If MLS adopt 25% revenue sharing & 0.35% revenue salary cap, how soon will top MLS teams surpass FMF

Discussion in 'MLS: Commissioner - You be The Don' started by vevo5, Dec 1, 2012.

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If MLS adopt 25% revenue sharing & 0.35% revenue salary cap, how soon will top MLS teams surpass FMF

Poll closed Apr 1, 2021.
  1. MLS top teams will surpass Mexican top teams in 3 years (2016 season)

    33.3%
  2. MLS top teams will surpass Mexican top teams in 4 years (2017 season)

    8.3%
  3. MLS top teams will surpass Mexican top teams in 5 years (2018 season)

    8.3%
  4. MLS top teams will surpass Mexican top teams in 6 years (2019 season)

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  5. MLS top teams will surpass Mexican top teams in 7 years (2020 season)

    25.0%
  6. MLS top teams will surpass Mexican top teams in 8 years (2021 season)

    8.3%
  7. MLS top teams will surpass Mexican top teams in 9 years or more (MLS goal of top leagues in 2022)

    16.7%
  1. ceezmad

    ceezmad Member+

    Mar 4, 2010
    Chicago
    Club:
    Chicago Red Stars
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    As good as Portugal? or liga MX?
     
  2. waltlantz

    waltlantz Member

    Jul 6, 2010
    What does "BEST" mean?

    I like Garber but believing that MLS will be on equal standing financially with top UEFA leagues is BULLMESS. They are international brands, MLS isn't even top dog in it's own country.

    The only thing you can ask for is for infrastructure to improve and everyone gradually up their rep. There is no quick fix to this. Comparing to Liga MX is silly too.

    Over looking the history of it being an established (now dominant) presence in it's own country there is the huge gap in TV ratings and revenue. Liga MX teams have millions watching in Mexico with an additional few million or so here in the US. MLS ratings is in the HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS.

    When MLS gets appreciable TV ratings then we can talk serious money, until then this is all just hot air.
     
  3. vevo5

    vevo5 Member

    Nov 23, 2011
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    The DP Rule is designed with parity in mind. You think it is a HUGE advantage when it is really not. A $15 mil team with MLS parity/3DP is about on par with a $3 mil team. San Jose vs. New York is an example of this.


    I don't get where you got that LA can only spend $3.2 million from.

    Hypothetical #:

    $40 mil revenue team - $6 mil loss due to revenue sharing = $34 million total x 35% = maximum $11.9 mil salary budget

    $35 mil revenue team - $4.5 mil loss due to revenue sharing = $30.5 million total x 35% = maximum $10.6 mil salary budget

    $30 mil revenue team - $3 mil loss due to revenue sharing = $27 mil total x 35% = maximum $9.45 mil salary budget

    $14 mil revenue team + no gain/loss due to revenue sharing = $14 mil total x 35% = maximum $4.9 mil salary budget

    $9 mil revenue team + $2.5 mil gain due to revenue sharing = $11.5 mil total x 35% =maximum $3.45 mil salary budget


    As you can see, the higher a club revenue, the better off they will be. Revenue generation will be the goal of each MLS club. And by getting rid of the DP Rule, each club can spread their salary budget more evenly throughout the roster. MLS top clubs will surpass the Mexican top clubs in a very short time.

    And once again, you won't answer the question. I get that you believe a revenue salary cap (35% of each club total revenue) is retarded. But that shouldn't stop you from answering the question no? especially with $500,000 in consultant fee on the line.









     
  4. HailtotheKing

    HailtotheKing Member+

    San Antonio FC
    United States
    Dec 1, 2008
    TEXAS
    Club:
    San Antonio Scorpions FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Why not SJ vs LA ? Oh, because it kicks you in the teeth ... that's right.

    You don't get it because of 1 of 3 things:

    1 - You're stupid.
    2 - You ignored the part where I did the math for you, spelled out even with where the numbers were coming from.
    3 - You simply refuse to accept facts

    I'm betting on a heavy combination of the 3.



