonard (mms://a1503.v115042.c11504.g.vm.akamaistream.net/7/1503/11504/v0001/mlbmls.download.akamai.com/11504/2005/open/topplays/archive04/043005_cdcner_dempsey_goal_384.wmv) were perfect; and the goals resulting from them proved to be extremely important for both their teams. Check out the services and the goals on the MLS Sights and Sounds page and see for yourselves what truly great assists look like.

The ‘Tie a Yellow Ribbon ‘Round It’ Award goes to Justin Mapp for bringing his game home after a hiatus lasting since the end of last season. Mapp has proven himself to be a very promising youngster, but he has moments when everyone questions just how far he could go, including himself. This weekend saw him return to the “promising and talented” side of the argument with a very solid performance topped off with a great run and subsequent goal (mms://a1503.v115042.c11504.g.vm.akamaistream.net/7/1503/11504/v0001/mlbmls.download.akamai.com/11504/2005/open/partner/043005_smgotw_mapp_384.wmv). Fire fans hope he stays on that side for a long, long time.

And finally the ‘My Grandmother in her Rocking Chair Could ‘a Put This One Away’ Award goes to a build up that took almost as much imagination to put together as it must have taken to conjure up the above phrase. The build up leading to Jeff Cunningham’s goal in the dying minutes vs. the Metrostars was far more impressive than the actual finish. We hate to send you back to the MLS S&S page again, but it is definitely worth a look (mms://a1503.v115042.c11504.g.vm.akamaistream.net/7/1503/11504/v0001/mlbmls.download.akamai.com/11504/2005/open/topplays/archive04/043005_metcor_cunningham_goal_384.wmv).

This Week’s AAXI :: 3-5-2

”El Guzano” (1)
You know that little worm at the bottom of the mezcal bottle? That’s right, the one you ate that night back in college because you thought it'd impress that blonde girl, only to realize the next day that you must have been really drunk to think any woman would be impressed by you eating an alcohol soaked worm. It's called a gusano. So it's one letter off. No matter. Brad Guzan will forever be known as The Worm, El Guzano. This week El Guzano makes his first appearance on the AAXI. Something clicked for this young man last week during the second half of the LA Derby. Since then his play has been superb. He deserved a clean sheet against the Revolution after again and again holding his ground and robbing his opponents of goal after goal. It was only in the closing minutes of the match that New England finally mustered the strength to beat El Guzano.


Michael Parkhurst (1)
They grow them right down there at Wake Forest. Last week it was Riley, and this week it's Parkhurst's turn in the list. The distinguishing characteristic of a good defender is his ability to read, anticipate, and react to the game faster than the players around him. As a rookie, Parkhurst is already ahead of his defensive teammates in this aspect of his game. He also has enough athleticism and skill to apply his smarts effectively. The Revs may finally have found themselves a defender.


Ugo Ihemelu (1)
Admit it. When Steve Sampson picked this guy you said “here it is, the 3-6-1 circus has come to town!” It’s a long way from that to the AAXI, but this week the Galaxy rookie from made the cut with his fine performance against Dallas. The dual citizen of Nigeria and the USA (Bruce, cap him now!) held down the center of defense with the help of the experienced Marshall, and sent one of the most potent offensive lines in MLS home without a goal. The performance also left many of us with the uncomfortable thought that maybe Steve Sampson actually knows what he’s doing.


Tim Regan (1)
We at the AAXI are suckers for rookies who get thrown to the wolves and still manage to play a first rate game. Okay, so the Colorado Rapids aren’t exactly wolves, more like Scottish Terriers or some other similar but equally annoying breed. Nonetheless, Regan won this week’s "playing over his head" award by stepping into a decimated, inexperienced group of Metros defenders (who almost certainly had never played as a unit before, perhaps not even in practice), and helping to hold the Rapids to a single last minute goal. With his steady and composed play Regan distinguished himself as the best of the group. He even made the highlight reel with a truly wacky goal-line clearance.


