USL Pro attendance thread

Discussion in 'United Soccer Leagues' started by Maza1987, Apr 10, 2011.

  1. kenntomasch

    kenntomasch Member+

    Sep 2, 1999
    Out West
    Club:
    FC Tampa Bay Rowdies
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Your problem is you base everything on the numbers you read in the box scores. You don't have the slightest idea what the Kickers or Eagles are thinking or what they're about.
     
  2. Macsen

    Macsen Moderator
    Staff Member

    Nov 5, 2007
    Orlando
    Club:
    Orlando City SC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I have a good idea of what the Kickers (primary goal is their academy) and Eagles (primary goal is evangelism) are about. It doesn't mean they will be able to sustain D-III forever. Also, the original post I was responding to was comparing them to D-II teams. I don't think he was paying any regard to what they were about either.

    At least they have a "what they're about", unlike LA Blues.
     
  3. mbsc

    mbsc Member

    Aug 6, 2009
    Club:
    Wilmington H.
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Actually, I wasn't comparing them to D2 teams in the way you think. I meant that due to history and geography Wilmington would draw more fans for games against Charlotte, Charleston and Richmond than the D2 teams.
     
  4. VioletCrown

    VioletCrown Member+

    FC Dallas
    United States
    Aug 30, 2000
    Austin, Texas
    Club:
    Austin Aztex
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Division 3

    Code:
    67.4% complete
    Year     Avg   Median    %<1K    %>3k
    2005    1692    1433     20.0%   13.3%
    2006    1755    1498     16.7%   15.0%
    2007    1563    1423     29.9%    6.0%
    2008    1550    1592     28.4%    7.5%
    2009    1563    1372     31.7%    5.0%
    2010    1695    1379     37.5%   20.0%
    2011    2299    1650     32.0%   32.0%
    2012    2681    1604     33.7%   39.3%
    
    Median-33%: 1069
    Median+33%: 2139
    <MED-33%: 34 / 38.2%
    >MED+33%: 41 / 46.1%

    Code:
    Final Numbers
    Year     Avg    Median    %<1K    %>3k
    2005    1680     1457     21.4%   11.9%
    2006    1803     1703     14.1%   11.8%
    2007    1575     1423     28.1%    6.3%
    2008    1614     1629     26.0%    7.3%
    2009    1602     1518     31.8%    7.1%
    2010    1689     1385     35.1%   17.5%
    2011    2269     1449     32.4%   31.0%
    
    Didn't have any more luck than anyone else finding out the Antigua (Bradenton) and Harrisburg attendances from this past week. But on the plus side, for those that like to keep the information themselves and follow along with the fun, Dayton Dutch Lions came through for me when I asked them on facebook. Here are their missing attendances:

    Saturday, May 26, 2012 = 600
    Saturday, June 2, 2012 = 820

    And, yes, that last one is the same number as they had at their June 9 game against Pittsburgh.

    Next week: Dayton, Charleston, Pittsburgh, Wilmington, Charlotte, Richmond, and Rochester.
     
  5. kenntomasch

    kenntomasch Member+

    Sep 2, 1999
    Out West
    Club:
    FC Tampa Bay Rowdies
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Unlike everybody else, who is guaranteed to be able to sustain DIII forever.

    What I meant was, you look simply at what you perceive from the outside (mainly attendance, based on the prism of having a team that draws well) and surmise that there's some artificial level of announced box score attendance that is acceptable to you, and which you think is not sustainable. Even though the Eagles have been around for 20 years doing the same thing, and their model very likely could be sustainable long-term because they aren't losing money. But you don't know that.
     
  6. Macsen

    Macsen Moderator
    Staff Member

    Nov 5, 2007
    Orlando
    Club:
    Orlando City SC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    @ Charleston: 2983

    Not bad for a Thursday.
     
  7. CHHSfan

    CHHSfan Member

    Oct 30, 2010
    Chapel Hill
    Club:
    Carolina Railhawks
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    So jealous of both Wilmington and Charleston's attendance and them being in a regional league. Wilmington would even provide an excuse to go to the beach :). Every market is different, but I feel like a lot of teams could learn from Wilmington and Charleston.
     