    So none of these teams are going to pay operating costs ? How are you coming up with the "loss" numbers because 6 isn't 25% of 40. 10 is 25% of 40.

    Your 40m team takes 10 away for your revenue plan. That leaves them 30m. They then pay their operating costs of 15.6m (average for the league from the link I provided you) and you're left with 14.4m .... which puts them at the level of your 14m team.

    How the blue shit is that worth it ? I mean, because doing this puts the current top revenue teams right back where they are in the real world we exist in today. You've effectively done absolutely nothing.

    You really, REALLY need to look up how business is run.

    Revenue generation already is the goal of the MLS clubs. They're run by businessmen.

    Everything else in that paragraph is just trash based on your very misguided opinions, delusions, and lack of fundamental understanding.

    I did answer it. Or can you really not comprehend ?

    The answer is: I WOULDN'T ... because I'd never sign up for it in the first place. I'd have the proposal tabled to me to pitch, and I'd laugh it out of the room and look elsewhere. THAT IS THE ANSWER ...

    ... or do you need Crayola again ?
     
  5. vevo5

    vevo5 Member

    Nov 23, 2011
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I guess you are so low now as to result in name calling. I won't degrade myself to your level.

    I guess you don't understand the word "SHARING" in revenue sharing.

    Example using hypothetical # in a league with 3 teams:

    $40 mil team = $37 mil local + $3 mil national
    $20 mil team = $17 mil local + $3 mil national
    $12 mil team = $9 mil local + $3 mil national

    Revenue sharing would be

    25% of $37 mil = $9.25 mil
    25% of $17 mil = $4.25 mil
    25% of $9 mil = $2.25 mil
    Total revenue SHARING pool: $16.00 million

    Revenue SHARING mean these three teams will split the "revenue SHARING pool." Each team will get $5.333 mil.

    Putting in $9.25 mil, getting back $5.33 mil = net loss of $3.92 mil
    Putting in $4.25 mil, getting back $5.33 mil = net gain of $1.08 mil
    Putting in $2.25 mil, getting back $5.33 mil = net gain of $3.08 mil

    To reiterate, you forgot the SHARING in "revenue sharing."









     
  6. HailtotheKing

    HailtotheKing Member+

    San Antonio FC
    United States
    Dec 1, 2008
    TEXAS
    Club:
    San Antonio Scorpions FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Show me where I actually called you a name.

    I guess you don't understand the difference between "gross" revenue and "net" revenue.

    You're maths are wrong because you're not using the right numbers. Here's a helpful link for you so that you can get to the right numbers to use: http://www.diffen.com/difference/Gross_vs_Net

    If you're not going to take 5 minutes (it should actually take less than that) to figure out the difference between these two numbers in order to make a correct representation of the numbers, then just stop posting. I completely understand what SHARING means. You don't understand that revenue is subject to more than just your fantasy drivel.
     
  7. vevo5

    vevo5 Member

    Nov 23, 2011
    Nat'l Team:
    United States

    where did you get the impression that

    Revenue Sharing (local):
    25% of ticket revenue
    25% of shirt sponsorship
    25% of local sponsorship
    25% of club merchandise
    25% of local tv/radio revenue

    is "net" revenue? Just for the record, 25% of ticket, shirt sponsorship, local sponsorship, merchandise, tv/radio revenue is based on "gross" not "net."

    Example:

    $12 million ticket revenue
    $3 mil shirt revenue
    $4 mil local sponsorship
    $0.5 mil merchandise
    $1 mil local tv revenue

    = $20.5 million local revenue. Per the 25% local revenue sharing agreement, this team would share out 25% of its local revenue and get back an equal split of the total revenue sharing pool.


    And your example of a team with $40 million revenue would lose $10 million from revenue sharing is WAY WAY off base.