Clint Dempsey (2)
Is this guy gonna be listed here every week? In the midweek he had a typical Dempsey game: tracking back on defense, finding his teammates to give them the ball, pressuring Chicago players, making surging runs right up the field (both with and without the ball), scoring goals, and setting up his teammates for goals. Then in the weekend match, with a signature Clint Dempsey diving header, he stole the game from the otherwise indomitable Guzan. It all comes down to this: unless you’re a Revs fan, Dempsey can kill your dreams in so many different ways.


Justin Mapp (1)
Long considered one to watch, last week the Fire midfielder put in two performances that suggest he’s finally made the transition to one to watch right now. Mapp figured dangerously against the Revs, and should have had at least one, perhaps even two assists. That effort was, unfortunately, unsupported by the rest of his Fire teammates. But on Saturday he lifted his team to a victory against Columbus with his pinpoint passing and electric runs. His finest moment of the night was firing off the game winning shot at the end of an amazing slalom run to beat half a dozen Crew defenders. And he should have had a second one, but it just nicked off the post. Once again, the Mapp has shown the way. (Yeah, bad pun. Won’t happen again. Sorry.)


Cobi Jones (2)
The ageless midfielder. I’m telling you now, he’s the New Preki. A dreadlocked Preki. That’s what he is. He’s even got those cut-back shenanigans going on every once in a while. Perhaps it’s that Landon Donovan voodoo, but Cobi’s been playing his best soccer in years the last few weeks. Against Dallas he set up Landon’s game winning goal and he should have had a few more assists if not for poor finishing by his teammates. Rumor out of Carson is that the Dallas left back showed up at a local hospital for burn treatment after being torched so often by Old Man Cobi.


Brian Mullan (1)
In the 80th minute of the match Brian Mullan went racing down the right side of the field, and with three Salt Lake defenders in front of him, slotted a perfect cross to Alejandro Moreno for the game tying goal. No other wide midfielder in MLS scares defenders like Brian Mullan. As the Real Salt Lake defenders learned the hard way, Mullan breaks down his mark over the course of a game to the point where all a defender can do is give Mullan space and hope (often in vain) that he isn't made to look like an ass.


Eddie Gaven (1)
Guevara can keep his hat trick. Gaven's early passing won the game for the MetroStars. A perfect through ball to Magee led to the penalty and Guevara's first goal. A dangerous low cross made it through to Guevara to set up his second. Gaven missed his own golden chance for bit of glory when his low curling shot hit the near post. The Metros were a completely different team with the young player feeding passes through the midfield. He reads space well and for some reason always knows where his opponent’s defense is vulnerable. As it is right now, he's still rusty and not quite match fit. Just imagine what he might do to your team's defense when he's firing on all cylinders.


Landon Donovan (2)
Early in the match Donovan set the tone for the Galaxy by creating several dangerous chances before neatly putting one away before the tenth minute ticked off the clock. He could have had a second goal if not for a chintzy foul that ultimately had no bearing on the play, and probably could have had an assist or two from his excellent free kicks. With his speed and composure he's simply a little too much for most defenders in this league. Just ask Clarence Goodson.


Jason Kreis (1)
Look up wily old veteran in the dictionary. There he is. The MLS all-time leading scorer did exactly what he had to do, and that made all the difference. Without Jason Kreis on the field Real Salt Lake would have lost its game. He is precisely the kind of player that an expansion team needs, and without his example and leadership Real would be half the team it currently is. There will be complaints that his penalty kick goal was nearly saved, and that the other bounced around like a pinball before finding net, but Kreis has shown over his MLS career that such goals aren't accidents when he's the one shooting.