  8. Macsen

    Macsen Moderator
    Staff Member

    Nov 5, 2007
    Orlando
    Club:
    Orlando City SC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Charleston has 20 years of history now. Wilmington not quite that long, but enough to survive a year of hiatus to come back bigger and better than ever.
     
  9. VioletCrown

    VioletCrown Member+

    FC Dallas
    United States
    Aug 30, 2000
    Austin, Texas
    Club:
    Austin Aztex
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Division 3

    Code:
    73.5% complete
    Year     Avg   Median    %<1K    %>3k
    2005    1635    1400     21.2%   12.1%
    2006    1757    1532     16.7%   13.6%
    2007    1548    1422     30.1%    5.5%
    2008    1573    1626     26.0%    6.8%
    2009    1576    1487     30.3%    4.5%
    2010    1666    1326     38.6%   18.2%
    2011    2243    1424     33.3%   30.5%
    2012    2669    1604     33.0%   38.1%
    
    Median-33%: 1069
    Median+33%: 2139
    <MED-33%: 36 / 38.2%
    >MED+33%: 44 / 46.1%

    Code:
    Final Numbers
    Year     Avg    Median    %<1K    %>3k
    2005    1680     1457     21.4%   11.9%
    2006    1803     1703     14.1%   11.8%
    2007    1575     1423     28.1%    6.3%
    2008    1614     1629     26.0%    7.3%
    2009    1602     1518     31.8%    7.1%
    2010    1689     1385     35.1%   17.5%
    2011    2269     1449     32.4%   31.0%
    
    Apparently a rain-out in Charlotte. Game will be rescheduled some time soon. Pretty much has to be, as we're getting close to the end of the season now, with some teams only having two home games left. These numbers now include the missing games from Dayton and Harrisburg.

    This week we get: Orlando City (2), Charlotte, Pittsburgh, Rochester, Harrisburg, Richmond, and Dayton.
     
  10. Macsen

    Macsen Moderator
    Staff Member

    Nov 5, 2007
    Orlando
    Club:
    Orlando City SC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Wednesday and Friday. Ugh.
     
  11. leftout1

    leftout1 Member

    Mar 15, 2010
    Club:
    AC Milan
    I've had a hard time sleeping at night not knowing if the Antigua numbers were divisible by 100 - any updates?
     
  12. kenntomasch

    kenntomasch Member+

    Sep 2, 1999
    Out West
    Club:
    FC Tampa Bay Rowdies
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Nope. And with two home games having been moved to IMG last week (and who knows what will happen in the next month), I wouldn't expect any updates out of the Barracuda.
     
  13. leftout1

    leftout1 Member

    Mar 15, 2010
    Club:
    AC Milan
    Much of an impact on the averages if only a few hundred have been attending and the numbers are not reported? The league is showing some really nice year-to-year growth and before I get too excited I just wanted to make sure things were "apples-to-apples". That's also assuming everything was reported last year.
     
  14. kenntomasch

    kenntomasch Member+

    Sep 2, 1999
    Out West
    Club:
    FC Tampa Bay Rowdies
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    You always have to take these things with a grain of salt, that's been a constant over time.

    But ranked by percentage growth in average announced attendance over the same number of home games a year ago:

    Los Angeles...+68.64%
    Richmond......+38.89%
    Rochester.....+37.68%
    Dayton........+29.20%
    Orlando.......+25.92%
    Charleston....+13.81%
    Wilmington.....+6.74%
    Harrisburg.....+0.90%
    Pittsburgh.....-5.73%
    Charlotte.....-19.30%
    Antigua.......-58.13%

    LA has gone from absolute nowhere to just north of nowhere (as has Dayton), but Richmond and Orlando are doing well (Rochester's numbers are in some dispute). Wilmington has a chance to beat last season's average, which was a franchise record, and there's only so much Harrisburg can do with their yard and their budget. Pittsburgh should be helped when their new yard is ready next year, and Charlotte's got other priorities.
     