     
  8. HailtotheKing

    HailtotheKing Member+

    San Antonio FC
    United States
    Dec 1, 2008
    TEXAS
    Club:
    San Antonio Scorpions FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    HOLY SHIT ... that's EXACTLY what I just said to you. You're basing your numbers and what these teams will be able to spend off of the GROSS .... which isn't the actual monies that these teams will have.

    I just told that to you .... I'm telling you that the GROSS is what you're using, rather than the net ... and that's why you're coming up with an inflated number that's available to the LA's of the MLS.

    HOLY SHIT

    There's nothing equal about what they'd get from the pool. I know what you're going to say to that ... and I know that the actual meaning of the statement will have blown right by you.

    How so ?

    25% is 1/4 of something ....

    ... and 1/4 of 40 is what ?

    Oh, right ... 10.
     
  9. vevo5

    vevo5 Member

    Nov 23, 2011
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    copy and paste from a post by triplet1


    I agree that the value of the league is, in effect, the value of the parts -- the teams. If MLS really is what it purports to be -- a "single entity" -- that's especially true here.

    Now, ask yourself, how would any single company with operations in cities all over the United States and Canada, from LA to New York to Columbus to Portland, divide it's payroll. Would it require that payroll to be the same in every location, or would it allocate it to places where it could generate the greatest overall return for the entire organization?

    Without question, the resources would be allocated where they could generate the highest return. As long as the overall payroll was affordable, I submit no single entity would care much if it was higher in New York than it was in Salt Lake City.

    And the single entity wouldn't take just a piece certain revenue streams in return for these payroll dollars, it would take a percentage of all of the revenue generated throughout the company, reinvest some of it and divide the rest among the shareholders.

    So if we are really looking at the value of the league, the contention, by MLS and many fans, is -- has to be really -- that the value of the single entity is maximized if every team is competitive and, therefore, to insure they are competitive the league sets salaries at the lowest common denominator. In short, it's better a league to have a lot of equally bad teams than a handful of really good ones.

    But, really, where's the evidence for this?

    I can see where two dominant teams would be a problem, but to simply assert that MLS couldn't, with better quality, make more money in it's six or seven of largest markets to more than offset what might be lost in the smaller ones assumes facts not in evidence IMO. If anything, the experience in LA and Seattle suggests that the revenue potential from market to market varies greatly, and plowing the same amount of money into certain markets won't equal that return no matter how good those teams are. Forbes values LA at about five times more than Columbus, an no equalized cap is going to change that.

    We've talked so of this before, and the "international" rights portion of this discussion is something of a herring here IMO. I agree, MLS isn't going to get a lot of TV dollars from foreign markets no matter what system it adopts. But, outside of MLS cities, I think the domestic TV audience responds much the same way in that they are drawn to teams with a certain caché. Look at the ESPN TV ratings I posted earlier again -- well supported teams in big markets that spend money, LA, NY and Seattle, are generating the highest ratings. They interest casual fans.

    So, I ask, why not at least think about whether MLS be worth more "as a league" if it allowed teams to spend what they wish to spend on players to maximize revenue on the condition that (1) each team must make an operating profit and (2) 30% of all team revenue comes back to the league to be redistributed so the small market teams can afford some better players too? Why peg payrolls to what the smallest or most frugal teams can afford when it's pretty clear that they don't all have the same revenue generating opportunities?

    And why assume a high parity, low payroll league is worth more than a higher payroll league with less parity?
     
  10. vevo5

    vevo5 Member

    Nov 23, 2011
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    To make it easier for you to understand.

    Each team salary budget is based on 35% of their total GROSS revenue after the revenue sharing. So if a team make $17 mil local revenue + $3 mil national revenue. After revenue sharing with a loss of $1 mil, the team new total revenue is $19 million. It will be able to spend up to 35% of this $19 million on player budget.



    Gross revenue is the income generated by a company, through sale of goods, after adjusting for cost of goods sold (production costs), without any other kind of deductions taken into consideration. On the other hand, net revenue or net income is calculated by deducting taxes and all other expenses, from the gross revenue or gross income.