Plus One

Referee Ben Jones (1)
Anytime you praise a referee you’re probably going to confront some dissenting opinion. That’s just the way it goes with referees. So it wasn’t unexpected when one of the AAXI contributors called the Real – Earthquakes match one of the worst refereed games he’d ever seen. The dissenter even voiced the opinion that Ben Jones shouldn’t referee another MLS game ever. Nonetheless, the consensus opinion was that Ben Jones handled his first ever center assignment in MLS with great aplomb. The game was full of wonderful one-touch, flowing football with attacks and counterattacks coming fast and furious. Jones let the players play, and refrained from calling niggling, inconsequential fouls. He was consistent and spot on with his penalty call. When Mathis and Clark tried to get in his face and intimidate him late in the game, he stood his ground and kept control. MLS refereeing has got a bad name and it's not surprising with the performances we've seen from some of the guys in the center so far this season. But if Jones is representative of a new batch of young referees working their way into the mix, then perhaps the future of MLS refereeing is looking up. But just maybe that dissenting AAXI contributor has one thing right. Perhaps Jones shouldn’t referee another MLS game. It’s a rare day that people heap praise on a referee, and after the high praise Jones received this week you’ve gotta wonder if he’s not better off quitting while he’s ahead.

__________________
The AAXI Week 4 contributors are andrewt14, Casper, Chicago1871, fidlerre, jasoncox, Knave, Nutmeg, ur_land, voros, wjarrettc, and zcgf02.
Header by Chicago1871
List compiled and edited by Knave (with input from all the AAXI contributors).

Chicago1871
03 May 2005, 11:32 PM
Let me be the first to praise Knave on an excellent AAXI this week, and again thank all the contributors that were mentioned above, because without them there would be no AAXI.

Arisrules
03 May 2005, 11:50 PM
Your wording on Regan is a little odd, but he isn't a rookie, this is his third season.

Also no Guevara in the midfield!?!?! I think that's a little ridiculous, even if you put Gaven in there.


Also, that call by Hudson, shows why he should be in the ESPN booth instead of Stoner or Wynalda. Actually wouldn't a Stone/Wynalda booth be fun to listen to?

Knave
03 May 2005, 11:54 PM
Your wording on Regan is a little odd, but he isn't a rookie, this is his third season.
Well, mistakes happens.
Also no Guevara in the midfield!?!?! I think that's a little ridiculous, even if you put Gaven in there.
What's his citizenship?

We're all capable of brain farts. ;)

minorthreat
04 May 2005, 12:02 AM
I love the AAXI, but I have a small suggestion. There are too many teams - three, to be exact - that you're using the "red + dark color" combination to describe right now, and it can get a bit confusing. You might want to consider denoting RSL players in all purple.

Geneva
04 May 2005, 12:10 AM
Great job, guys!

Not to say he should have won an "All-American" award this week, but I think Todd Dunivant is really stepping up to the plate. His service from the back to the front line is great, and he is really confident on the ball and going forward. He did more than his share of stopping the Johnson/Ruiz/O'Brien trio. I hadn't seen him much before this year, and he's making a huge difference to the Galaxy back line.

And congrats to El Guzano - loved the fun fact about the worm. I can't believe his turn-around this week.

irishapple21
04 May 2005, 12:22 AM
I love the AAXI, but I have a small suggestion. There are too many teams - three, to be exact - that you're using the "red + dark color" combination to describe right now, and it can get a bit confusing. You might want to consider denoting RSL players in all purple.

You are right. Only MetroStars, the original MLS red and black should be described that way. RED AND BLACK FOREVER!

