The Edwards Fiasco Part 73 or "I really F'ed up not picking Gephardt"

[BenReilly]

Bush way ahead in Missouri


The results show that of 686 likely voters in that state, George W. Bush leads with 55% of the vote to John Kerry's 41% of the vote. In a poll conducted in July prior to the political conventions, Bush and Kerry were tied at 48%.


http://www.infozine.com/news/stories/op/storiesView/sid/3369/




Sen. John F. Kerry and the Democratic Party are limiting television advertising to 14 states as the fall campaign opens, curbing their ambitions for a broader playing field against President Bush. The shift reduces Missouri, Colorado, Arizona and four Southern states to second-tier status.

http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/la-na-strategy9sep09,1,1119111.story?coll=la-headlines-nation

[superdave]

I'm gonna assume your serious. Um, how was picking Edwards such a problem if Kerry was tied earlier?

[BenReilly]

I'm gonna assume your serious. Um, how was picking Edwards such a problem if Kerry was tied earlier?

He was tied when Edwards was picked, and it's been downhill since. Seriously, Gephardt would have given Kerry a fighting chance in MO while Edwards, as predicted, has accomplished nothing. At least be honest, make me happy, and admit that Edwards hasn't done anything for the ticket.

[Ian McCracken]

At least be honest, make me happy, and admit that Edwards hasn't done anything for the ticket.

Careful. Superdave might repeat his prediction that Kerry will win NC.

[bright]

Careful. Superdave might repeat his prediction that Kerry will win NC.

[Cold War logic]If North Carolina goes to Kerry, the rest of the South will succumb to "Kerry-ization" via the domino effect. Therefore all Bush supporters must be vigilant and spend copious amounts of money to prevent this heinous possibility from ever occuring. Dirty tricks and coercion are more than acceptable.[/Cold War logic]

- Paul

[superdave]

Bush only up 4 in NC, and Kerry hasn't been doing any TV buys here, that I'm aware of. I've seen stuff on CNN and so forth, but nothing that seems targeted to here.

http://www.surveyusa.com/2004_Elections/NC040909presgovsen.pdf

A good GOTV effort, and some TV buys, and I still think Kerry will take NC. This survey was done in a down cycle (but not the down-est) for Kerry. I don't know whether or not it's safe to assume that if Kerry gets back to a more natural even position, that will also boost him here by 3-5 points.