    I never once used the word net revenue, so why are you bringing "net revenue" into the conversation? For the purpose of the 35% of revenue = player budget, gross revenue is used.







    I already answered your question. 25% revenue sharing of $40 million is not a loss of $10 million because in revenue sharing, you get an equal split of the "revenue sharing pool."

    Example using hypothetical # in a league with 3 teams:

    $40 mil team = $37 mil local + $3 mil national
    $20 mil team = $17 mil local + $3 mil national
    $12 mil team = $9 mil local + $3 mil national

    Revenue sharing would be

    25% of $37 mil = $9.25 mil
    25% of $17 mil = $4.25 mil
    25% of $9 mil = $2.25 mil
    Total revenue SHARING pool: $16.00 million

    Revenue SHARING mean these three teams will split the "revenue SHARING pool." Each team will get $5.333 mil.

    Putting in $9.25 mil, getting back $5.33 mil = net loss of $3.92 mil
    Putting in $4.25 mil, getting back $5.33 mil = net gain of $1.08 mil
    Putting in $2.25 mil, getting back $5.33 mil = net gain of $3.08 mil
     
  11. vevo5

    vevo5 Member

    Nov 23, 2011
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Why should I base it on net revenue? Gross revenue is the correct revenue to base it on. Let's use LA as an example and assume make $30 mil a year in gross revenue, of which $27 million is local.

    Due to revenue sharing, LA will send 25% of the $27 mil or $6.75 mil to the revenue sharing pool.
    In return, it get back $3.75 mil. This is a loss of $3 mil.

    Total Revenue - Total Expense = Profits/Loss

    LA total revenue (before revenue sharing): $30 million
    LA total revenue (after revenue sharing): $27 million
    LA player expenses: $9.45 million (this is 35% of $27 million)
    LA front office expense: $X mil
    LA general selling and administrative expense: $X mil
    LA coach expense: $X mil
    LA marketing expense: $X mil
    LA travel expense: $X mil
    LA rent expense: $X mil
    LA tax expense: $X mil
    LA league capital call expense: $X mil
    LA other expense: $X mil
    -----------------------------------
    profit/loss: ?

    If LA can keep all these expenses below $27 million (of which player expense will be $9.45 mil), it will make a profit.






    Tell me again, why I should use NET REVENUE when it comes to 25% local revenue sharing and 35% salary budget?
     
  12. HailtotheKing

    HailtotheKing Member+

    San Antonio FC
    United States
    Dec 1, 2008
    TEXAS
    Club:
    San Antonio Scorpions FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Your entire point was to show how you're super awesome funtime unicorn rainbow ass rocket of an idea would give LA more money to spend.

    You then based it all on GROSS REVENUES .... which isn't the actual monies LA would have to spend. You cannot spend money you do not have. Unless of course, your goal is to be Portsmouth. In other words your copy/paste diatribe #628 is nothing but:

    [​IMG]
     
  13. chapka

    chapka Member+

    May 18, 2004
    Haverford, PA
    Club:
    Philadelphia Union
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Why?

    Do you not see how this completely invalidates the entire argument?

    In other words: Los Angeles and Seattle are able to get the increased value out of their market WITHOUT having to take a dump on the idea of parity.

    Because otherwise you won't have teams in those markets? Seems pretty straightforward.

    Why assume that "low payroll" is MLS's goal? MLS is aiming to be the NFL. You're aiming for Scotland. Once you go down that road, there's no easy way back.
     
    When Saturday Comes repped this.
  14. triplet1

    triplet1 BigSoccer Supporter

    Jul 25, 2006
    Like beauty, it may be in the eye of the beholder.

    Or, like pornography, we might all know it when we see it.

    Even if MLS later tries to define it as "a top league for facilities and stadium food", I think most fans will look at overall quality of play.

    I'll say this for Garber though, he's not backing off. By 2022, he's expecting MLS to be among the best in the world at something.
     
