We need to get to 6,137,000 to average 19,000 this year, last year we came 126,513 short. Week #1.....169,179 (6,137,000-169,179=5,967,821/315 =18,945 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #2.....153,333 (5,967,821-153,333=5,814,488/307=18,940 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #3.....167,179 (5,814,488-167,179=5,647,309/298=18,951 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #4.....157,484 (5,647,309-157,484=5,489,825/289=18,996 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #5.....158,203 (5,489,825-158,203=5,331,622/280=19,042 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #6.....155,798 (5,331,622-155,798=5,175,824/271=19,099 average to get to 19,000 average).
We need to get to 6,137,000 to average 19,000 this year, last year we came 126,513 short. Week #1.....169,179 (6,137,000-169,179=5,967,821/315 =18,945 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #2.....153,333 (5,967,821-153,333=5,814,488/307=18,940 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #3.....167,179 (5,814,488-167,179=5,647,309/298=18,951 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #4.....157,484 (5,647,309-157,484=5,489,825/289=18,996 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #5.....158,203 (5,489,825-158,203=5,331,622/280=19,042 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #6.....155,798 (5,331,622-155,798=5,175,824/271=19,099 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #7.....158,262 (5,175,824-158,262=5,017,562/261=19,224 average to get to 19,000 average).
I am busy with finals or I'd do it, but if you could plot the delta on this data with each week that'd be cool.
We need to get to 6,137,000 to average 19,000 this year, last year we came 126,513 short. Week #1.....169,179 (6,137,000-169,179=5,967,821/315 =18,945 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #2.....153,333 (5,967,821-153,333=5,814,488/307=18,940 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #3.....167,179 (5,814,488-167,179=5,647,309/298=18,951 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #4.....157,484 (5,647,309-157,484=5,489,825/289=18,996 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #5.....158,203 (5,489,825-158,203=5,331,622/280=19,042 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #6.....155,798 (5,331,622-155,798=5,175,824/271=19,099 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #7.....158,262 (5,175,824-158,262=5,017,562/261=19,224 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #8.....165,683 (5,017,562-165,683=4,851,879/252=19,253 average to get to 19,000 average).
I thing Chivas should be sold and moved to either Las Vegas, Sacramento, or San Diego. Those cities want teams
Sorry I haven't posted this in a while. but here is my updated speculation table. The first column is the average thus far, while the second is my predictions for the rest of the season, which are (for now) just the 2013 season averages, plus modified values for the Bolded teams(none of which should be too controversial... I think). It shows us that unless a bunch of teams outside the usual suspects greatly exceed their 2013 averages, we won't come close to hitting 19,000 2014 Full leaguePlayedSpeculationFinalAverageTotalAveragetotalAverageTotalChicago4148935957313147211913731714762250946Chivas USA587194359312600072000176800115593Colorado4134215368413150871961311714695249815Columbus4147565902513157832051791715541264204DC United5114695734712134901618801712896219227FC Dallas61684910109611157731735031716153274599Houston4208318332513210002730001720960356325Los Angeles2232414648115226203393001722693385781Montreal4224178966613208232706991721198360365New England3140564216814136331908621713708233030Philadelphia4174156965813177532307891717673300447Portland52081410407012208142497681720814353838Real Salt Lake4198767950413186932430091718971322513Red Bull NY4159536381313190512476631718322311476San Jose4105254210013105251368251710525178925Seattle53865019324812455005460001743485739248Sporting KC5197899894312198002376001719797336543Toronto FC3225916777314225003150001722516382773Vancouver52100010500012210002520001721000357000Overall80182511460067243196944785719323185535992648
We need to get to 6,137,000 to average 19,000 this year, last year we came 126,513 short. Week #1.....169,179 (6,137,000-169,179=5,967,821/315 =18,945 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #2.....153,333 (5,967,821-153,333=5,814,488/307=18,940 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #3.....167,179 (5,814,488-167,179=5,647,309/298=18,951 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #4.....157,484 (5,647,309-157,484=5,489,825/289=18,996 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #5.....158,203 (5,489,825-158,203=5,331,622/280=19,042 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #6.....155,798 (5,331,622-155,798=5,175,824/271=19,099 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #7.....158,262 (5,175,824-158,262=5,017,562/261=19,224 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #8.....165,683 (5,017,562-165,683=4,851,879/252=19,253 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #9.....175,616 (4,851,879-175,616=4,676,263/243=19,244 average to get to 19,000 average).
We need to get to 6,137,000 to average 19,000 this year, last year we came 126,513 short. Week #1.....169,179 (6,137,000-169,179=5,967,821/315 =18,945 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #2.....153,333 (5,967,821-153,333=5,814,488/307=18,940 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #3.....167,179 (5,814,488-167,179=5,647,309/298=18,951 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #4.....157,484 (5,647,309-157,484=5,489,825/289=18,996 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #5.....158,203 (5,489,825-158,203=5,331,622/280=19,042 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #6.....155,798 (5,331,622-155,798=5,175,824/271=19,099 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #7.....158,262 (5,175,824-158,262=5,017,562/261=19,224 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #8.....165,683 (5,017,562-165,683=4,851,879/252=19,253 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #9.....175,616 (4,851,879-175,616=4,676,263/243=19,244 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #10....205,461 (4,676,263-205,461=4,470,802/231=19,354 average to get to 19,000 average).