  15. Macsen

    Macsen Moderator
    Staff Member

    Nov 5, 2007
    Orlando
    Club:
    Orlando City SC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    What numbers do you have for Orlando, Kenn? My calculations have our year-over-year growth through 9 home matches at 14.4%.
     
  16. kenntomasch

    kenntomasch Member+

    Sep 2, 1999
    Out West
    Club:
    FC Tampa Bay Rowdies
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    I have OCSC at 59,566 through 9 (6,618 average). Through 9 last year I have 47,306 (5,256 average).
     
  17. VioletCrown

    VioletCrown Member+

    FC Dallas
    United States
    Aug 30, 2000
    Austin, Texas
    Club:
    Austin Aztex
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Here's what I have for Orlando:
    Total: 59610
    Average: 6623

    Through 9 games last season:
    Total: 52064
    Average: 5785

    That matches Orlando Ray's number: 14.49%

    ...assuming I did my math right.

    OK. Here's more details.

    First 9 matches, 2011:

    7933
    7279
    5876
    4517
    4241
    5943
    6923
    4594
    4758

    and I double-checked that with the file you sent me.

    This year's numbers:
    8421
    7899
    6722
    7231
    6821
    5602
    6148
    3506
    7260
     
  18. kenntomasch

    kenntomasch Member+

    Sep 2, 1999
    Out West
    Club:
    FC Tampa Bay Rowdies
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Okay, I'll look again. #youneverknow
     
  19. kenntomasch

    kenntomasch Member+

    Sep 2, 1999
    Out West
    Club:
    FC Tampa Bay Rowdies
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Ah, that must have been through eight. Yeah, it was through eight. My bad.

    4/09/2011...FC New York...............7,933
    4/22/2011...Puerto Rico United........7,279
    5/14/2011...Pittsburgh Riverhounds....5,876
    5/25/2011...Richmond Kickers..........4,517
    6/02/2011...Charlotte Eagles..........4,241
    6/10/2011...Antigua Barracuda FC......5,943
    6/18/2011...Wilmington Hammerheads....6,923
    7/08/2011...Dayton Dutch Lions........4,594
    7/16/2011...Rochester Rhinos..........4,758

    But we disagree slightly on this year. I have 8,421 - 7,899 - 6,722 - 7,231 - 6,821 - 5,602 - 6,148 - 3,506 and 7,216. It's not uncommon for me to transpose two numbers, so let me know.
     
  20. VioletCrown

    VioletCrown Member+

    FC Dallas
    United States
    Aug 30, 2000
    Austin, Texas
    Club:
    Austin Aztex
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    My typo. I did a mental/verbal transposition, turning 16 into 60 on the last attendance. Funny, that information isn't on the match report. But you have it, and I see that Orlando Rays reported it earlier in the thread. It must've come from somewhere reliable. I've updated my spreadsheet.
     
  21. VioletCrown

    VioletCrown Member+

    FC Dallas
    United States
    Aug 30, 2000
    Austin, Texas
    Club:
    Austin Aztex
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Hmmm. Maybe I should *not* have changed my number. Orlando City has 7260 on their team website match report (click the 'Recap' tab).
     
  22. kenntomasch

    kenntomasch Member+

    Sep 2, 1999
    Out West
    Club:
    FC Tampa Bay Rowdies
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Okee dokee. That's why we have multiple people tracking this stuff. Thanks.
     
  23. Mikey mouse

    Mikey mouse Member

    Jul 27, 1999
    Charleston, SC
    Club:
    Charleston
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    6031 in Orlando tonight.
     
  24. brentgoulet

    brentgoulet Member+

    Oct 12, 2005
    PuertoPlata, DomRep
    another good number
     
  25. Macsen

    Macsen Moderator
    Staff Member

    Nov 5, 2007
    Orlando
    Club:
    Orlando City SC
    Nat'l Team:
    United States
    Friday night:

    @ Charlotte: 581
    @ Pittsburgh: 1002
    @ Orlando: 4703
    @ Rochester: 5643
     

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