jaradvary
04 May 2005, 05:47 AM
Outstanding work. I'd tax my brain too much if I tried to find the lofty superlatives needed to give you fair compliments. Suffice it to say that it seems like the 2005 incarnation of AAXI is just as good as the (exceptional) original. Otherwise, I'll confine myself to a small criticism. I think that perhaps, if there is a charge that can be consistently leveled against the AAXI, this year and last, it is that the collective nomination process seems to confirm collective biases, rather than eradicate them, in the case of a couple of preferred players. Last year, I think Nutmeg and voros (those are the two I remember, and that is mostly a comment on the general quality of those posters) carried admiration of Eddie Gaven to an extreme. The result was that he recieved more than a few questionable nominations, even after poor games that weren't up to his high standard. It is tempting to establish evidence for a player's overall ability by praising even his marginal games but, unfortunately, excessive and undiscerning plaudits can dilute the force of deserved praise for the player's genuine triumphs. That two of the most respected posters on BS, Nutmeg and voros, (who regularly are a part of the same discussions and are exposed to the same ideas) should come to the same misguided conclusions about a player's effort in a single game is not suprising—but it is perhaps unfortunate.

The criticism that I am leveling is relevent to today's AAXI because of the case of Brian Mullan. While no one would dispute Mullan's overall quality, he did not have the best game on saturday (besides the sweet assist). The comment that he broke down his mark over the course of the game by repeadetly beating them on the dribble is just wrong; in fact he did take on his defenders several times, but he was only successful once, early in the game (it was very pretty though), and every other time he lost the ball. Mullan was definitively overshadowed by his midfield partner Davis. It seems a small injustice to me that Davis, who had an equally nice assist and added two excellent tackles, a few nice dribbling runs, and consistently excellent passing, was passed over in preference to Mullan. This seems like a bias towards the familiar; Mullan was highly touted a few times last season in the AAXI. His overall quality makes it easy, but still inaccurate, to praise him highly for his performance against RSL. Davis, on the other hand, is too much of an unknown quantity; voters haven't warmed up to him yet. But as the advance guard for identifying MLS's best american talents (that is at least partially what AAXI is, after all), it seems like it is your job to "warm up" to a deserving player before mostly anyone else on Bigsoccer.

Anyways, this minor criticism shouldn't overshadow the fact that the "general quality"...
:D
of the AAXI column is one of the best reasons to visit Big Soccer during the MLS season. Please keep up the good work.

Casper
04 May 2005, 08:45 AM
The critics are extremely perceptive this week -- hoping to satisfy your curiousity.

Dunivant was probably the "12th man" this week who got cut to make it 11.

The Davis or Mullan debate was held on the AAXI thread as well. Mullan did have the game-winning assist...

And it wasn't just Nutmeg and voros nominating Eddie Gaven a lot last year. It was all of us.

Good counterpoints, guys. But I don't think you need to psychoanalyze us too much. None of us WANT to put the same guys on the list week after week.

Casper
04 May 2005, 08:46 AM
Um, oops. Mullan had the game-tying assist. Dumbass (me).

Sachsen
04 May 2005, 09:38 AM
Absolutely outstanding work, guys. Since I rarely have time to catch more than one game a week (ESPN2's Saturday game) I depend on this thread to tell me who's looking good across the league -- and it's also great to hear about some of the up-and-coming rookies.

zcgf02
04 May 2005, 10:08 AM
The critics are extremely perceptive this week -- hoping to satisfy your curiousity.

Dunivant was probably the "12th man" this week who got cut to make it 11.

The Davis or Mullan debate was held on the AAXI thread as well. Mullan did have the game-winning assist...

I'll confirm what Casper said: Dunivant and Davis were right on the cusp. Unfortunately, it's the AAXI, not the AAXIII so those guys wound up on the bench.

BTW, great header, Chicago.

DMunited
04 May 2005, 01:01 PM
Well done all. I'm primarily a lurker but I wanted to say thanks for your effort because I look forward to reading this every week.

Knave
04 May 2005, 03:10 PM
And congrats to El Guzano - loved the fun fact about the worm. I can't believe his turn-around this week.
Interesting thing about El Guzano is that he almost got the nod LAST week too for his game against the Galaxy. The goals weren't his fault and he came up huge in the second half. He's certainly one of the more compelling stories in this year's MLS. I really have to wonder if Zuniga won't find himself on the bench even after he's healthy.

