Week 3 Attendance Predictions (and week 2 results)

Discussion in 'MLS: News & Analysis' started by scaryice, Apr 10, 2005.

  1. scaryice

    scaryice Member

    Jan 25, 2001
    This week's winner? dakotajoe, who was 1,500 above anyone else. And they say being negative never gets you anywhere. Two people made the top ten in each of the first two weeks: Wallydrag and Zico3KBattery.

    Week 2 Top Ten

    5,949-dakotajoe
    7,449-Saltenya94
    7,487-Zico3KBattery
    7,553-suppity
    7,591-christhestud
    7,853-Onionsack
    8,053-Calexio77
    8,053-PhantomTollbooth
    8,449-Wallydrag
    8,553-Fanaddict

    Everyone Else

    11,053-The Big Ticket
    11,572-Centennial
    11,591-PSsoccer123
    11,591-Czar Pazzo
    12,487-okcomputer
    12,891-barkerjb
    12,949-swedcrip34
    13,553-Khansingh
    13,591-Beerking
    13,912-Detective40oz
    14,164-Wizardman03
    14,553-Gemmell
    14,591-scaryice
    15,831-yellowbismark
    17,949-Bayern1986
    18,449-Jose L. Couso
    18,449-myshap
    18,942-Vascao
    19,449-kjo199
    19,545-eejit
    76,542-Nick
    76,546-Stinky


    Wins

    1-dakotajoe
    1-soccercptn

    Top Ten Appearances

    2-Wallydrag
    2-Zico3KBattery
    1-barkerjb
    1-Beerking
    1-Calexio77
    1-christhestud
    1-CityIceMan
    1-dakotajoe
    1-Fanaddict
    1-okcomputer
    1-Onionsack
    1-PhantomTollbooth
    1-Saltenya94
    1-Sempuukyaku
    1-soccercptn
    1-Suppity
    1-swedcrip34
    1-yellowbismark


    Week 3 Games: (home team first)

    CLB-DC
    RSL-COL
    MET-KC
    CHI-SJ
    CHV-DAL

    Columbus game is on Friday, RSL game is the early ESPN2 game
     
  2. swedcrip34

    swedcrip34 New Member

    Mar 17, 2004
    Learn not to bet on the home openers ...

    NE and Colorado really disappointed me. Maybe Adu's visits are where the one-time lookers will come from now on. At least most teams can't go down as the season goes on (hope so).
     
  3. barkerjb

    barkerjb New Member

    Jul 22, 2003
    Poughkeepsie, NY
    May I ask where you got the numbers or how you got my numbers in particular? After doing my own math my total was 13,341. Maybe it was the order I put my games into. I guess that takes me out of my top ten status...
     
  4. swedcrip34

    swedcrip34 New Member

    Mar 17, 2004
    I'm getting 12949 for myself. I didn't think I was that far off. Exactly 6500 less than scaryice's total?

    I nailed SJ (almost) and the LA sellout but was well under on the 3 home openers (figured I was optomistic on DC but the other 2 are just disappointing).
     
  5. scaryice

    scaryice Member

    Jan 25, 2001
    Dammit. I think I have the wrong names under the wrong predictions. Well, I better go fix that.
     
  6. scaryice

    scaryice Member

    Jan 25, 2001
    Mods, could you please edit the first post and put this one there instead? (fixed the results)

    This week's winner? dakotajoe, who was 1,500 above anyone else. And they say being negative never gets you anywhere. Two people made the top ten in each of the first two weeks: Wallydrag and Zico3KBattery.

