The question was about whether a conference ever had four teams in the college cup. I was referring to unc because if another conference had done it, it would have had to have been in a rare year when unc did not make the college cup.
interview with Swanson - he makes an interesting point about ACCs and Virginia's fields: http://ec.libsyn.com/p/1/2/3/1239dc...1ce3dae902ea1d01c08332d7c95c53fd&c_id=6410195 http://t.co/bX0tArdT0H
Several posters (including me) and one computer program are predicting an all ACC Final Four in the NCAA this year (see the NCAA contest). That would really be quite something! Whether it occurs or not, I think it is a great tribute to the quality of the ACC this season! Congratulations to all the teams on an excellent season! Four #1 seeds in a National Tourney-- it does not get any better! If all four advance to the Final Four that would be a great thing for the conference! I hope to see all four in Cary! and oh yes, Go Heels!
Exact odds for # of ACC teams in College Cup % chance to get 4 teams in = 8.7% % chance to get 3 teams in = 34.1% % chance to get 2 teams in = 42.6% % chance to get 1 teams in = 13.2% % chance to get 0 teams in = 1.4%
OK, I haven't seen Big East match this year so my wishful reasoning is: Marquette lost in first round AND they beat GU 4:0 in conference AND finished 5 points ahead of them so my dear Virginia looks good vs Georgetown next week, right?
Interesting! So I guess if I am right about the Final Four I deserve to do well in this the contest! 8.7%, eh? That seems surprisingly low for the top four seeds to advance? Not to question the basic soundness of your analysis, but what metric are you using as the basis for these "exact" odds? I ask only because there have been several scenarios posted on the contest thread (thanks cpthomas!), and they all seem reasonably credible. Oh, by the way, I really enjoy your speculations about the NCAA tourney! It adds some real humor to what would otherwise be a somewhat drier thread! Regards!
Have you seen her goal tonight? It was close to the first time in football history that net in goal would be torn after the header. She is so skilled with her feet and field vision, not to mention her killer instinct, and this? Cmon, mother nature is unfair... UVa - Saint Francis highlights: http://www.virginiasportstv.com/womenssoccer/1q9W
My head crunches numbers at the speed of light. And if you think the top four seeds collectively have a significantly high chance to get to the Final 4, than you're being optimistic. The reality is, that UNC only has about a 40% chance to get there (with UCLA and Stanford in their bracket). UNC = 40% chance. UCLA =35%. Stanford = 20%. Other = 5%, to get out of that UNC bracket and go to the College Cup. Let's say with each of the other three brackets, there is a 60% chance in each of those brackets that an ACC comes out and goes to the College Cup. .40 * .60 * .60 * .60 = 8.64% chance. North Carolina bracket = 40% chance that UNC comes out of that bracket (they're the only ACC team in it) Florida State bracket = 60% chance that an ACC team comes out of that bracket Virginia bracket = 60% chance that an ACC team comes out of it Virginia Tech bracket = 60% chance that an ACC team comes out of it ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- = 8.64% 40% * 60%* 60% * 60% = 8.64% (when you multiply the probability of four variables happening). I ended up rounding up 8.64% to 8.7%, even though you should technically round it down, due to the rounding of the other odds of the outcomes below, and ensuring that all five of these potential outcomes (shown below) would all add up and = 100% (when rounding to one digit after the decimal). Exact odds for # of ACC teams in College Cup % chance to get 4 teams in = 8.7% % chance to get 3 teams in = 34.1% % chance to get 2 teams in = 42.6% % chance to get 1 teams in = 13.2% % chance to get 0 teams in = 1.4%
Well, it depends on the rounding convention. For complex computations involving mega-numbers of sub-computations, where accuracy is critical -- such as when trying to get a spacecraft to the correct location -- the accepted rounding convention is to round the last digit up if it is even and down if it is odd. Or, is it the other way around? Believe it or not, I learned this in the process of figuring out that the NCAA's RPI computations use a different rounding convention than Excel's default convention. I'm waiting for the day that it matters what the RPI rounding convention is for purposes of determining bubble candidates. I haven't seen it happen yet.
Well the ACC and the SEC have made it through unscathed thus far. Assuming they both win, Duke and UF should be a good second round match. BC and Nebraska will be as well. IF the ACC prevails in either match, it will likely be due to the how seasoned they are with top competition week in and week out.
If unc gets to the quarterfinals and Dunn plays, unc will win. The game in September between unc and ucla was not as close as the 1-0 tally. Shots were 23-8 or something like that and I don't recall ucla seriously threatening to score.
Cheyna Williams is leaving Vanderbilt. Very athletic forward who scored 16 goals on a poor team and she wants to play in the ACC. Word is she has visited UNC, Florida State, Duke, and Syracuse, and also Penn State as the non-ACC school. She is very athletic and obviously dangerous. Whoever gets her will have a big time scorer the next 2 years.
Interesting. Hope everything works out for her. Look at the way this kid glides with the ball as she makes her way to the net. Vanderbilt's Cheyna Williams scores an unbelievable goal against
Can't lie, I'd love FSU to get this girl. She looks like a combo of Tiffany McCArty and Dagny Brynjarsdottir. We can hope!
And the rich get richer. Cheyna Williams going to FSU. More Final Fours to come for Krikorian and company.