Since when is Brad Davis an unknown quantity?

Dunivant was the last person nudged out of the AAXI.

The colors aren't totally standardized. Real Salt Lake is a good option that I didn't think of because I was going by the dominant home uniform colors when I formatted the list.

As for the bias issue, I'm not sure how you can complain about persistent bias when we've only put out two list thus far this season. There have only been three repeats, and two of those repeats are - I don't think there's much argument about this - the two best players in the league right now. And Cobi's been playing well. There are probably two or three players who will make this list frequently, but that's not because we have a collective bias. It's simply because they're the best players currently in MLS. (That's actually sort of lousy for the guy tasked with editing the list because it's gonna be pretty hard to come up with interesting things to say about those couple of guys after a while.)

More generally though, if there's any bias in the compilation of the list it's probably towards overlooked or up and coming players. I suspect there will be weeks when solid but routine veteran performances are unintentionally overlooked in favor of impressive outings for those who usually toil on the bench and in the reserves. That's not such a bad thing though.

BigKris
04 May 2005, 03:47 PM
Great job as always, gang. Consistently the best weekly analysis of MLS (and an entertaining read to boot).

jaradvary
04 May 2005, 05:19 PM
Interesting thing about El Guzano is that he almost got the nod LAST week too for his game against the Galaxy. The goals weren't his fault and he came up huge in the second half. He's certainly one of the more compelling stories in this year's MLS. I really have to wonder if Zuniga won't find himself on the bench even after he's healthy.

Since when is Brad Davis an unknown quantity?

Dunivant was the last person nudged out of the AAXI.

The colors aren't totally standardized. Real Salt Lake is a good option that I didn't think of because I was going by the dominant home uniform colors when I formatted the list.

As for the bias issue, I'm not sure how you can complain about persistent bias when we've only put out two list thus far this season. There have only been three repeats, and two of those repeats are - I don't think there's much argument about this - the two best players in the league right now. And Cobi's been playing well. There are probably two or three players who will make this list frequently, but that's not because we have a collective bias. It's simply because they're the best players currently in MLS. (That's actually sort of lousy for the guy tasked with editing the list because it's gonna be pretty hard to come up with interesting things to say about those couple of guys after a while.)

More generally though, if there's any bias in the compilation of the list it's probably towards overlooked or up and coming players. I suspect there will be weeks when solid but routine veteran performances are unintentionally overlooked in favor of impressive outings for those who usually toil on the bench and in the reserves. That's not such a bad thing though.

I appreciate very much that you took the time to reply to my post. I think that what I didn't stress enough is the evident continuity between this year's AAXI and last year's incarnation. Simply put, many of the nominators this year are grizzled vets now after participating in the first year of AAXI. And last year, Gaven got a lot of praise from the AAXI—some of it perhaps undeserved. Thus, when I saw Eddie Gaven on the last this week, I wasn't at all suprised (not to pick on Gaven, he made some very nice passes, but I don't think he had the complete game that Davis did. To be sure, the one player I'd drop from the midfield in order to open a spot for Davis is Mullan, not Gaven).

When I say that Davis is an "unknown quantity" I am referring to the AAXI's collective memory. Mullan has showed up on previous AAXI lists. Davis has not; he isn't one of the established AAXI regulars. And if there is one thing that seems to mar the AAXI, it is a consistant preference for "established AAXI regulars". Here voros puts it better than I possibly could:

Confirmation bias was a continual problem. I tried my best to overcome this by trying to nominate guys like Kenny Arena and Jack Jewsbury when they did play well. But nevertheless, I and the other selectors, like anyone else, are more likely to see during a game what we're expecting to see (and conversely miss what we were not expecting to). Once Gaven, Marshall and Dempsey showed what they were capable of, the nominations became nearly a weekly occurrence. In each case, they probably all got at least one more nomination than they deserved.

I think also that younger players did a little better than maybe they should simply because they generate excitement for the future National Team.

