2012 Race for the White House II: The Two Towers

Exactly. I was being facetious, but then again ... the question was "what do they think", which I took to mean what the average Joe [the Plumber] on the street thinks - and I wouldn't put it past them to think that we should just go take over all the oil fields by force.

 

Get ready for another seven months of ads like this. Brought to you by the Koch group.

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/story/2012-03-29/ad-oil-gas-prices-obama/53867308/1

 

The USA is a joke country.

 

*crickets*

 

Go Buckeyes!

 

rep me already.

 

Bummer, eh?

 

Yup.

 

Go home then, Argiefag

 

Well, hours before the Maryland primary, even in Maryland, it doesn't feel like a primary. Doesn't feel like Republicans even care. I should be grateful for the lack of advertising, I guess, but it doesn't seem like anyone is paying attention. While Maryland is solidly Democratic, my corner of the state is just as solidly Red. Only remotely interesting note to this race is that Ron Paul easily has the most yard signs, and strangely enough, most are homemade. And made pretty darn well. 4 years ago there were a lot of homemade Obama signs but they were pretty crude, like my kids had done 'em.

 

I saw a couple of ads (I guess from Romney) saying Santorum voted the same way as Hillary Clinton (fear, loathing, smell of brimstone) a couple times when they were senators. Is this the barrage of hateful, negative advertising that Mitt has been unleashing in state after state? It seemed extremely weak to me.

 

Interesting side note to the election here in Maryland where it is primary day.

In a solidly Democratic state, my little corner of the state, the 1st District is heavily Republican and we have our own fire-spitting Tea Partier in Congress. There's really only one credible Democrat running for the opportunity of getting hammered by him in the general election, and he's from Kent County, which today is the victim of a bomb threat. It was found at the one school to host a polling place. Apparently no other polling places are being shut down because the County feels it is school-specific, but this does a little drama in the polling of a 20,000 pop county...

http://chestertownspy.com/2012/04/03/breaking-news-bomb-threatsat-seven-kent-county-schools/

 

Romney sweep, declared winner in all 3 primaries...

Wisconsin 85% reporting
Romney 43%
Santorum 38%
Paul 12%
Gingrich 6%

Maryland 94% reporting
Romney 49%
Santorum 29%
Gingrich 11%
Paul 10%

D.C. 100% reporting
Romney 70%
Paul 12%
Gingrich 11%
__________

DELEGATES (Associated Press)
Romney- 646
Santorum- 272
Gingrich- 135
Paul- 51

 

Yeah, local teachers probably assigned it as homework.

 

Boy, that's as ignorant a response as I've gotten in my years here on BS.

 

So really

Romney - 646
Not Romney - 458

Looks like Romney is finally pulling away from not Romney.

 

But is it funny?

 

No. But then again, dittoheads rarely are.

 

With Romney on the verge of winning the Republican primary, I thought it would be interesting to see where things stand from an electoral college standpoint:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html

Code:

Likely Obama (175)        Leans Obama (58) Toss Up (124)      Leans GOP (22)  Likely Republican (159)
California (55)           Maine (4)        Colorado (9)        Arizona (11)       Alabama (9)
Connecticut (7)           Michigan (16)    Florida (29)        Indiana (11)       Alaska (3)
Delaware (3)              Minnesota (10)   Iowa (6)                               Arkansas (6)
District of Columbia (3)  Nevada (6)       Missouri (10)                          Georgia (16)
Hawaii (4)                New Mexico (5)   New Hampshire (4)                      Idaho (4)
Illinois (20)             Oregon (7)       North Carolina (15)                    Kansas (6)
Maryland (10)             Wisconsin (10)   Ohio (18)                              Kentucky (8)
Massachusetts (11)                         Pennsylvania (20)                      Louisiana (8)
New Jersey (14)                            Virginia (13)                          Mississippi (6)
New York (29)                                                                     Montana (3)
Rhode Island (4)                                                                  Nebraska (5)
Vermont (3)                                                                       North Dakota (3)
Washington (12)                                                                   Oklahoma (7)
                                                                                  South Carolina (9)
                                                                                  South Dakota (3)
                                                                                  Tennessee (11)
                                                                                  Texas (38)
                                                                                  Utah (6)
                                                                                  West Virginia (5)
                                                                                  Wyoming (3)

Seven months out from the election and I think it is safe to say that a lot needs to go right for the Republicans and wrong for Obama for Romney to win.

 

So Obama is basically guaranteed (barring catastrophe) 233 Electoral Votes, whereas Romney is guaranteed 181? If this gender gap thing continues to grow, I don't think Texas is safe GOP territory.

 

You clearly don't know who lives here, dude!

 

I wouldn't say guaranteed, but the odds are that Obama will get 233 and Romney 181. Most of the states in the "lean" groups are pretty safe in my opinion. RCP tends to be very conservative when it comes to which group they put states. As an example, most of the recent polling in the "Lean Obama" group shows Obama with double digit leads, I would think those shows be in Likely Obama, but what do I know?

 

Dude. I live in Kentucky. KENTUCKY. They bone their cousins here. Anyhoo, Kentucky went further for McCain than Texas, and people here are not enthused to have Mitt as their standard-bearer. If Texas is anything like that, the GOP base (white men) won't turn out.

Do you guys have white men in Texas?