We need to get to 6,137,000 to average 19,000 this year, last year we came 126,513 short. Week #1.....169,179 (6,137,000-169,179=5,967,821/315 =18,945 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #2.....153,333 (5,967,821-153,333=5,814,488/307=18,940 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #3.....167,179 (5,814,488-167,179=5,647,309/298=18,951 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #4.....157,484 (5,647,309-157,484=5,489,825/289=18,996 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #5.....158,203 (5,489,825-158,203=5,331,622/280=19,042 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #6.....155,798 (5,331,622-155,798=5,175,824/271=19,099 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #7.....158,262 (5,175,824-158,262=5,017,562/261=19,224 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #8.....165,683 (5,017,562-165,683=4,851,879/252=19,253 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #9.....175,616 (4,851,879-175,616=4,676,263/243=19,244 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #10....205,461 (4,676,263-205,461=4,470,802/231=19,354 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #11....218,649 (4,470,802-218,649=4,252,153/221=19,241 average to get to 19,000 average).
We need to get to 6,137,000 to average 19,000 this year, last year we came 126,513 short. Week #1.....169,179 (6,137,000-169,179=5,967,821/315 =18,945 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #2.....153,333 (5,967,821-153,333=5,814,488/307=18,940 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #3.....167,179 (5,814,488-167,179=5,647,309/298=18,951 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #4.....157,484 (5,647,309-157,484=5,489,825/289=18,996 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #5.....158,203 (5,489,825-158,203=5,331,622/280=19,042 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #6.....155,798 (5,331,622-155,798=5,175,824/271=19,099 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #7.....158,262 (5,175,824-158,262=5,017,562/261=19,224 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #8.....165,683 (5,017,562-165,683=4,851,879/252=19,253 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #9.....175,616 (4,851,879-175,616=4,676,263/243=19,244 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #10....205,461 (4,676,263-205,461=4,470,802/231=19,354 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #11....218,649 (4,470,802-218,649=4,252,153/221=19,241 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #12....181,784 (4,252,153-181,784=4,070,369/210=19,383 average to get to 19,000 average).
We need to get to 6,137,000 to average 19,000 this year, last year we came 126,513 short. Week #1.....169,179 (6,137,000-169,179=5,967,821/315 =18,945 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #2.....153,333 (5,967,821-153,333=5,814,488/307=18,940 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #3.....167,179 (5,814,488-167,179=5,647,309/298=18,951 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #4.....157,484 (5,647,309-157,484=5,489,825/289=18,996 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #5.....158,203 (5,489,825-158,203=5,331,622/280=19,042 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #6.....155,798 (5,331,622-155,798=5,175,824/271=19,099 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #7.....158,262 (5,175,824-158,262=5,017,562/261=19,224 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #8.....165,683 (5,017,562-165,683=4,851,879/252=19,253 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #9.....175,616 (4,851,879-175,616=4,676,263/243=19,244 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #10....205,461 (4,676,263-205,461=4,470,802/231=19,354 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #11....218,649 (4,470,802-218,649=4,252,153/221=19,241 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #12....181,784 (4,252,153-181,784=4,070,369/210=19,383 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #13....198,033 (4,070,369-198,033=3,872,336/199=19,459 average to get to 19,000 average).
We need to get to 6,137,000 to average 19,000 this year, last year we came 126,513 short. Week #1.....169,179 (6,137,000-169,179=5,967,821/315 =18,945 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #2.....153,333 (5,967,821-153,333=5,814,488/307=18,940 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #3.....167,179 (5,814,488-167,179=5,647,309/298=18,951 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #4.....157,484 (5,647,309-157,484=5,489,825/289=18,996 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #5.....158,203 (5,489,825-158,203=5,331,622/280=19,042 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #6.....155,798 (5,331,622-155,798=5,175,824/271=19,099 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #7.....158,262 (5,175,824-158,262=5,017,562/261=19,224 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #8.....165,683 (5,017,562-165,683=4,851,879/252=19,253 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #9.....175,616 (4,851,879-175,616=4,676,263/243=19,244 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #10....205,461 (4,676,263-205,461=4,470,802/231=19,354 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #11....218,649 (4,470,802-218,649=4,252,153/221=19,241 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #12....181,784 (4,252,153-181,784=4,070,369/210=19,383 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #13....198,033 (4,070,369-198,033=3,872,336/199=19,459 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #14....234,432 (3,872,336-234,432=3,637,904/188=19,351 average to get to 19,000 average).
