This is the second time in as many days that somebody on the right in here is claiming Romney is a cert to win, yet is unwilling to back it up (or in the case of another, requires 8/1 odds in order to do so - meaning he views Romney as having a 12.5% chance, or Obama to have an 87.5% chance to win). Funny old bunch, the attention hungry.
Which would make sense... were I going to New Guinea... as opposed to spending 5-6 weeks here in November/December: Just had to brag.
Lol, he was the same guy brimming with confidence after the first debate. Now after running away for the next two debates he shows up even more desperate than Romney's "push" into Minnesota and Pennsylvania.
Per Silver, Obama looks to have Virginia. Not as a lockdown but Obama is the clear leader, the same as Romney is in SC. Florida remains the pure toss up.
there have been so many commercials here it's unreal. there are at least 3 political ads every commercial break for pretty much every show i watch. except for the disney channel. lol
Obama - 303 Romney - 235 Romney squeaks out a win in FLA because of Rick Scott's voter suppression tactics.
Genuinely curious - which states? Right now, Colorado and Virginia are the only lean Obama states. Which other ones do you see Romney upsetting?
Romney would have to win all the Bush 2004 states + NH - NM to get past 290. It would be a major upset in NV and OH, where even partisan Republican pollsters can't find a lead for him and many pollsters are showing mid single digits - more than show it tied for that matter. It would also be a bit of an upset in NH and IA, where very few polls in the last week found a lead for him. It's highly likely to be between 281 and 332 for Obama. 303 is most likely. I'd be surprised if it ended up anywhere outside that range.
And there's no Nader to cut into the ultra liberal vote to deliver NH, and consequently the nation, to the red team.
I remember when I voted on that Nickelodeon poll when I was a kid back in 2004, still can't believe Bush got re-elected.