Finally there is a bit of a difference between playing well in a match and displaying talent in a match. Eddie Gaven, for example, had a lot of games where he displayed enormous amounts of talent, but maybe did not have nearly as much of an impact on that particular game. I think maybe that was also a source of bias. The point being that even when Jay Heaps manages to play well, it's evident that he lacks talent, and even when Clint Dempsey has an off-game, it's evident he's loaded with talent.

This was from a thread in Stats and Analysis that examined AAXI as a source for systematic analysis of american players and their teams.
http://www.bigsoccer.com/forum/showthread.php?t=155274

In any case, my point is not to casitigate AAXI for doing, in general, a fantastic job. Rather, I hope the question of bias emerges into the collective consciousness. Spending a few minutes thinking about the issues discussed in this thread might result in a superior AAXI next week.

Casper
04 May 2005, 06:01 PM
Rather, I hope the question of bias emerges into the collective consciousness. Spending a few minutes thinking about the issues discussed in this thread might result in a superior AAXI next week.

Point taken. However, I'd assert that though it may be ridiculous for someone to nominate Gaven over and over based on their bias, it's equally ridiculous to call out someone else for bias based on one (1) data point year-to-date. As an individual, your propensity to bias is higher than a group of 8-12 or so, anyway...

Chicago1871
04 May 2005, 06:24 PM
This was from a thread in Stats and Analysis that examined AAXI as a source for systematic analysis of american players and their teams.
http://www.bigsoccer.com/forum/showthread.php?t=155274

That's pretty cool. I had no idea that thread existed and I'm definetly going to take some time to read through it.

ur_land
04 May 2005, 07:09 PM
Thus, when I saw Eddie Gaven on the last this week, I wasn't at all suprised (not to pick on Gaven, he made some very nice passes, but I don't think he had the complete game that Davis did. To be sure, the one player I'd drop from the midfield in order to open a spot for Davis is Mullan, not Gaven).

As one who not only nominated both Davis and Gaven (and not Mullan) and is a AAXI rookie this yea, I think you're off base with yes. Yes, there is a risk of a confirmation bias with any high-profile American player, but Gaven's nomination was completely warranted this week. His passing fueled the Metros attack as well as set up two of their goals and his attacking runs down the right and middle of the field contributed greatly to the most disorganized game I have ever seen the Rapids defense paly at home.

When I say that Davis is an "unknown quantity" I am referring to the AAXI's collective memory. Mullan has showed up on previous AAXI lists. Davis has not; he isn't one of the established AAXI regulars.

While Davis is by no means a regular, he did make one list last season. And there was a debate about who to include in the mf, and the Mullan backers narrowly won.


And if there is one thing that seems to mar the AAXI, it is a consistant preference for "established AAXI regulars".

Like Micheal Parkhurst, James Riley, and Tim Regan? ;) Last year, yes, this was likely a problem as one-time-only nominations consisted of just 6.5% of all nominations. However, I think this is an issue that the nominators are aware of, and the fact that there have only been three repeats so far indicates that "the usual suspects" are not locks for consideration. Heck, we haven't given EJ a nod yet, and he was one of the two most popular AAXI players last year, and ha hasn't gotten a nod yet.


In any case, my point is not to casitigate AAXI for doing, in general, a fantastic job. Rather, I hope the question of bias emerges into the collective consciousness. Spending a few minutes thinking about the issues discussed in this thread might result in a superior AAXI next week.

It is always good to have a watchdog. But while consideration and awarness of biases are important, I think that having more evidence of the inferiority of the AAXI so far would make your case better. There are (hopefully) always going to be more than 11 American players who have great games in a week, and some deserving player is likely to get left off. But that doesn't mean the list is inferior (unless you just mean "inferior to me").

ur_land
04 May 2005, 07:29 PM
I apologize for the spelling errors in the last post. And San Dimas High School Football Rules!