We need to get to 6,137,000 to average 19,000 this year, last year we came 126,513 short. Week #1.....169,179 (6,137,000-169,179=5,967,821/315 =18,945 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #2.....153,333 (5,967,821-153,333=5,814,488/307=18,940 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #3.....167,179 (5,814,488-167,179=5,647,309/298=18,951 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #4.....157,484 (5,647,309-157,484=5,489,825/289=18,996 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #5.....158,203 (5,489,825-158,203=5,331,622/280=19,042 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #6.....155,798 (5,331,622-155,798=5,175,824/271=19,099 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #7.....158,262 (5,175,824-158,262=5,017,562/261=19,224 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #8.....165,683 (5,017,562-165,683=4,851,879/252=19,253 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #9.....175,616 (4,851,879-175,616=4,676,263/243=19,244 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #10....205,461 (4,676,263-205,461=4,470,802/231=19,354 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #11....218,649 (4,470,802-218,649=4,252,153/221=19,241 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #12....181,784 (4,252,153-181,784=4,070,369/210=19,383 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #13....198,033 (4,070,369-198,033=3,872,336/199=19,459 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #14....234,432 (3,872,336-234,432=3,637,904/188=19,351 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #15......34,949 (3,637,904-34,949=3,602,955/186=19,371 average to get to 19,000 average).
We need to get to 6,137,000 to average 19,000 this year, last year we came 126,513 short. Week #1.....169,179 (6,137,000-169,179=5,967,821/315 =18,945 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #2.....153,333 (5,967,821-153,333=5,814,488/307=18,940 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #3.....167,179 (5,814,488-167,179=5,647,309/298=18,951 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #4.....157,484 (5,647,309-157,484=5,489,825/289=18,996 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #5.....158,203 (5,489,825-158,203=5,331,622/280=19,042 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #6.....155,798 (5,331,622-155,798=5,175,824/271=19,099 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #7.....158,262 (5,175,824-158,262=5,017,562/261=19,224 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #8.....165,683 (5,017,562-165,683=4,851,879/252=19,253 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #9.....175,616 (4,851,879-175,616=4,676,263/243=19,244 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #10....205,461 (4,676,263-205,461=4,470,802/231=19,354 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #11....218,649 (4,470,802-218,649=4,252,153/221=19,241 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #12....181,784 (4,252,153-181,784=4,070,369/210=19,383 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #13....198,033 (4,070,369-198,033=3,872,336/199=19,459 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #14....234,432 (3,872,336-234,432=3,637,904/188=19,351 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #15......34,949 (3,637,904-34,949=3,602,955/186=19,371 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #16....187,500 (3,602,955-187,500=3,415,455/176=19,406 average to get to 19,000 average).
We need to get to 6,137,000 to average 19,000 this year, last year we came 126,513 short. Week #1.....169,179 (6,137,000-169,179=5,967,821/315 =18,945 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #2.....153,333 (5,967,821-153,333=5,814,488/307=18,940 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #3.....167,179 (5,814,488-167,179=5,647,309/298=18,951 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #4.....157,484 (5,647,309-157,484=5,489,825/289=18,996 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #5.....158,203 (5,489,825-158,203=5,331,622/280=19,042 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #6.....155,798 (5,331,622-155,798=5,175,824/271=19,099 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #7.....158,262 (5,175,824-158,262=5,017,562/261=19,224 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #8.....165,683 (5,017,562-165,683=4,851,879/252=19,253 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #9.....175,616 (4,851,879-175,616=4,676,263/243=19,244 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #10....205,461 (4,676,263-205,461=4,470,802/231=19,354 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #11....218,649 (4,470,802-218,649=4,252,153/221=19,241 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #12....181,784 (4,252,153-181,784=4,070,369/210=19,383 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #13....198,033 (4,070,369-198,033=3,872,336/199=19,459 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #14....234,432 (3,872,336-234,432=3,637,904/188=19,351 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #15......34,949 (3,637,904-34,949=3,602,955/186=19,371 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #16....187,500 (3,602,955-187,500=3,415,455/176=19,406 average to get to 19,000 average). Week #17....201,856 (3,415,455-201,856=3,213,599/165=19,476 average to get to 19,000 average).
The Quakes games are sold out at 10525, at Buck Shaw Stadium, on the campus of University of Santa Clara. Next season the capacity will go up to 18,000, which should help out with the 19k goal. But I'd say the tv rating goal is much more important than the filled seats at the games. TV is where the money is. I'd say if we meet expectations 8 years down the road with increased popularity of this league, thats when we will start seeing real success.
As this # slowly creeps up any reason to think we could get to 19k? DCU already had their one positive bump this season and will continue to drag the average down, even if they keep winning.
The boat anchor that is Chivas is what is likely to hold us back. Almost every other team is up some by large amounts. Seattle still has 4 full stadia matches, Toronto and LA have not hosted as many as the rest of the league to date, and San Jose is still set to open Levis Stadium, which depending on the curiosity factor could top 60k.
Indeed, I don't think we'll make it. But honestly I don't care. The fundamentals are all there and the tendency is clearly positive. So even if Chivas brings in zero and we miss, it's clear that next year will bring more of the same, if not even better. LA2, expanded TFC, expanded SJ, probably expanded Vancouver, Orange bowl Orlando, 35k NYCFC. I'm actually curious if we could hit 20k next year! All supposing the season actually happens, I fear a extended work stoppage.