    Week 2 Top Ten

    5,949-dakotajoe
    7,449-Saltenya94
    7,487-Zico3KBattery
    7,553-suppity
    7,591-christhestud
    7,853-Onionsack
    8,053-Calexio77
    8,053-PhantomTollbooth
    8,449-Wallydrag
    8,553-Fanaddict

    Everyone Else

    11,053-The Big Ticket
    11,572-Centennial
    11,591-PSsoccer123
    11,591-Czar Pazzo
    12,487-okcomputer
    12,891-barkerjb
    12,949-swedcrip34
    13,553-Khansingh
    13,591-Beerking
    13,912-Detective40oz
    14,164-Wizardman03
    14,553-Gemmell
    14,591-scaryice
    15,831-yellowbismark
    17,949-Bayern1986
    18,449-Jose L. Couso
    18,449-myshap
    18,942-Vascao
    19,449-kjo199
    19,545-eejit
    76,542-Nick
    76,546-Stinky


    Wins

    1-dakotajoe
    1-soccercptn

    Top Ten Appearances

    2-Wallydrag
    2-Zico3KBattery
    1-barkerjb
    1-Beerking
    1-Calexio77
    1-christhestud
    1-CityIceMan
    1-dakotajoe
    1-Fanaddict
    1-okcomputer
    1-Onionsack
    1-PhantomTollbooth
    1-Saltenya94
    1-Sempuukyaku
    1-soccercptn
    1-Suppity
    1-swedcrip34
    1-yellowbismark


    Week 3 Games: (home team first)

    CLB-DC
    RSL-COL
    MET-KC
    CHI-SJ
    CHV-DAL

    Columbus game is on Friday, RSL game is the early ESPN2 game.
     
  7. USvsIRELAND

    USvsIRELAND Member+

    Jul 19, 2004
    ATL
    LOL sorry i just think this post is funny.
     
  8. okcomputer

    okcomputer Member

    Jun 25, 2003
    dc
    Cool I'm first. I must admit I drank much tonight so if I'm way off I have an excuse this week.

    CLB-DC- 20k
    RSL-COL- 25k
    MET-KC-18k
    CHI-SJ-20k
    CHV-DAL-17k

    average=20k
     
  9. christhestud

    christhestud Member

    Jun 4, 2004
    scaryice,

    any chance of you doing like a cumulative number off count? i really dig the 'wins' and 'top ten appearances,' but just adding total number off from week to week would make for a kickass yearlong competition
     
  10. christhestud

    christhestud Member

    Jun 4, 2004
    CLB-DC- 20k
    RSL-COL- 25k
    MET-KC-13.5k
    CHI-SJ-17k
    CHV-DAL-15k

    Average: 18,100
     
  11. Fanaddict

    Fanaddict Member+

    Mar 9, 2000
    streamwood IL USA
    Club:
    Chicago Fire
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    clb-dc 18,000
    rsl-col-21,000
    met-kc 13,000
    chi-sj---14,000
    chv-dallas13,000
     
  12. Saltenya94

    Saltenya94 Member

    Jul 29, 2003
    Brooklyn
    Club:
    DC United
    CLB-DC- 22k (the kids in ohio love freddy, they were probrably looking at this game for months - ok make that weeks - schedules announced late)
    RSL-COL- 20k (I don't know does 20k seems optimistic? - or not?)
    MET-KC-16k
    CHI-SJ-16k
    CHV-DAL-18k (return of Ruiz mean anything? Maybe for galaxy fans who have a 14 day rest period from leauge play. will any come for the hell of it?)
     
  13. whip

    whip Member

    Aug 5, 2000
    HOUSTON TEXAS
    What we really need to keep an eye on is on what kind of promotion is the team running to attract attendance in a home game and I could tell you that here in DC the promotional efforts are really SCRANNY..... :confused:
     
  14. barkerjb

    barkerjb New Member

    Jul 22, 2003
    Poughkeepsie, NY
    I'll be waiting until later in the week to make my predictions once I have found out the weather for all of the home markets.
     
  15. scaryice

    scaryice Member

    Jan 25, 2001
    I'm not sure how that would work because not everyone participates every week.
     