    HailtotheKing repped this.
  15. triplet1

    triplet1 BigSoccer Supporter

    Jul 25, 2006
    Indeed, with a salary cap that's less than 3% of what the NFL has.
     
  16. chapka

    chapka Member+

    May 18, 2004
    Haverford, PA
    Club:
    Philadelphia Union
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    MLS has a salary cap that's about 3% of the NFL's because they have, generously estimated, revenues that are about 3% of the NFL's.

    No revenue sharing scheme is going to magically generate $10 billion in extra revenue--and if it did, MLS could keep its current structure and still be probably the top league in the world. This year's NFL salary cap of $120 million is higher than the payroll of all but 10 soccer clubs in the world in 2012.
     
  17. triplet1

    triplet1 BigSoccer Supporter

    Jul 25, 2006
    So perhaps MLS should look for more a scalable business model?

    The NFL occupies such a unique position in U.S. sports, bluntly I'm not sure it's a good model for MLS. I don't deny that MLS hasn't been heavily influenced by NFL, from the cap to the draft to the parity principles (such as re-allocating players similar to the NFL waiver process) to the hiring of Garber, but MLS exists in a very different world where players have much better options than the CFL and UFL.

    So, as you say, MLS might want to be the NFL, but it isn't going to be.

    Ever.
     
  18. chapka

    chapka Member+

    May 18, 2004
    Haverford, PA
    Club:
    Philadelphia Union
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    quote="triplet1, post: 27153781, member: 87117"]So, as you say, MLS might want to be the NFL, but it isn't going to be.

    Ever.[/quote]

    So what makes it a better idea to try to be the Premier League with 5% of the Premier League revenue than to try to be the NFL with 3% of the NFL revenue? Isn't that what you're advocating?
     
  19. triplet1

    triplet1 BigSoccer Supporter

    Jul 25, 2006
    Nope.

    There are three options here:

    (1) MLS follows an NFL model in the hope to build 20 rich "top" clubs in the world.

    (2) MLS acknowledges that not all 20 teams might get there, but some might and it allows them to try.

    (3) MLS recognizes that it fills a niche and for the foreseeable future it leaves well enough alone.

    I vote for option three.

    What's more, I think MLS deep down is planning for option three. The problem is that MLS seems hellbent to at least create the expectation that they are pursuing option one (without spending a lot more money on salaries, of course, because MLS will be the first top league in the world where players will play for much, much less). It is all just nonsense. We've all seen the Forbes list of the 50 richest teams, and every single NFL team is on that list. No other league in the world comes close. And 20 MLS teams aren't going to join them no matter how many true believers on Big Soccer believe it can.

    Option Two is actually grounded in some reality, but even here people can't seem to bring themselves to discuss the harshness of the result if it works. I don't like Vevo5's proposal, and I didn't like it with pc4th, but I recognize that he's smart enough to see that the stated goal of option one is pure fiction give the policies MLS has in place. He's trying to figure out a way for a few clubs to chace the dream -- again, I think maybe six at most really could. So he tries to soften the blow to the others with his own fiction, essentially a luxury tax, but MLS can't generate enough revenue to reward teams to pay the tax.

    Or we can acknowledge that given the popularity of the sport, we are about where we are going to be for a long time. It's not so bad IMO, but it seems unfulfilling to the league, the owners and many fans. Option three is tainted by disappointment, which is a shame.

    So we reset and spin again.

    Now, where were we?

    MLS will be a top league in the world in nine years time without spending a fortune on players . . .
     
  20. vevo5

    vevo5 Member

    Nov 23, 2011
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I disagree. Let's use Toronto as an example. If they were allowed to GROW to their potential instead of having their wings clipped, they would be a force to be reckon with today. And they would generate plenty of revenue and able to pay the "luxury tax" with ease.

