Sagarin ratings - June 18 and midweek predictions

From http://www.kiva.net/~jsagarin/sports/soccer.htm. Sagarin went 3-1 last week. (Dallas, Colorado, and San Jose covered their spreads. Metros, however, didn't cover the two-goal spread.)

Code:

[B]Major League Soccer 2005 thru Saturday, June 18, 2005
HOME ADVANTAGE=  0.38           RATING    W   L   T  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top  4 | VS top  8 |  ELO CHESS   |  PREDICTOR[/B]  
   1  New England Revolution  =   3.14    7   1   4    2.08(   4)   3  1  1 |   5  1  3 |    3.27    1 |    3.03    1
   2  FC Dallas               =   2.85    8   2   3    1.82(  11)   1  0  1 |   3  2  2 |    2.93    2 |    2.78    2
   3  D.C. United             =   2.50    5   4   4    2.24(   2)   2  3  1 |   3  3  4 |    2.41    5 |    2.60    3
   4  Kansas City Wizards     =   2.41    4   3   6    2.25(   1)   0  2  3 |   2  3  5 |    2.42    4 |    2.40    4
   5  Chicago Fire            =   2.40    7   6   2    2.21(   3)   1  4  2 |   3  6  2 |    2.42    3 |    2.39    5
   6  MetroStars              =   2.28    5   3   5    1.98(   7)   0  1  3 |   2  3  4 |    2.22    6 |    2.35    6
   7  San Jose Earthquakes    =   2.18    4   3   6    1.90(   9)   1  1  3 |   2  3  3 |    2.15    7 |    2.21    7
   8  Los Angeles Galaxy      =   1.89    7   4   2    1.44(  12)   1  1  0 |   2  1  1 |    1.82    8 |    1.96    8
   9  Colorado Rapids         =   1.58    4   8   2    1.95(   8)   0  2  2 |   1  6  2 |    1.37   10 |    1.77    9
  10  Columbus Crew           =   1.33    4   7   1    2.05(   5)   1  3  0 |   2  6  1 |    1.40    9 |    1.27   10
[B]Major League Soccer 2005 thru Saturday, June 18, 2005
HOME ADVANTAGE=  0.38           RATING    W   L   T  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top  4 | VS top  8 |  ELO CHESS   |  PREDICTOR[/B]  
  11  Real Salt Lake          =   0.95    3   8   2    1.90(  10)   0  2  0 |   1  6  2 |    1.08   11 |    0.79   11
  12  CD Chivas USA           =   0.48    1  10   3    2.04(   6)   0  4  1 |   0  7  3 |    0.51   12 |    0.45   12

Predictions
New England at Columbus - New England by one goal (3.03 - 1.65)
CD Chivas USA at FC Dallas - FC Dallas by THREE goals (3.16 - 0.45)
Los Angeles at Real Salt Lake - Los Angeles by one (1.96 - 1.17)

(Yeah, I wouldn't put too much money on that FCD prediction.)

It's somewhere in the middle.

They're a very good team, but their pathological inability to win on the road is a huge problem for them.

Oh, it's not like they were doing any better under Everyone's Favorite U-20 Coach.

I didn't get the memo when he replaced Bob Bradley as the Official Coaching Supergenius Who Is Bruce Arena's Successor.