  16. Delsocfan

    Delsocfan New Member

    Oct 23, 2004
    Wilmington, DE
    Club:
    Philadelphia Union
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    CLB-DC- 17k
    RSL-COL- 25k
    MET-KC-11.75k
    CHI-SJ-16.5k
    CHV-DAL-22k
     
  17. THOMA GOL

    THOMA GOL BigSoccer Supporter

    Jul 16, 1999
    Frontier
    Club:
    Columbus Crew
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Based on the past few weeks, the league has so far shown that it has "FAIR-weather" fans :( Perplexing due to the fact that the NFL can bring in fans even on the most horrid days/nights. Snow, rain, heat, smog, hell it could be the bloody Cardinals and they'd still find a way to have people come and watch. What will it take for more people to toughen out the elements at MLS matches ?
     
  18. christhestud

    christhestud Member

    Jun 4, 2004
    Probably a little better product on the field (like that Chivas - SJ game). People are essentially weighing uncomfortable weather and the quality of product on the field and choosing the product doesn't warrant sitting through uncomfortable weather. Hopefully at some point in the relatively-near-future the product will be good enough to where people will sit through anything for it, like the NFL.
     
  19. christhestud

    christhestud Member

    Jun 4, 2004
    Sorry - I thought of that a little while after I posted but it was too late to edit. Nevermind!
     
  20. kjo199

    kjo199 Member

    Mar 29, 2005
    NYC
    sry if some people already clarrified this, but how are the scores calculated. Is it the difference between the combined total of all the games in your prediction and the actual combined total? Also, do the results from Week 2 include the Week 1 predictions? Thanks for the help.
     
  21. swedcrip34

    swedcrip34 New Member

    Mar 17, 2004
    just Week2. you subtract the guess from attendance at each game, add up the absolute value of the five differences.

    you could put out an average number for each guesser, divide their total by how many weeks they guessed, then put next to that how many weeks they guessed. it'd be a "little" bit of work though
     
  22. yellowbismark

    yellowbismark Member+

    Nov 7, 2000
    San Diego, CA
    Club:
    Club Tijuana
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    (DC at) Columbus -- 18,400
    (Col at) Real SL -- 26,500
    (KC at) MetroStars -- 12,300
    (SJ at) Chicago -- 15,500
    (Dal at) ChivasUSA -- 15,100
     
  23. suppitty

    suppitty Member

    Mar 15, 2004
    DC
    Club:
    DC United
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Here are mine, assuming good weather in all places.

    DC at CLB-18,500-Columbus had a big draw for the Freddy game last year. I also think this is the real home opener since I assume it wn't feel like 20 below.

    Col at RSL-32,000-Assuming good weather I am obviously VERY optomistic for this one. I look at the attention they are getting, and wouldn;t be surprised if they get higher than this. They will probably put Chivas to shame.

    KC at Metros-14,000-It will look like less, but I see a decent draw here for their real home opener.

    SJ at CHI-17,500-Chicago has a similar fanbase to DC, just with about 1,500 less. Respectable crowd.

    Dal at CDC-15,300-Attendance can only fall from the opener, but 3 goals vs San Jose should bring a decent crowd.

    Good attendances this week.
     
  24. scaryice

    scaryice Member

    Jan 25, 2001
    That would be a lot of work. Plus, if you say a person has to have a certain amount of weeks to win the overall contest, then somebody could just sit out the last few weeks if they're ahead.

    I was thinking about how to determine the winner at the end of the season. Using weekly wins seems to be unfair to the people who does consistantly well, week after week. Finishing 1st one week and 20th the next shouldn't be better than a 2nd and a 3rd.

    So I think the winner of this "competition" should be the person with the most top ten appearances, with wins as the tiebreaker.
     
  25. christhestud

    christhestud Member

    Jun 4, 2004
    Good thought. You're right about someone just sitting out once they got in the lead - i thought of that myself. Your method sounds solid to me.

    My one thought is, though, that couldn't some weeks like only ten people predict? Which would skew the results some - if you were 50,000 off but 10th of 10 in a given week you'd get just as much credit as someone who was dead-on in first place.

    Would it be to much work to do like a 10 points for 1st, 9 points for 2nd, 8 points for 3rd etc. through 10? Or maybe do tiers like 5 for a win, 3 for 2nd-5th, 1 for 6th through 10th? Just an idea...
     

Share This Page