    Toronto at one point had 15,000+ on the waiting list and 17,000 season tickets holder.
    The stadium could have been expanded to 30,000+

    Too bad for Toronto, MLS is based of NFL and not MLB. Toronto could have been the Yankees/Dodgers/Redsox/Philles of MLS. The like of Toronto/Seattle/NY/LA could surpasses the Mexican top clubs with ease. MLS would be better off if its top clubs are perceived as better than the top Mexican clubs. But at the current rate and status quo, MLS top clubs won't surpass Mexican top clubs in the next 10 years or so.


    Here's something to ponder:

    NFL-enforced parity would be a HUGE DISASTER for the #1 soccer league in the world (EPL). If so, why is it a good idea for MLS?

    With the status quo, I wouldn't be surprised if Seattle will become like Toronto in a few years (aka fans losing interest).
     
  21. When Saturday Comes

    Apr 9, 2012
    Calgary
    Club:
    Toronto FC
    Nat'l Team:
    Canada
    As a TFC season ticket holder since day 1 this is complete and utter bush^*t.

    The 15k waiting list?
    Grow to it's potential?
    Expanding BMO?

    You should really research a topic before posting.
     
  22. HailtotheKing

    HailtotheKing Member+

    San Antonio FC
    United States
    Dec 1, 2008
    TEXAS
    Club:
    San Antonio Scorpions FC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    How would money fix the fact that they made horrid decisions on players, had managers shit the bed at their job, and

    And yet RSL has reached the final and Dallas has won down in Mexico (beating PUMAS mind you) as has Seattle (beating Monterrey). Currently we have the same number of clubs in the knock out round as Mexico.

    A team like Toronto can't make the playoffs but can press Santos harder than half of their Mexican competition. Check the results of the CCL the last few years .... you'd probably shit your pants.

    ... all of this of course, with "clipping wings" and all :whistling:

    Here's something to ponder:

    You completely made that up. There are droves of fans that would LOVE to see a more competitive EPL. In fact, the highest revenue league in the world is parity driven .... amazing ain't it ?
     
  23. triplet1

    triplet1 BigSoccer Supporter

    Jul 25, 2006
    You may be right.

    Look, I agree. I don't think MLS becomes a "top league" with top talent without a massive additional investment. I don't think the majority of MLS owners are prepared to make that investment.

    But reset the numbers however you like, I believe this too: a handful of teams cannot pay a big enough tax to generate enough money to drag the rest of the league to "top league" status either. AEG or the Sounders aren't going to pay the freight for everyone, and if they won't, the others won't go along. They won't let some teams leap forward in exchange for modest revenue sharing that doesn't allow them to match the same progress. All these posts from you notwithstanding, they won't do it.

    Neither model works, IMO.

    The only thing that does have a chance to work, I believe, is to just let this age. It took the NFL three decades of work and preparation before it became an "overnight sensation" and the country's most popular league in the 1960s. Even then, the landmark FOX TV deal didn't come about until the 1994 season, some 70 years after the league started.

    It takes generations.

    It's fun to talk about it and debate it, but I don't see any plan to microwave MLS and speed up the process working, at least not without gobs of money I don't think they are prepared to spend.
     
    Jasonma repped this.
  24. vevo5

    vevo5 Member

    Nov 23, 2011
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Revenue Sharing

    Revenue Sharing (local):
    25% of ticket revenue
    25% of shirt sponsorship
    25% of local sponsorship
    25% of club merchandise
    25% of local tv/radio revenue

    Revenue Sharing (national):
    100% of national tv/radio revenue
    100% of national sponsorship
    100% of league-related merchandise

    Revenue Salary Cap:

    After the revenue sharing is taken into account, each team can spend at most 35% of the "NEW" total revenue on players.


    The revenue sharing is the compromise to get more owners on board. Turkeys don't vote for Thanksgiving. Likewise, small clubs owners won't vote a system that take away their "level playing field" without something in return.

    Hypothetical Example: Team X generates $40 mil in revenue. It loses $7 mil due to the revenue sharing. Its "new" total revenue is $33 mil. It can spend at most 35% of this $33 mil or $11.55 mil on players. It can spread this $11.55 million over its roster anyway it likes like most soccer clubs around the world.
     

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